TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6f92…ecc7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
58
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: World Politics, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 54 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3231.3%10 W · 22 L-3.8wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-48%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michael Olise win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.68
Will there be 10+ missed penalties during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.94
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.4
Will 7+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.69
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.6
Will 8+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.05
Will 9+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+25%+$14.1
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.2
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
Will Miguel Almirón score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.48
Will USA be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.49
Will Ivory Coast be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.94
Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.48
Will Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.71
Will Ghana advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.32
Will Saudi Arabia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$36
Will Japan finish second in Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$45.31
Will Netherlands advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.67
Will Curaçao concede the most goals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$7.46
Will Morocco go unbeaten in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.35
Will South Korea be the highest-scoring team in Group A during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.8
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.02
Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$54
Will Canada win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$48
Will Qatar advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 25, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick50cpaid+51.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick63cpaid-55.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick44cpaid-32.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
IPO — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 100T make a roster change before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$125.04
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$36.31
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.35per pick66cpaid+52.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win MSI 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+52.7%+$19.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 171m and 184m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.99
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.