Will USA be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5345c06dc8e725d6dcea6d82f245ffd6267e141ad4386ab256dc32afa3c0755c

Rebuilt 17 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 2, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $111,068
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $104,039

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $111,068 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes	26c	25,516$6,739 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,739.01	149	20.8%31 W · 118 L	-3.9wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-34.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cb1…dea6backed No	75c	19,229$14,330 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,899.78	31	29%9 W · 22 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-26.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes	29c	6,883$1,989 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,989.5	218	37.2%81 W · 137 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd352…4ad6backed No	76c	5,000$3,782 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,217.97	23	65.2%15 W · 8 L	+2.6wins	+0.11per pick	54cpaid	0%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes	31c	4,923$1,535 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,535.43	438	35.8%157 W · 281 L	-10.3wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Yes	24c	3,892$938 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$938.42	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x814d…b842backed No	73c	3,846$2,803 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,043.07	181	39.8%72 W · 109 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xefc9…b337backed Yes	17c	3,479$591 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$591.37	23	17.4%4 W · 19 L	-2.1wins	-0.09per pick	27cpaid	-56.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Yes	26c	3,471$910 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$909.79	350	33.7%118 W · 232 L	-6.7wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed No	70c	3,191$2,221 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$970.68	550	44.7%246 W · 304 L	-27.4wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdd15…4a07backed Yes	17c	3,096$525 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$525.05	76	21.1%16 W · 60 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	24cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7cde…b97dbacked No	69c	2,520$1,739 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$781.17	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	+38.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30ee…a587backed Yes	30c	2,374$704 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$704.45	82	40.2%33 W · 49 L	-4.6wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed No	79c	1,500$1,186 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$314.43	70	51.4%36 W · 34 L	+6.4wins	+0.09per pick	42cpaid	+17%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc021…1fa8backed No	74c	1,465$1,089 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$376.08	79	41.8%33 W · 46 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9186…0666backed Yes	36c	1,395$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	68	30.9%21 W · 47 L	-3.3wins	-0.05per pick	36cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b9d…74f5backed Yes	24c	1,200$288 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$288	26	15.4%4 W · 22 L	-2.4wins	-0.09per pick	25cpaid	-69.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xab2d…b1aabacked Yes	23c	1,028$236 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$235.74	165	40.6%67 W · 98 L	-7.7wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes	15c	1,006$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150.86	2,626	41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd4e7…b0f7backed Yes	29c	986.06$289 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$289.17	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-1.7wins	-0.21per pick	46cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcd91…32b8backed No	69c	910.52$624 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$286.71	648	50.6%328 W · 320 L	-13.5wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed Yes	28c	897$251 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$251.06	260	37.3%97 W · 163 L	-6.6wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9b5…9db1backed No	37c	809$297 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$512.33	199	39.7%79 W · 120 L	-7.2wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes	24c	792.74$187 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$187.5	1,067	49.1%524 W · 543 L	+7.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0121…f722backed Yes	15c	733.15$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.58	236	44.9%106 W · 130 L	+11.7wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5afc…2995backed Yes	28c	665.55$184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$184.4	79	35.4%28 W · 51 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	+13.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes	8c	643$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.27	609	8.4%51 W · 558 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x49f2…d7b4backed Yes	29c	590.56$171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$171.26	193	45.1%87 W · 106 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+27.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x755a…9748backed Yes	18c	558.02$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-1.6wins	-0.14per pick	30cpaid	-65.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc518…2594backed No	67c	499.84$336 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$164.02	237	50.6%120 W · 117 L	-4.5wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed No	70c	499.24$350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$149.55	722	47.2%341 W · 381 L	+4.3wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked No	75c	467.14$352 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$115.09	878	37.2%327 W · 551 L	-41.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed No	80c	450$360 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90.5	341	51%174 W · 167 L	+7.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed No	74c	446.57$330 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$116.46	1,135	40.2%456 W · 679 L	+5.2wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x78c1…473ebacked Yes	30c	444$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.2	513	15.6%80 W · 433 L	+4.8wins	+0.01per pick	15cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x476c…ce52backed Yes	24c	393.18$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.1	254	43.7%111 W · 143 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5e7d…ca41backed Yes	22c	391.47$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.95	73	39.7%29 W · 44 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2e1f…8fdebacked Yes	26c	386$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.74	167	41.9%70 W · 97 L	-3.3wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaea4…106ebacked Yes	26c	384.71$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	174	36.2%63 W · 111 L	-3.3wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38e5…95e7backed No	71c	384$272 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$111.73	228	34.6%79 W · 149 L	-3.8wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8728…0882backed No	71c	368.59$263 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.07	426	40.1%171 W · 255 L	-7.9wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e0a…e172backed No	69c	358.93$248 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$111.27	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	58cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x054d…27bfbacked Yes	25c	355.44$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.54	65	41.5%27 W · 38 L	+3.1wins	+0.05per pick	37cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0d6…7475backed No	62c	350.36$217 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$133.29	376	44.9%169 W · 207 L	-7.0wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked Yes	20c	350$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71	172	17.4%30 W · 142 L	-5.1wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0380…073dbacked No	75c	336.32$253 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.24	656	51.7%339 W · 317 L	+7.7wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7aed…df39backed Yes	16c	332.35$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.78	256	38.7%99 W · 157 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x473d…caabbacked Yes	31c	322.58$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	50	60%30 W · 20 L	+4.0wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6f92…ecc7backed Yes	29c	313.86$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.49	32	31.3%10 W · 22 L	-3.8wins	-0.12per pick	43cpaid	-48%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xdc6e…d878backed Yes	31c	310$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.1	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.18per pick	58cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf53e…2728backed