TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Spiritof Spirit, 9z
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$586,409
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$695,528

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $586,409 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf68a…5b1bbacked 9z9c45,000$4,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,199.9923145.9%106 W · 125 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0336…4bb0backed 9z11c44,889$4,895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,894.566450%32 W · 32 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed 9z7c36,293$2,496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,496.181,40738.9%547 W · 860 L-41.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x183f…85e3backed 9z9c20,600$1,854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,853.9923848.3%115 W · 123 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked 9z9c16,895$1,528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,528.221,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe111…685abacked 9z10c15,000$1,563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,562.717540%70 W · 105 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7248…8cb4backed 9z10c14,000$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,399.993447.1%16 W · 18 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9c4…7433backed 9z10c11,424$1,104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,103.5613244.7%59 W · 73 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed 9z10c10,014$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,001.4471645.9%329 W · 387 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed 9z10c10,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.9811638.8%45 W · 71 L-7.3wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-20.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf64f…9f48backed 9z4c8,852$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.084325.6%11 W · 32 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed 9z11c8,636$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$949.9913732.1%44 W · 93 L-11.2wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-21%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked 9z10c8,399$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$839.8864852%337 W · 311 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed 9z9c7,730$696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$695.7488242.3%373 W · 509 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8ff…473dbacked 9z9c7,500$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6752458.3%14 W · 10 L+4.0wins+0.17per pick42cpaid+37.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed 9z10c7,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.981,41133.7%475 W · 936 L+42.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea1c…921bbacked 9z8c6,558$557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55712143.8%53 W · 68 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed 9z9c6,400$568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56832732.4%106 W · 221 L-0.5wins0.00per pick33cpaid+8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x710c…78eabacked 9z10c5,876$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$587.5813760.6%83 W · 54 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick57cpaid-2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed 9z9c5,277$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.9360248.7%293 W · 309 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f55…8956backed 9z11c4,427$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.761040%4 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-26.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked 9z11c4,091$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.9913234.8%46 W · 86 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-19.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcc96…d916backed 9z5c3,510$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.5210333%34 W · 69 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed 9z9c3,000$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27017045.9%78 W · 92 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe361…ae44backed 9z8c3,000$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23625145.8%115 W · 136 L+0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb01…7dfbbacked 9z5c2,512$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.59539.4%5 W · 48 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick12cpaid-31.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d98…e292backed 9z9c2,437$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.682744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-24.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b6c…5457backed 9z11c2,214$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.51812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.18per pick31cpaid-25.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed 9z11c2,197$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.411,62052.7%853 W · 767 L+57.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ad0…6187backed 9z11c2,075$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.223333.3%11 W · 22 L-3.5wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-38.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x41f7…60cfbacked 9z9c2,000$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.688038.8%31 W · 49 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked 9z9c2,000$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.752,62247.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L-33.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x490b…eec9backed 9z10c1,989$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.211247.3%53 W · 59 L+9.3wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+16.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbfee…ed1fbacked 9z8c1,970$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.5516920.1%34 W · 135 L-16.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-46.2%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked 9z2c1,880$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.071102.7%3 W · 107 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-70%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f7c…7a19backed 9z10c1,682$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.249452.1%49 W · 45 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35c8…ce5cbacked 9z9c1,600$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010737.4%40 W · 67 L-0.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe283…7190backed 9z11c1,555$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.4696545.7%441 W · 524 L+10.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc12a…30eebacked 9z11c1,544$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.83729.7%11 W · 26 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick38cpaid+3.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed 9z10c1,506$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.628549.5%141 W · 144 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+13.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a63…4256backed 9z1c1,500$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121010%1 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick16cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed 9z10c1,413$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.282,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed 9z10c1,400$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13557641.1%237 W · 339 L-21.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x91e8…f1abbacked 9z11c1,364$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15018654.8%102 W · 84 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x78fa…d5c3backed 9z7c1,280$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.213043.8%57 W · 73 L+9.7wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+23.