Fifa International · resolved market
Will USA be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf9dfc7eae628396f2f00cd1c53329b021a0f13615c69397ff080aceb0e0730af
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $71,977
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,370
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,977 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 146 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc021…1fa8backed Yes | 28c | 5,371$1,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,521.12 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 70c | 4,203$2,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,266.97 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed Yes | 31c | 3,729$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160.28 | 181 | 39.8%72 W · 109 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 71c | 2,547$1,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.61 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea4…106ebacked Yes | 32c | 2,466$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 174 | 36.2%63 W · 111 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x338b…bf88backed Yes | 32c | 2,400$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.08 | 193 | 32.6%63 W · 130 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…8bcdbacked Yes | 27c | 2,335$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.03 | 878 | 37.2%327 W · 551 L | -41.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 72c | 2,332$1,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.8 | 219 | 58%127 W · 92 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f10…f544backed Yes | 35c | 2,330$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$821.73 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 4c | 1,669$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.63 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb1…b027backed No | 73c | 1,637$1,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.33 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41f0…3eebbacked No | 75c | 1,589$1,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.33 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Yes | 22c | 1,338$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.01 | 350 | 33.7%118 W · 232 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf2…0f35backed Yes | 36c | 1,291$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -33%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked No | 68c | 1,219$829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.94 | 465 | 46.7%217 W · 248 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0121…f722backed No | 71c | 1,209$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.85 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | +11.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe94b…5abebacked Yes | 32c | 1,203$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.87 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd914…0d9abacked Yes | 34c | 1,174$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.46 | 80 | 28.8%23 W · 57 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Yes | 26c | 1,161$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.58 | 426 | 40.1%171 W · 255 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 28c | 1,146$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.87 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed No | 68c | 1,034$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.22 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 13c | 980.18$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.09 | 779 | 9.6%75 W · 704 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…2f1ebacked No | 72c | 943.48$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 75c | 909.58$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.32 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe488…f2c0backed Yes | 34c | 870.14$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 132 | 43.2%57 W · 75 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x250e…e864backed No | 70c | 689.99$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.45 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x63a1…bf89backed Yes | 22c | 686.35$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 30cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12d4…453bbacked Yes | 35c | 577.34$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1622…d2aebacked Yes | 28c | 553.43$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.85 | 168 | 41.1%69 W · 99 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 76c | 518.62$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.71 | 237 | 50.6%120 W · 117 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 68c | 509.77$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.78 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 72c | 508.1$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.8 | 457 | 36.3%166 W · 291 L | -13.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…74f5backed Yes | 25c | 503.54$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.09 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49f2…d7b4backed No | 64c | 500$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.5 | 193 | 45.1%87 W · 106 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb2a…e923backed Yes | 24c | 500$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.6 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 69c | 464.77$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.02 | 154 | 55.2%85 W · 69 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02b8…ff77backed Yes | 22c | 462.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd497…c62fbacked Yes | 33c | 456.24$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.58 | 123 | 30.9%38 W · 85 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf18…17b5backed Yes | 32c | 450.81$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.26 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 73c | 450$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.49 | 282 | 56.7%160 W · 122 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 76c | 445.47$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.69 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 11c | 435$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.08 | 609 | 8.4%51 W · 558 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 75c | 404.22$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.82 | 460 | 47.2%217 W · 243 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes | 28c | 403.3$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.43 | 589 | 26.8%158 W · 431 L | -30.5wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed No | 67c | 392.61$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.72 | 920 | 38.5%354 W · 566 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 75c | 359$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.42 | 285 | 54.4%155 W · 130 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 31c | 345.2$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.36 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6406…bc04backed No | 71c | 325.02$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.44 | 109 | 66.1%72 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 21c | 292$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.69 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe673…b3d9backed Yes | 27c | 286.61$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.8 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1685…6de4backed Yes | 28c | 284.04$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 272 | 39%106 W · 166 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd492…e378backed Yes | 34c | 279.35$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.7 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb51b…b4d9backed No | 73c | 273.34$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.34 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +5.1wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 75c | 265.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.81 | 320 | 44.1%141 W · 179 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1367…5e02backed Yes | 38c | 261.88$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Yes | 22c | 259.65$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.15 | 148 | 39.2%58 W · 90 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…c077backed No | 72c | 254.79$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.49 | 63 | 66.7%42 W · 21 L | +7.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x562b…dc09backed No | 69c | 243.67$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.78 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 75c | 243.12$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.82 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 33c | 228.77$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.8 | 427 | 37.2%159 W · 268 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1583…bddebacked No | 68c | 228.56$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.1 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 75c | 225.36$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.63 | 376 | 44.9%169 W · 207 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 71c | 221.18$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.59 | 101 | 64.4%65 W · 36 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56a5…dea0backed Yes | 35c | 210.51$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.1 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x848f…612fbacked Yes | 25c | 209.57$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.51 | 93 | 58.1%54 W · 39 L | +11.6wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 6c | 208$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 218 | 37.2%81 W · 137 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2b…68ccbacked Yes | 22c | 207.26$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.1 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa54…c182backed Yes | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.7 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fba…92e7backed Yes | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.79 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8333…eb93backed No | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92df…7a08backed Yes | 37c | 197.32$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.13 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 11c | 195.77$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.11 | 438 | 35.8%157 W · 281 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a31…1164backed No | 65c | 183.71$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.85 | 186 | 36.6%68 W · 118 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x482a…7defbacked Yes | 10c | 180$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 27cpaid | +41%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 22c | 170.63$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.97 | 293 | 7.5%22 W · 271 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…7d3dbacked Yes | 30c | 162.04$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x812e…8189backed Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bf…33d0backed Yes | 27c | 149.46$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 39c | 142.6$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.95 | 792 | 31.1%246 W · 546 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 69c | 140.92$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.52 | 121 | 50.4%61 W · 60 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f8a…1d20backed No | 72c | 139$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +95.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…8725backed Yes | 18c | 137$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.66 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 31cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 69c | 135.76$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.52 | 344 | 38.4%132 W · 212 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4a…102cbacked No | 77c | 131$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.85 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf24f…15b2backed Yes | 24c | 125.52$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 129 | 32.6%42 W · 87 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad58…7624backed Yes | 28c | 124.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7039…4a7dbacked No | 72c | 124.49$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.86 | 31 | 83.9%26 W · 5 L | +5.1wins | +0.16per pick | 67cpaid | +26%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes | 24c | 120.61$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 66c | 120$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.32 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe450…91b9backed Yes | 34c | 120$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.1 | 54 | 70.4%38 W · 16 L | +7.8wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4388…bd62backed Yes | 34c | 118.3$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc853…9d37backed No | 74c | 109.86$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.67 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -7.6wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x96b4…3d2dbacked Yes | 32c | 109.72$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 63c | 107.75$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 350 | 35.7%125 W · 225 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked No | 68c | 105.57$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 194 | 45.4%88 W · 106 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…78e0backed Yes | 26c | 104.3$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.9 | 215 | 17.2%37 W · 178 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 65c | 103.97$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.97 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x476c…ce52backed Yes | 33c | 100.1$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.83 | 254 | 43.7%111 W · 143 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3234…8400backed Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.3 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9163…0cabbacked Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.8 | 238 | 55.5%132 W · 106 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will USA be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?this page
- Will USA be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?No won
- Will USA be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?No won
- Will USA be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?Yes won
- Will USA be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?No won
- Will USA be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?No won
- Will USA win the World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.