Fifa International · resolved market
Will USA be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb2ab30a9b523cd23e119d29850acd37ff06dbf9f419a6ab4773505c4a03cc914
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $117,217
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $121,951
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $117,217 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 192 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5fd8…ce32backed Yes | 50c | 17,307$8,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,654.38 | 133 | 30.1%40 W · 93 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed No | 50c | 15,217$7,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,611.03 | 534 | 48.5%259 W · 275 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc021…1fa8backed No | 58c | 14,627$8,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,457.07 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…e272backed Yes | 47c | 7,344$3,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,886.61 | 91 | 61.5%56 W · 35 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b2…b501backed Yes | 50c | 6,484$3,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,234.4 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Yes | 49c | 4,469$2,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,280.1 | 209 | 55.5%116 W · 93 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaea4…106ebacked Yes | 46c | 4,124$1,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,241.79 | 174 | 36.2%63 W · 111 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 40c | 2,654$1,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,599.22 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f10…f544backed Yes | 52c | 2,372$1,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,149.59 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 50c | 2,332$1,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,171.74 | 219 | 58%127 W · 92 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 56c | 2,094$1,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,164.72 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef94…f8c4backed Yes | 47c | 1,912$899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,013.27 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x835c…a5eebacked Yes | 46c | 1,899$874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025.55 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +6.3wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 71c | 1,444$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022.97 | 550 | 44.7%246 W · 304 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…3048backed Yes | 47c | 1,332$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.13 | 191 | 48.2%92 W · 99 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0121…f722backed Yes | 64c | 1,268$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.81 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | +11.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 56c | 1,255$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.77 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 23c | 1,236$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950.69 | 438 | 35.8%157 W · 281 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed Yes | 33c | 1,203$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.71 | 181 | 39.8%72 W · 109 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe94b…5abebacked Yes | 27c | 1,123$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.09 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23e9…109fbacked Yes | 38c | 1,053$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.63 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed No | 48c | 1,045$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.65 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78c1…473ebacked Yes | 30c | 1,025$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.11 | 513 | 15.6%80 W · 433 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c7…ff39backed No | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +89.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fee…eda2backed No | 54c | 999.97$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f54…8352backed No | 51c | 999.71$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 6c | 993$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.63 | 609 | 8.4%51 W · 558 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e24…8266backed Yes | 49c | 965$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.03 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +105.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e7…b0f7backed Yes | 28c | 943.82$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.57 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…2f1ebacked No | 41c | 940$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.6 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 62c | 912.01$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.24 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24db…50babacked Yes | 47c | 851.06$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.06 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Yes | 48c | 843.78$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.77 | 156 | 46.2%72 W · 84 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Yes | 32c | 798.7$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.74 | 350 | 33.7%118 W · 232 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…8bcdbacked No | 52c | 771.26$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.01 | 878 | 37.2%327 W · 551 L | -41.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e1e…c5e3backed Yes | 47c | 684.83$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.96 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7243…942abacked No | 52c | 684$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.68 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 52c | 648.31$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.86 | 237 | 50.6%120 W · 117 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90a0…7e0abacked No | 56c | 642$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.84 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89df…f8d0backed Yes | 43c | 642$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.96 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c15…9a45backed No | 50c | 622.07$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.69 | 363 | 50.1%182 W · 181 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc5…da90backed No | 52c | 600$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 54c | 566.48$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.45 | 148 | 58.8%87 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01fa…7a59backed No | 50c | 544$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca1d…0a71backed Yes | 38c | 527.11$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.11 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41f0…3eebbacked No | 70c | 500$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e45…3662backed No | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…a76cbacked Yes | 25c | 500$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 249 | 54.2%135 W · 114 L | +40.3wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe95e…61f2backed No | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +3.9wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 34c | 497.63$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.72 | 302 | 41.4%125 W · 177 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 55c | 466.86$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.91 | 722 | 47.2%341 W · 381 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 65c | 463$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.66 | 199 | 39.7%79 W · 120 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…6dfebacked Yes | 31c | 423.96$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.16 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 37c | 420.19$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.87 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 64c | 416.21$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.24 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a31…1164backed No | 51c | 410.12$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.47 | 186 | 36.6%68 W · 118 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 47c | 404.82$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191 | 460 | 47.2%217 W · 243 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked No | 51c | 400$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202 | 176 | 32.4%57 W · 119 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8e…21b7backed Yes | 49c | 397$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.8 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +11.3wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed No | 70c | 393.21$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.24 | 673 | 54.7%368 W · 305 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 52c | 389$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.6 | 154 | 55.2%85 W · 69 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x054d…27bfbacked Yes | 26c | 355$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.7 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 56c | 351.86$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.44 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 72c | 350.36$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.87 | 376 | 44.9%169 W · 207 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffc6…f537backed Yes | 29c | 339.52$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.06 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 53cpaid | +78.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab2d…b1aabacked Yes | 34c | 316.73$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.1 | 165 | 40.6%67 W · 98 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7aed…df39backed Yes | 48c | 313.91$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.75 | 256 | 38.7%99 W · 157 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 29c | 300$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213 | 163 | 36.2%59 W · 104 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb410…57ebbacked Yes | 36c | 299.99$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa40f…2fa3backed No | 55c | 285.45$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 67c | 273$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.86 | 285 | 54.4%155 W · 130 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11f8…1c4ebacked No | 38c | 270$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.9 | 171 | 38%65 W · 106 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked Yes | 38c | 269.62$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.51 | 128 | 47.7%61 W · 67 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc92…27c9backed Yes | 34c | 260$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.66 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc1…560bbacked Yes | 48c | 250$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 60c | 243$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.11 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed No | 63c | 234$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.6 | 232 | 45.7%106 W · 126 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 15c | 219.9$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.61 | 802 | 25.7%206 W · 596 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe450…91b9backed Yes | 47c | 218.73$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.92 | 54 | 70.4%38 W · 16 L | +7.8wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 56c | 210.25$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.19 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x188e…8a07backed Yes | 34c | 205.4$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.4 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7d…ca41backed No | 50c | 200$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf445…0828backed No | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -62%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked No | 37c | 195$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.59 | 167 | 41.9%70 W · 97 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 66c | 192.19$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.92 | 662 | 39.6%262 W · 400 L | -48.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked No | 59c | 191.83$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.08 | 589 | 26.8%158 W · 431 L | -30.5wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes | 40c | 187.42$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.12 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf86…601fbacked No | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed No | 50c | 176$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 624 | 52.7%329 W · 295 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…74f5backed Yes | 33c | 171.9$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.17 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2b…68ccbacked Yes | 30c | 167.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.59 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57c8…3d9bbacked No | 65c | 164.99$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.44 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 72c | 153$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.46 | 282 | 56.7%160 W · 122 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a96…69debacked Yes | 48c | 150$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +3.8wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf301…dd70backed Yes | 36c | 145.7$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.7 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 35c | 143.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.59 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 62c | 140.92$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.91 | 121 | 50.4%61 W · 60 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6406…bc04backed No | 72c | 139.8$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.75 | 109 | 66.1%72 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…7d3dbacked Yes | 32c | 138.87$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.87 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked Yes | 47c | 129.68$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.03 | 239 | 43.5%104 W · 135 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will USA be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?this page
- Will USA be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?No won
- Will USA be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?No won
- Will USA be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?No won
- Will USA be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?No won
- Will USA be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?No won
- Will USA win the World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.