Yes	18c	300$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	92	30.4%28 W · 64 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	29cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Yes	8c	298.61$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.8	802	25.7%206 W · 596 L	-6.2wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes	26c	288.54$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.02	302	41.4%125 W · 177 L	-8.2wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x942e…be27backed No	75c	272$204 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.93	130	60.8%79 W · 51 L	+6.0wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf609…e68bbacked No	47c	269$127 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$142.47	206	52.9%109 W · 97 L	+14.1wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x28bf…4a4ebacked No	67c	267$180 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$87.48	285	54.4%155 W · 130 L	-6.6wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Yes	25c	263.1$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.47	345	54.2%187 W · 158 L	+17.9wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8c7f…5b35backed Yes	31c	258.97$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.74	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-0.6wins	-0.06per pick	16cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe41…9f23backed No	72c	250$180 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70	77	33.8%26 W · 51 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	28c	228$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.24	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes	27c	226.23$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.81	662	39.6%262 W · 400 L	-48.1wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0777…4b7fbacked Yes	20c	225.59$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.06	21	0%0 W · 21 L	-3.2wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x54d1…13f4backed No	80c	220.8$177 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.16	285	47.7%136 W · 149 L	-12.7wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-16%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Yes	18c	200$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	252	44.8%113 W · 139 L	+11.6wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x32d0…6070backed Yes	27c	200$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	67	44.8%30 W · 37 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc662…0927backed No	73c	200$146 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54	20	45%9 W · 11 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb89f…1c44backed No	74c	200$148 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+3.0wins	+0.25per pick	33cpaid	+122.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe94b…5abebacked No	77c	190.19$146 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.74	41	36.6%15 W · 26 L	+2.6wins	+0.06per pick	30cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa712…982cbacked No	79c	190$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.2	152	53.3%81 W · 71 L	+7.3wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1075…19c1backed Yes	24c	190$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.9	82	18.3%15 W · 67 L	-6.0wins	-0.07per pick	26cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes	33c	189.94$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.68	673	54.7%368 W · 305 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a31…1164backed Yes	17c	185$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.4	186	36.6%68 W · 118 L	-7.0wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-35%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfbd8…4027backed No	69c	183$125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.54	175	58.9%103 W · 72 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf0e…c02bbacked Yes	24c	177.58$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.3	163	33.7%55 W · 108 L	-8.7wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-29.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfd55…f905backed No	77c	177$137 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.5	282	56.7%160 W · 122 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x18dc…5e90backed Yes	29c	167.98$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.32	144	36.1%52 W · 92 L	-3.5wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x491b…8227backed Yes	24c	166.67$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	16c	162$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.29	779	9.6%75 W · 704 L	-11.8wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-44.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb41e…11fdbacked Yes	10c	160$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	84	11.9%10 W · 74 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8594…7eedbacked No	76c	157.55$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.55	194	61.3%119 W · 75 L	+7.3wins	+0.04per pick	58cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa40f…2fa3backed No	70c	157.14$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.14	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.4wins	-0.21per pick	49cpaid	-34.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb2a…e923backed Yes	32c	156.25$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	201	38.3%77 W · 124 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f99…6734backed Yes	29c	153$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.37	116	36.2%42 W · 74 L	-7.6wins	-0.07per pick	43cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x655c…1a00backed Yes	26c	150$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39	42	61.9%26 W · 16 L	+3.9wins	+0.09per pick	53cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x168f…9e00backed Yes	25c	150$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.5	235	43%101 W · 134 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7dc9…525ebacked Yes	19c	144$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.65	116	11.2%13 W · 103 L	-3.5wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-66.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked Yes	25c	142.74$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.07	427	37.2%159 W · 268 L	-15.2wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x57ee…7b80backed Yes	32c	137.25$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.92	28	35.7%10 W · 18 L	+1.3wins	+0.05per pick	31cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4af7…9842backed No	78c	128.21$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.21	58	50%29 W · 29 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f20…12c3backed No	53c	126.17$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.93	154	55.2%85 W · 69 L	+6.7wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc67e…0e52backed Yes	31c	120$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-2.1wins	-0.15per pick	36cpaid	-49.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9eda…6e19backed Yes	17c	119.01$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.23	112	41.1%46 W · 66 L	-6.7wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb2de…9ce4backed Yes	17c	117.65$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	68	23.5%16 W · 52 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	26cpaid	-30.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7b6…3158backed Yes	32c	114.99$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.8	56	46.4%26 W · 30 L	+8.0wins	+0.14per pick	32cpaid	+60.2%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes	32c	112.16$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.35	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe457…5ab3backed Yes	21c	112$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.86	232	45.7%106 W · 126 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe05…b5a5backed Yes	30c	100$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	118	26.3%31 W · 87 L	+3.8wins	+0.03per pick	23cpaid	+19.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc1f…cb6abacked Yes	18c	100$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.8wins	-0.45per pick	45cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6406…bc04backed No	75c	100$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25	109	66.1%72 W · 37 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	64cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked Yes	28c	99.71$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.01	486	36.6%178 W · 308 L	-48.4wins	-0.10per pick	47cpaid	-32.9%equal weight	39-0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will USA be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?this page
Will USA be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?No won
Will USA be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?No won
Will USA be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?No won
Will USA be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?Yes won
Will USA be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?No won
Will USA win the World Cup?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will USA be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event