World Politics · resolved market
Will voter turnout be 56-60% in the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa5b0472880cee019caf1e54155820df1617d2fdd9fd6a10a4de4d5da57b7c914
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,477
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,102
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,477 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0086…1b8cbacked Yes | 26c | 1,933$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 67c | 1,303$874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.99 | 343 | 54.8%188 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 43c | 900.55$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.14 | 549 | 34.6%190 W · 359 L | -37.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed11…10bebacked Yes | 43c | 899.99$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.99 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 56c | 898.57$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.79 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 44c | 844.29$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.9 | 146 | 37%54 W · 92 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 72c | 507$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.16 | 132 | 68.9%91 W · 41 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…0357backed Yes | 28c | 447.13$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.67 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 56c | 433.86$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.02 | 528 | 50.8%268 W · 260 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0ab8backed No | 78c | 350$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 41c | 334.24$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.59 | 463 | 30.2%140 W · 323 L | -20.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0443…2221backed No | 77c | 322.61$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 59c | 319.79$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.91 | 399 | 52.4%209 W · 190 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9e…4f1abacked Yes | 34c | 295.61$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.54 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | +16.1wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x296b…2cf2backed Yes | 35c | 280.67$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.4 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 60c | 279.72$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.46 | 132 | 43.9%58 W · 74 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x671e…2536backed Yes | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed No | 61c | 256.41$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 165 | 35.8%59 W · 106 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…197fbacked Yes | 22c | 220$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.48 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 71c | 202.38$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.83 | 183 | 48.6%89 W · 94 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a70…95ddbacked No | 64c | 198.55$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.48 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 64c | 183$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.72 | 360 | 55.3%199 W · 161 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 58c | 179.51$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.94 | 187 | 62.6%117 W · 70 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 63c | 177.3$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.6 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 16c | 160.19$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.26 | 394 | 14%55 W · 339 L | -71.9wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 79c | 157.49$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.27 | 316 | 35.1%111 W · 205 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fc…0d3bbacked No | 72c | 150$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d68…f390backed No | 52c | 147.45$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5675…f6a6backed No | 66c | 145.63$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.01 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed No | 79c | 141$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.61 | 118 | 39%46 W · 72 L | -13.1wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 62c | 133.08$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.68 | 155 | 58.7%91 W · 64 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed Yes | 38c | 127.98$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.19 | 142 | 25.4%36 W · 106 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebab…cee0backed Yes | 31c | 125.68$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.96 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +99.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 56c | 107.59$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.32 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6dc…71a6backed Yes | 47c | 106.36$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.35 | 990 | 17.2%170 W · 820 L | -148.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2975…56e0backed Yes | 44c | 88$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x758b…0a1cbacked No | 70c | 84.14$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.93 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 54c | 80$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.9 | 263 | 55.9%147 W · 116 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64c3…75abbacked Yes | 46c | 73.91$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdb…8a82backed Yes | 44c | 70$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 77c | 65.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.18 | 167 | 55.1%92 W · 75 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9631…a38cbacked Yes | 36c | 64$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.04 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 67c | 63$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.08 | 457 | 23.2%106 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 70c | 62.22$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.7 | 137 | 48.2%66 W · 71 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x782f…bda7backed Yes | 44c | 61.36$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed No | 72c | 59.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f90…e17fbacked Yes | 39c | 55$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.67 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21a3…9e97backed Yes | 36c | 55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03e1…e180backed No | 76c | 54$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…d803backed Yes | 46c | 51.78$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.82 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 69c | 51$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 145 | 53.8%78 W · 67 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f92…ecc7backed No | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 50cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…f88ebacked Yes | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -56%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d4…0787backed No | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8d…189cbacked Yes | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.5wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x317f…78ccbacked No | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6464…99adbacked No | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58e9…441abacked No | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc2e…0d48backed Yes | 40c | 49.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +133.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed Yes | 32c | 42.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 153 | 55.6%85 W · 68 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f12…a56abacked Yes | 36c | 41.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffcd…1666backed No | 78c | 41.2$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.06 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +120.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed No | 78c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 220 | 29.5%65 W · 155 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 32c | 32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 274 | 38.3%105 W · 169 L | -32.3wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9c…a869backed Yes | 45c | 31.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 73c | 31$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.29 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2184…d271backed No | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 51c | 29.84$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.58 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18dc…5e90backed Yes | 48c | 28.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdba1…d0e5backed Yes | 46c | 26.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf225…cc69backed No | 55c | 26.52$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.93 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.31per pick | 40cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x061c…ba08backed No | 78c | 25.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.61 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5579…2db1backed No | 67c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 78c | 23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 168 | 52.4%88 W · 80 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed No | 56c | 22.39$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb51c…502dbacked No | 54c | 21.74$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0e…c02bbacked No | 52c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdf…eba6backed No | 78c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde64…a821backed No | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x34b0…05a6backed No | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.36per pick | 49cpaid | +101.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc318…d82abacked No | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed No | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5136…0e4fbacked No | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2c…64f0backed No | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43fd…59d3backed No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2c…0a2cbacked No | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 111 | 61.3%68 W · 43 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16da…05c0backed No | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf33…1e17backed No | 53c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fef…66ecbacked No | 71c | 18.64$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.42 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fdf…336cbacked No | 72c | 17.73$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.96 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9f…a686backed No | 70c | 15.71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 69cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed No | 72c | 15.27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.28 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x180a…8c61backed No | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will voter turnout be 56-60% in the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?this page
- Will voter turnout be 52-56% in the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No won
- Will voter turnout be 60-64% in the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes won
- Will voter turnout be 64%+ in the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.