TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Curaçao concede the most goals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$42,935
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$37,187

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,935 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x49b6…170cbacked Yes42c6,210$2,597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,596.826031.7%19 W · 41 L+5.0wins+0.08per pick23cpaid+21.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9559…4913backed No24c2,520$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,920.274047.5%19 W · 21 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+31.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x38e5…95e7backed No52c2,297$1,192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,104.6122834.6%79 W · 149 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16da…05c0backed Yes43c2,297$991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991.3221937.9%83 W · 136 L-0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05f0…2469backed No62c2,213$1,379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$833.8812945%58 W · 71 L+7.5wins+0.06per pick39cpaid-5.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8188…b171backed Yes54c1,861$998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$997.7118839.9%75 W · 113 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67a9…c417backed Yes33c1,389$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.223943.6%17 W · 22 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes78c1,389$1,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,087.358,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09b4…e56dbacked Yes28c1,245$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.526048.3%29 W · 31 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed No44c966.28$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.455044.7%246 W · 304 L-27.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9f92…2c2dbacked No13c915$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$799.863823.7%9 W · 29 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes42c912.5$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.451,06749.1%524 W · 543 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x790f…2b81backed No19c901.44$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$729.92633.3%2 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick12cpaid+51.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a91…0776backed No70c867.82$607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.356541.5%27 W · 38 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-17%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed No10c664.13$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601.031,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0443…2221backed No70c618.55$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.57333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-52.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x714f…66d5backed No20c604.51$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.4511928.6%34 W · 85 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick23cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfbf4…ac20backed Yes72c604.34$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.634533.6%116 W · 229 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-3.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2c66…01d0backed No70c530.05$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.023450%17 W · 17 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeaa9…1737backed No70c500$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15013148.9%64 W · 67 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3650…d17cbacked No70c416.18$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.856141%25 W · 36 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66ea…497abacked No12c408.33$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.331315.4%2 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick19cpaid+49.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0d6…7475backed No45c380.55$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.8137644.9%169 W · 207 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x805a…0635backed No19c377.83$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.044729.8%14 W · 33 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick25cpaid-8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16b0…acdebacked No70c343.96$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.194731.9%15 W · 32 L-5.6wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-33.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xefdc…a595backed No70c329.04$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.713638.9%14 W · 22 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe605…ac5fbacked No15c312.48$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.4757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.27per pick30cpaid+85.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xce7f…de96backed Yes69c299.03$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.33757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+47.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b25…ff39backed No70c295.59$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.685837.9%22 W · 36 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d1f…6465backed No70c287.83$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.3513641.2%56 W · 80 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x369c…eab1backed No28c260.99$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.918549.4%42 W · 43 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Yes10c245$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.42,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7fe…24e5backed Yes63c241.36$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.235238.5%20 W · 32 L-4.8wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-28.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed No43c241.01$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.082,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked No38c227.84$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.842737.2%159 W · 268 L-15.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf0e…c02bbacked No75c207$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.616333.7%55 W · 108 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-29.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb31b…b140backed No51c202.95$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.8922243.7%97 W · 125 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8919…d64ebacked Yes79c202.78$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.193525.7%9 W · 26 L-4.7wins-0.13per pick39cpaid-33.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3896…ece6backed No10c200$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1808133.3%27 W · 54 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x687d…e28bbacked Yes80c200$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1609749.5%48 W · 49 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89a3…70c0backed Yes17c196$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.3240%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes9c193.57$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.426098.4%51 W · 558 L+0.2wins0.00per pick8cpaid+16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba63…6271backed Yes23c179$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.061266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+45.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9209…b4d5backed No64c165.72$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.6610351.5%53 W · 50 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4041…6f52backed Yes28c165.34$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.1512327.6%34 W · 89 L+0.4wins0.00per pick27cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x511f…cbe1backed No27c161.04$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.1721958%127 W · 92 L+13.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+27.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf233…91e6backed Yes18c158.42$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.221741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-19.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb92a…f51cbacked No70c156.16$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.855050%25 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b9e…6838backed Yes71c155.44$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1102343.5%10 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+31.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4d54…4d13backed Yes36c152.49$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.94334.9%15 W · 28 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa1a0…2746backed No12c147.83$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.0919739.6%78 W · 119 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bc2…0fc5backed Yes14c142.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc50c…3017backed Yes79c133.5$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.47650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Yes71c130.03$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.4145736.3%166 W · 291 L-13.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-25.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x077c…8b1fbacked No73c120$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.421749.8%108 W · 109 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0dd3…36c5backed Yes79c119.99$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.791747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+25.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f2a…3706backed Yes79c114.61$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.5416646.4%77 W · 89 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b7b…8eaabacked No18c110.52$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.631650%8 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed No71c106.61$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.9226037.3%97 W · 163 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0bdc…e345backed Yes73c105.51$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.652347.8%11 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+41.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcd91…32b8backed No62c102.1$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.4264850.6%328 W · 320 L-13.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa74…78b9backed Yes79c100$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$794438.6%17 W · 27 L-9.0wins-0.20per pick59cpaid-41.4%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x0cff…be62backed Yes79c100$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$791533.3%5 W · 10 L-3.1wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-20.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3151…b943backed Yes79c100$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79850%4 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+52.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe086…0450backed No72c99.67$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.9132044.1%141 W · 179 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x221d…7207backed Yes22c92.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.12626.9%7 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc3a…3df7backed No71c91.24$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.821145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-36.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9eda…6e19backed No72c90$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.211241.1%46 W · 66 L-6.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-17.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed No24c84.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.3380225.7%206 W · 596 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No29c77$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.697799.6%75 W · 704 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick11cpaid-44.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1a6…1507backed No49c69.64$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.7710444.2%46 W · 58 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid+10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec56…6d0abacked No71c62$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes67c60.22$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.4279231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0947…9e92backed No67c60$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-31%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No20c59.25$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.3766239.6%262 W · 400 L-48.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-25.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5a79…6296backed Yes57c58.64$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.27944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0968…0165backed No69c52.36$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.233655.6%20 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4460…54d1backed No70c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+40.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf82a…7c35backed No71c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick66cpaid-53.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xee4c…9278backed No64c49.02$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.654850%24 W · 24 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd35e…a1e8backed No64c49.02$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.654953.1%26 W · 23 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfbd8…4027backed No56c49$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.617558.9%103 W · 72 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d54…db51backed Yes37c44$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.28333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-37.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x721a…9295backed No71c42$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2916246.9%76 W · 86 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1406…43ebbacked Yes73c41.1$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301283.3%10 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick68cpaid+31.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xde64…a821backed No67c40$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.4250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-24.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bbc…52f7backed Yes28c40$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick12cpaid-34.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d02…2ad3backed Yes79c37.74$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick77cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed No49c37$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.9948438.2%185 W · 299 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadbe…8967backed No64c35.03$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.613850%19 W · 19 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdea5…c77bbacked Yes71c29.99$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.292250%11 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-21%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f92…ecc7backed No70c24.85$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.463231.3%10 W · 22 L-3.8wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-48%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3cca…e8f7backed No65c22$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.71361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31c4…622fbacked No64c21.3$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.677346.6%34 W · 39 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No79c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.246047.2%217 W · 243 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xda67…b9e2backed Yes75c20$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.17per pick62cpaid-30.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x257b…d288backed No71c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ab9…8ba6backed No69c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.2250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28bf…4a4ebacked No74c18$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.6828554.4%155 W · 130 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.