Fifa International · resolved market
Will Tunisia concede the most goals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x28118cb0dbce1d62d0495f520cbe4cdb7e1f67445f31c7a24b6a50181113b50d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,441
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,838
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,441 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2f4f…728abacked Yes | 4c | 2,720$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.32 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -33%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb850…7597backed Yes | 2c | 1,260$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 2cpaid | +370.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 19c | 1,028$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.5 | 228 | 34.6%79 W · 149 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf4…ac20backed Yes | 53c | 625.29$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.98 | 345 | 33.6%116 W · 229 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x714f…66d5backed Yes | 10c | 513.87$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.38 | 119 | 28.6%34 W · 85 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 28c | 499.73$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.39 | 438 | 35.8%157 W · 281 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7b…2a5fbacked Yes | 61c | 369$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.61 | 201 | 42.8%86 W · 115 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49b6…170cbacked Yes | 10c | 326.94$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.89 | 60 | 31.7%19 W · 41 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 79c | 319.54$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.65 | 376 | 44.9%169 W · 207 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09b4…e56dbacked Yes | 40c | 260.58$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.2 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab73…a3e1backed No | 49c | 255.26$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +114.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 78c | 238.22$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed No | 45c | 227.14$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.97 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4061…dde5backed Yes | 15c | 201.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 157 | 22.3%35 W · 122 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96f7…d6aebacked Yes | 51c | 200.83$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.82 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +5.5wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ad…ff58backed Yes | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf6…3e76backed Yes | 79c | 184.37$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf46f…0e0fbacked Yes | 71c | 182.73$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 162 | 62.3%101 W · 61 L | +10.9wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fec…135dbacked Yes | 67c | 148.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 28c | 139.65$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.74 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 36c | 120$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.8 | 217 | 49.8%108 W · 109 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd41…8761backed Yes | 79c | 100$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.2 | 300 | 40.3%121 W · 179 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7842…4d91backed No | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 15c | 95$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.99 | 609 | 8.4%51 W · 558 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 78c | 86.83$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.73 | 662 | 39.6%262 W · 400 L | -48.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x152e…fcc8backed Yes | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 60c | 69.05$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.37 | 219 | 58%127 W · 92 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 46c | 68$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.88 | 457 | 36.3%166 W · 291 L | -13.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 66c | 65.16$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.33 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb69e…85c2backed Yes | 26c | 59.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.78 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -75%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 63c | 49$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.09 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 71c | 40.97$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.11 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 40c | 40.78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 427 | 37.2%159 W · 268 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4e…8e54backed Yes | 78c | 32.22$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 104 | 61.5%64 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc532…e86fbacked Yes | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf707…e8cebacked Yes | 69c | 28.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9577…7744backed Yes | 79c | 25.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 38cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd28…374abacked Yes | 75c | 23.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.58 | 132 | 51.5%68 W · 64 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4d…33edbacked Yes | 76c | 23.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.74 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1381…2388backed Yes | 77c | 19.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14a5…631fbacked Yes | 71c | 15.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Tunisia concede the most goals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?this page
- Will Cape Verde concede the most goals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?No won
- Will Curaçao concede the most goals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?No won
- Will France concede the most goals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?No won
- Will Germany concede the most goals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?No won
- Will Iraq concede the most goals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?Yes won
- Will Jordan concede the most goals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?No won
- Will New Zealand concede the most goals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?No won
- Will Paraguay concede the most goals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?No won
- Will Qatar concede the most goals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?No won
- Will South Africa concede the most goals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?No won
- Will Uzbekistan concede the most goals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.