Fifa International · resolved market
Will Iraq concede the most goals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc81324dde43e6c1bbe63f57bd9d614bbad582935a31565c7a0f161213e05316c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,535
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,784
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,535 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8de2…8483backed Yes | 79c | 3,808$3,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.13 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed No | 33c | 2,287$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.53 | 228 | 34.6%79 W · 149 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 1c | 2,097$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.52 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ca…04f5backed No | 1c | 1,199$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4f…728abacked No | 13c | 1,048$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.79 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -33%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb854…a75dbacked No | 39c | 772.17$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…e900backed Yes | 9c | 738.8$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.58 | 364 | 37.1%135 W · 229 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…9a9bbacked No | 11c | 573.22$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.48 | 57 | 33.3%19 W · 38 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 3c | 554.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 609 | 8.4%51 W · 558 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 39c | 505.33$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.24 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 65c | 485.57$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.44 | 802 | 25.7%206 W · 596 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49b6…170cbacked Yes | 27c | 400.26$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.81 | 60 | 31.7%19 W · 41 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 4c | 348.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.7 | 438 | 35.8%157 W · 281 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 5c | 281.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7842…4d91backed Yes | 45c | 279.61$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.78 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Yes | 57c | 257.53$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.24 | 413 | 31%128 W · 285 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x783e…5a19backed No | 9c | 237.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.31 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab73…a3e1backed Yes | 5c | 223.36$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.16 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +114.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 12c | 202.02$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.13 | 779 | 9.6%75 W · 704 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62da…326dbacked No | 9c | 187.65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce7f…de96backed Yes | 20c | 180$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.36 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed No | 14c | 174.26$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.27 | 920 | 38.5%354 W · 566 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf00…33a7backed Yes | 10c | 173.36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.02 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +4.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +54%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 50c | 173$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.18 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 64c | 170$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.3 | 217 | 49.8%108 W · 109 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 20c | 128$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 662 | 39.6%262 W · 400 L | -48.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 62c | 110.11$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.1 | 104 | 44.2%46 W · 58 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…7865backed No | 14c | 79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe560…6900backed Yes | 29c | 67.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.8 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 52c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.26 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb507…e1d3backed Yes | 44c | 48.12$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.12 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Iraq concede the most goals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?this page
- Will Cape Verde concede the most goals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?No won
- Will Curaçao concede the most goals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?No won
- Will France concede the most goals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?No won
- Will Germany concede the most goals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?No won
- Will Jordan concede the most goals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?No won
- Will New Zealand concede the most goals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?No won
- Will Paraguay concede the most goals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?No won
- Will Qatar concede the most goals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?No won
- Will South Africa concede the most goals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?No won
- Will Tunisia concede the most goals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?No won
- Will Uzbekistan concede the most goals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.