TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2c66…01d0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
88
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: CS2, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 55 out of 100; worst Valorant at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3450%17 W · 17 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.6
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.47
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.25
Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$368Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$367.78
Will Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.28
Will Paraguay be the worst-placed South American nation in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$136.19
Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.28
Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$303Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$117.84
Will Curaçao concede the most goals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$371Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$159.02
Will South Korea be the highest-scoring team in Group A during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$11.21
Will Qatar advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+25%+$6.71
Will Panama finish last in Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.6
Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.8
Will the announcers say "Ronaldo" during the England vs Croatia FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.08
Will the announcers say "Goal" 20+ times during the England vs Croatia FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$45.62
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: 2nd Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$295Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$295
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.34
Spain leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$423.66
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$176.17
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: 2nd Half O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$134.03
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$720Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$720
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.45
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.4
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$648Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$647.79
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT1758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will HEROIC make a roster change before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.7
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$847Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$476.46
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$46.8
Will Natus Vincere reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.92
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-3.5) vs BetBoom Team (+3.5)backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$265
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$392Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$110.46
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$239Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$239.25
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$501Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$587.95
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$298Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$297.83
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$423Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$293.99
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$306Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$294
Counter-Strike: G2 vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$402Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$198
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,700Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$1,041.9
Counter-Strike: ex-Zero Tenacity vs Johnny Speeds (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Playoffsbacked Johnny Speeds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$342Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$258
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed Lynn Vision · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$228
All 17 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick32cpaid+35.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran close its airspace by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.89
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$221Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$221.12
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$108
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+187.6%+$184.75
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$1,332Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+659.8%+$8,791.21
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$132.19
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.76
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+83.5%+$15.31
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$129.6
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$220.3
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.94
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.58
All 12 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-45.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win MSI 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$35
Will a team from LPL (China) win MSI 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.18
LoL: Solary vs Galions - Game 1 Winnerbacked Solary · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$265Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$235
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$484Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$503.29
LoL: Galions vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffsbacked Eintracht Spandau · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Game Handicap: SLY (-2.5) vs UCAM Esports Club (+2.5)backed UCAM Esports Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$230
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$408Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$408
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$174.99
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$316Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$315.74
All 10 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-53.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-28.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+31.2%+$16.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AJ Dybantsa be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$78
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$460Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$460.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.02
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.