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed 9z10c1,250$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1255,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e7c…164dbacked 9z10c1,173$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.334943%150 W · 199 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed 9z10c1,150$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.491,03839.9%414 W · 624 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x118c…3fffbacked 9z4c1,111$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.444353.5%23 W · 20 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x836e…95fbbacked 9z10c1,100$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1101631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick33cpaid+58.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d86…a6f9backed 9z11c1,027$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1138651.2%44 W · 42 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x07e2…4b9cbacked 9z5c1,013$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.658032.5%26 W · 54 L-7.0wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-45.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3783…171dbacked 9z10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10024562%152 W · 93 L+21.9wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+22%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8aa6…83f9backed 9z11c1,000$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11018442.9%79 W · 105 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f16…553dbacked 9z10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022751.5%117 W · 110 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3bd…6dddbacked 9z9c1,000$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed 9z9c1,000$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9024935.7%89 W · 160 L-14.6wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed 9z5c1,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502,50841%1,029 W · 1,479 L-115.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe02…be9dbacked 9z10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10031253.5%167 W · 145 L+14.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f8d…01debacked 9z10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006737.3%25 W · 42 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9438…e019backed 9z12c1,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1209642.7%41 W · 55 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x930e…38cfbacked 9z4c1,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4021522.3%48 W · 167 L-0.3wins0.00per pick22cpaid-45.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdec9…b8abbacked 9z10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020643.7%90 W · 116 L-9.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb07…2e36backed 9z9c999.98$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$871637.5%6 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick29cpaid+60.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked 9z10c999.98$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10039548.6%192 W · 203 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed 9z10c960$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9648240%193 W · 289 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x812a…73edbacked 9z10c926.95$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.8648319%92 W · 391 L-65.4wins-0.14per pick33cpaid-46.4%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x0938…4e4cbacked 9z11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005641.1%23 W · 33 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad84…1897backed 9z11c848.64$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.3519443.3%84 W · 110 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x03f0…63e0backed 9z11c727.27$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8022253.2%118 W · 104 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed 9z10c720$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$722,52243%1,085 W · 1,437 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0249…5b4bbacked 9z11c700$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$773633.3%12 W · 24 L+0.1wins0.00per pick33cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd925…f36fbacked 9z10c700$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$709054.4%49 W · 41 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2cd2…1f27backed 9z10c672.38$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7054439.7%216 W · 328 L-1.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9663…5b70backed 9z11c656$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.889141.8%38 W · 53 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-7.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5045…914abacked 9z11c635.98$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.9610644.3%47 W · 59 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae27…6fb2backed 9z10c631.21$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6015930.8%49 W · 110 L+0.3wins0.00per pick31cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed 9z10c630.1$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.011,03353.2%550 W · 483 L+64.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd331…733cbacked 9z11c626.55$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.1719457.2%111 W · 83 L+9.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf7da…43d9backed 9z11c600$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6627156.1%152 W · 119 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c66…01d0backed 9z10c600$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x83ce…835cbacked 9z10c563$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.415850%79 W · 79 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed 9z5c524$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.25,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x56af…3065backed 9z12c509.14$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.955820.7%12 W · 46 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-33.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xef00…de7fbacked 9z10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507737.7%29 W · 48 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-12.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5532…d43cbacked 9z11c500$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551827.8%5 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3711…1cccbacked 9z3c500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153221.9%7 W · 25 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4531…0ad7backed 9z10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505048%24 W · 26 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed 9z11c500$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5528738%109 W · 178 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1d9…5333backed 9z10c499.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013253.8%71 W · 61 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4a1…1b33backed 9z9c498.17$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.246142.6%26 W · 35 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa533…acacbacked 9z10c492.08$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5023858.4%139 W · 99 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x24ad…d485backed 9z10c471.6$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0217…1579backed 9z11c454.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508336.1%30 W · 53 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe80f…3354backed 9z11c454.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508549.4%42 W · 43 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+16.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a70…0519backed 9z11c454.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5038835.6%138 W · 250 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-5.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9f87…d9bcbacked 9z11c444.91$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.94650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-13.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4247…91c4backed 9z11c408.64$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.9515743.9%69 W · 88 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x26c6…1e14backed 9z9c404.89$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.4414544.8%65 W · 80 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fa6…03ebbacked 9z10c400$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4095642.6%407 W · 549 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.