CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x78aeffff83031b4880183033b44fc7d554c20425f61a54d8e5f5778d9deb5338
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spiritof Spirit, 9z
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $586,409
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $695,528
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $586,409 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked 9z | 9c | 45,000$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,199.99 | 231 | 45.9%106 W · 125 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0336…4bb0backed 9z | 11c | 44,889$4,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,894.56 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed 9z | 7c | 36,293$2,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,496.18 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed 9z | 9c | 20,600$1,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,853.99 | 238 | 48.3%115 W · 123 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked 9z | 9c | 16,895$1,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,528.22 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe111…685abacked 9z | 10c | 15,000$1,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,562.7 | 175 | 40%70 W · 105 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7248…8cb4backed 9z | 10c | 14,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.99 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c4…7433backed 9z | 10c | 11,424$1,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,103.56 | 132 | 44.7%59 W · 73 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed 9z | 10c | 10,014$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.44 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed 9z | 10c | 10,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.98 | 116 | 38.8%45 W · 71 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf64f…9f48backed 9z | 4c | 8,852$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.08 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed 9z | 11c | 8,636$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.99 | 137 | 32.1%44 W · 93 L | -11.2wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -21%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked 9z | 10c | 8,399$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.88 | 648 | 52%337 W · 311 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed 9z | 9c | 7,730$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.74 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ff…473dbacked 9z | 9c | 7,500$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +4.0wins | +0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed 9z | 10c | 7,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.98 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea1c…921bbacked 9z | 8c | 6,558$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557 | 121 | 43.8%53 W · 68 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed 9z | 9c | 6,400$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568 | 327 | 32.4%106 W · 221 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…78eabacked 9z | 10c | 5,876$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.58 | 137 | 60.6%83 W · 54 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed 9z | 9c | 5,277$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.93 | 602 | 48.7%293 W · 309 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f55…8956backed 9z | 11c | 4,427$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.76 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked 9z | 11c | 4,091$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.99 | 132 | 34.8%46 W · 86 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc96…d916backed 9z | 5c | 3,510$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.52 | 103 | 33%34 W · 69 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed 9z | 9c | 3,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 170 | 45.9%78 W · 92 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…ae44backed 9z | 8c | 3,000$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236 | 251 | 45.8%115 W · 136 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked 9z | 5c | 2,512$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.59 | 53 | 9.4%5 W · 48 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d98…e292backed 9z | 9c | 2,437$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.68 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6c…5457backed 9z | 11c | 2,214$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.51 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 31cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed 9z | 11c | 2,197$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.41 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad0…6187backed 9z | 11c | 2,075$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.22 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41f7…60cfbacked 9z | 9c | 2,000$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.68 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked 9z | 9c | 2,000$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.75 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x490b…eec9backed 9z | 10c | 1,989$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.2 | 112 | 47.3%53 W · 59 L | +9.3wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfee…ed1fbacked 9z | 8c | 1,970$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.55 | 169 | 20.1%34 W · 135 L | -16.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked 9z | 2c | 1,880$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.07 | 110 | 2.7%3 W · 107 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -70%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7c…7a19backed 9z | 10c | 1,682$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.24 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35c8…ce5cbacked 9z | 9c | 1,600$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 107 | 37.4%40 W · 67 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed 9z | 11c | 1,555$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.46 | 965 | 45.7%441 W · 524 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc12a…30eebacked 9z | 11c | 1,544$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.8 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed 9z | 10c | 1,506$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.6 | 285 | 49.5%141 W · 144 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a63…4256backed 9z | 1c | 1,500$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed 9z | 10c | 1,413$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.28 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed 9z | 10c | 1,400$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 576 | 41.1%237 W · 339 L | -21.