CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc6169793869f32176f3ea74b42412e26fa3e57cd02662f5b6db146ec466eba0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spiritof Spirit, 9z
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $111,794
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $140,926
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $111,794 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed 9z | 15c | 14,750$2,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,221.09 | 1,396 | 38.9%543 W · 853 L | -41.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c93…33d5backed 9z | 1c | 4,770$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.7 | 484 | 37.6%182 W · 302 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +42%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96f7…d6aebacked 9z | 12c | 4,479$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.44 | 221 | 29.9%66 W · 155 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked 9z | 20c | 4,338$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$867.58 | 7,892 | 50.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L | +182.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed 9z | 16c | 4,245$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.27 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed 9z | 18c | 2,951$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.74 | 170 | 45.9%78 W · 92 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed 9z | 18c | 2,893$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.74 | 176 | 43.2%76 W · 100 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…f081backed 9z | 7c | 2,850$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.5 | 124 | 33.9%42 W · 82 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed 9z | 20c | 2,543$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.47 | 2,057 | 41.5%853 W · 1,204 L | -50.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41f7…60cfbacked 9z | 20c | 2,000$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.78 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc96…d916backed 9z | 18c | 1,991$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.44 | 103 | 33%34 W · 69 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…6e77backed 9z | 18c | 1,884$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.44 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a60…7b81backed 9z | 4c | 1,657$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.75 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x951f…e430backed Spirit | 78c | 1,296$1,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.05 | 124 | 41.1%51 W · 73 L | -7.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked 9z | 14c | 1,250$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe766…404dbacked 9z | 18c | 1,230$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.4 | 139 | 47.5%66 W · 73 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed 9z | 17c | 1,200$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 512 | 52.3%268 W · 244 L | +16.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a57…7b0abacked 9z | 19c | 1,152$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.87 | 224 | 49.6%111 W · 113 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x751b…73fdbacked 9z | 17c | 1,143$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.31 | 256 | 55.1%141 W · 115 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x490b…eec9backed 9z | 19c | 1,093$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.8 | 112 | 47.3%53 W · 59 L | +9.3wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x656e…9339backed 9z | 19c | 1,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 418 | 48.8%204 W · 214 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed 9z | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 574 | 0%0 W · 574 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed 9z | 24c | 863.23$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.49 | 5,810 | 37.8%2,196 W · 3,614 L | +78.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0568…dc48backed 9z | 20c | 801.28$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.26 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…9cc3backed 9z | 17c | 794.98$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.15 | 218 | 54.1%118 W · 100 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…8e51backed 9z | 6c | 750$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 417 | 16.5%69 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb3a…5998backed Spirit | 78c | 600$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Spirit | 79c | 549.83$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.46 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Spirit | 79c | 518.56$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.9 | 5,028 | 55%2,763 W · 2,265 L | +112.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ad…39c6backed Spirit | 79c | 505$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.05 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +22%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked 9z | 5c | 502$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.35 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x427d…79f8backed 9z | 13c | 499.98$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ddd…1ad3backed 9z | 19c | 499.97$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.99 | 154 | 53.9%83 W · 71 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8e…f9b2backed 9z | 26c | 423.46$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed Spirit | 79c | 422.38$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.7 | 376 | 50.3%189 W · 187 L | -15.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe893…afaebacked 9z | 18c | 409.37$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.69 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0698…b91dbacked 9z | 20c | 370$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 156 | 37.2%58 W · 98 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked 9z | 19c | 368.42$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 325 | 42.2%137 W · 188 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x146c…b807backed 9z | 14c | 365.36$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 400 | 48.8%195 W · 205 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed 9z | 13c | 321.39$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.06 | 1,037 | 39.8%413 W · 624 L | +20.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked 9z | 19c | 309.14$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.21 | 4,661 | 43.5%2,027 W · 2,634 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83ba…2404backed 9z | 16c | 278.63$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 218 | 56%122 W · 96 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf9…dde4backed Spirit | 78c | 255.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.29 | 167 | 66.5%111 W · 56 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b2…70f0backed 9z | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 426 | 31.5%134 W · 292 L | -16.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07f9…1513backed 9z | 17c | 247.04$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 443 | 43.3%192 W · 251 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0336…4bb0backed 9z | 19c | 243.68$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.3 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Spirit | 78c | 227$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.92 | 5,262 | 31.3%1,647 W · 3,615 L | -381.6wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed 9z | 20c | 210.77$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.25 | 4,040 | 50.9%2,057 W · 1,983 L | +71.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec3d…e042backed 9z | 10c | 210.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e6…fb0fbacked 9z | 19c | 200.22$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.88 | 91 | 29.7%27 W · 64 L | -8.3wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x40b0…f139backed Spirit | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf842…9563backed 9z | 13c | 161.54$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f4a…afd7backed 9z | 18c | 161.11$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 227 | 40.5%92 W · 135 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Spirit | 79c | 156.5$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.86 | 870 | 47.9%417 W · 453 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked 9z | 20c | 151.66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.33 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8faa…e76abacked 9z | 7c | 149.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 103 | 56.3%58 W · 45 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed 9z | 10c | 142.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 263 | 36.5%96 W · 167 L | -17.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x25a6…602fbacked 9z | 18c | 137.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.69 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed 9z | 21c | 131.9$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.95 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54ea…f74abacked 9z | 19c | 129.81$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.66 | 253 | 44.3%112 W · 141 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed 9z | 15c | 125$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Spirit | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1,998 | 53.7%1,073 W · 925 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0a…25bdbacked Spirit | 75c | 118.67$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.67 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf99e…bde6backed Spirit | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 587 | 62.2%365 W · 222 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ac…e2a8backed 9z | 17c | 90.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 115 | 50.4%58 W · 57 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +29%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb6…67edbacked 9z | 18c | 90$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcce1…49c7backed 9z | 19c | 89.47$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 351 | 47.9%168 W · 183 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed 9z | 18c | 83.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 259 | 41.3%107 W · 152 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07f5…d680backed 9z | 21c | 80$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0c…14cebacked Spirit | 80c | 71.22$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.24 | 157 | 51%80 W · 77 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7556…0f44backed 9z | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2a…3706backed Spirit | 78c | 50.75$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked Spirit | 77c | 50.75$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe728…9592backed Spirit | 79c | 50.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8e…8e0dbacked Spirit | 78c | 41.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 503 | 58.6%295 W · 208 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Spirit | 79c | 30.37$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.29 | 500 | 51.4%257 W · 243 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Spirit | 79c | 25.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 305 | 45.9%140 W · 165 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x253b…6ca8backed Spirit | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 125 | 33.6%42 W · 83 L | -12.1wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2Spirit won
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 WinnerSpirit won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs 9z (+3.5)Spirit won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-6.5) vs 9z (+6.5)Spirit won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs 9z (+3.5)Spirit won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-6.5) vs 9z (+6.5)Spirit won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5)Spirit won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.