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91e8…f1abbacked 9z | 11c | 1,364$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 186 | 54.8%102 W · 84 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78fa…d5c3backed 9z | 7c | 1,280$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.2 | 130 | 43.8%57 W · 73 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed 9z | 10c | 1,250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked 9z | 10c | 1,173$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.3 | 349 | 43%150 W · 199 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed 9z | 10c | 1,150$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.49 | 1,038 | 39.9%414 W · 624 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x118c…3fffbacked 9z | 4c | 1,111$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.44 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x836e…95fbbacked 9z | 10c | 1,100$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d86…a6f9backed 9z | 11c | 1,027$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07e2…4b9cbacked 9z | 5c | 1,013$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.65 | 80 | 32.5%26 W · 54 L | -7.0wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3783…171dbacked 9z | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 245 | 62%152 W · 93 L | +21.9wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +22%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed 9z | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 184 | 42.9%79 W · 105 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f16…553dbacked 9z | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 227 | 51.5%117 W · 110 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3bd…6dddbacked 9z | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed 9z | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 249 | 35.7%89 W · 160 L | -14.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed 9z | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…be9dbacked 9z | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 312 | 53.5%167 W · 145 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8d…01debacked 9z | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…e019backed 9z | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x930e…38cfbacked 9z | 4c | 1,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 215 | 22.3%48 W · 167 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdec9…b8abbacked 9z | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 206 | 43.7%90 W · 116 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb07…2e36backed 9z | 9c | 999.98$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked 9z | 10c | 999.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 395 | 48.6%192 W · 203 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed 9z | 10c | 960$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 482 | 40%193 W · 289 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked 9z | 10c | 926.95$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.86 | 483 | 19%92 W · 391 L | -65.4wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0938…4e4cbacked 9z | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad84…1897backed 9z | 11c | 848.64$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.35 | 194 | 43.3%84 W · 110 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed 9z | 11c | 727.27$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 222 | 53.2%118 W · 104 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed 9z | 10c | 720$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked 9z | 11c | 700$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd925…f36fbacked 9z | 10c | 700$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd2…1f27backed 9z | 10c | 672.38$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 544 | 39.7%216 W · 328 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed 9z | 11c | 656$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.88 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5045…914abacked 9z | 11c | 635.98$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.96 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae27…6fb2backed 9z | 10c | 631.21$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 159 | 30.8%49 W · 110 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed 9z | 10c | 630.1$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.01 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked 9z | 11c | 626.55$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.17 | 194 | 57.2%111 W · 83 L | +9.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7da…43d9backed 9z | 11c | 600$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 271 | 56.1%152 W · 119 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c66…01d0backed 9z | 10c | 600$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked 9z | 10c | 563$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.4 | 158 | 50%79 W · 79 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed 9z | 5c | 524$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.2 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56af…3065backed 9z | 12c | 509.14$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.95 | 58 | 20.7%12 W · 46 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef00…de7fbacked 9z | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 77 | 37.7%29 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5532…d43cbacked 9z | 11c | 500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3711…1cccbacked 9z | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4531…0ad7backed 9z | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed 9z | 11c | 500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 287 | 38%109 W · 178 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d9…5333backed 9z | 10c | 499.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 132 | 53.8%71 W · 61 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a1…1b33backed 9z | 9c | 498.17$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.24 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa533…acacbacked 9z | 10c | 492.08$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 238 | 58.4%139 W · 99 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24ad…d485backed 9z | 10c | 471.6$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0217…1579backed 9z | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 83 | 36.1%30 W · 53 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe80f…3354backed 9z | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a70…0519backed 9z | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 388 | 35.6%138 W · 250 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f87…d9bcbacked 9z | 11c | 444.91$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.94 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed 9z | 11c | 408.64$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.95 | 157 | 43.9%69 W · 88 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26c6…1e14backed 9z | 9c | 404.89$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.44 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked 9z | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 956 | 42.6%407 W · 549 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2this page
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 WinnerSpirit won
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 WinnerSpirit won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs 9z (+3.5)Spirit won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-6.5) vs 9z (+6.5)Spirit won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs 9z (+3.5)Spirit won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-6.5) vs 9z (+6.5)Spirit won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5)Spirit won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.