Fifa International · resolved market
Will Panama finish last in Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5b9f3cf9ea8322e88a48f0f8284f5da3ad9d234077473337421fbe834779417c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,300
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,841
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,300 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed No | 50c | 6,127$3,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,062.42 | 120 | 46.7%56 W · 64 L | -11.5wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked No | 41c | 4,670$1,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,914.25 | 108 | 33.3%36 W · 72 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Yes | 50c | 3,904$1,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,952.07 | 534 | 48.5%259 W · 275 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05f0…2469backed No | 43c | 2,474$1,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,063.78 | 129 | 45%58 W · 71 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6d…27bbbacked Yes | 57c | 2,353$1,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.98 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab2d…b1aabacked Yes | 66c | 2,050$1,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.6 | 165 | 40.6%67 W · 98 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f71…b2e4backed Yes | 58c | 2,034$1,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$846.96 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | +12.8wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc966…e142backed Yes | 57c | 2,032$1,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.04 | 37 | 10.8%4 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -72%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2f…4adbbacked Yes | 59c | 1,695$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.92 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +6.4wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd8…ce32backed No | 41c | 1,618$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.8 | 133 | 30.1%40 W · 93 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0121…f722backed Yes | 78c | 1,308$1,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.22 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | +11.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41f0…3eebbacked Yes | 54c | 1,114$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.96 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No | 15c | 1,100$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.84 | 476 | 48.5%231 W · 245 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes | 34c | 886.94$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.66 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2567…fc9dbacked Yes | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.19 | 123 | 49.6%61 W · 62 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 45c | 837$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.49 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 10c | 829$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.9 | 263 | 30%79 W · 184 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed No | 14c | 799.99$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 341 | 51%174 W · 167 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 2c | 797$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.94 | 609 | 8.4%51 W · 558 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked No | 15c | 768.99$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.35 | 406 | 49.8%202 W · 204 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 56c | 767.3$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.88 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…bf77backed Yes | 79c | 765.66$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.47 | 152 | 61.2%93 W · 59 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…9ff9backed Yes | 52c | 749.98$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.99 | 69 | 65.2%45 W · 24 L | +9.6wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7b…2a5fbacked Yes | 53c | 675.03$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.26 | 201 | 42.8%86 W · 115 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 9c | 622.34$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.36 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2546…5155backed Yes | 57c | 610$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.3 | 224 | 49.6%111 W · 113 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…8bcdbacked No | 43c | 609.67$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.32 | 878 | 37.2%327 W · 551 L | -41.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf00…33a7backed Yes | 68c | 589.99$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.7 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +4.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +54%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x49f2…d7b4backed No | 44c | 560.71$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.71 | 193 | 45.1%87 W · 106 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb7e…28ddbacked No | 50c | 528$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.99 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…f2f5backed Yes | 58c | 519.74$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.74 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b60…85e0backed Yes | 59c | 508.47$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.47 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed No | 47c | 500.36$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.73 | 119 | 45.4%54 W · 65 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1237…06afbacked No | 14c | 474.14$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.77 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 13c | 446.83$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.39 | 802 | 25.7%206 W · 596 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed No | 44c | 413.9$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.25 | 350 | 33.7%118 W · 232 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed No | 49c | 407.41$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.63 | 181 | 39.8%72 W · 109 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2836…c511backed Yes | 57c | 365.97$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.52 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.36per pick | 51cpaid | +167.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed No | 14c | 354.73$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.66 | 285 | 47.7%136 W · 149 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…01acbacked No | 48c | 346$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.48 | 245 | 41.2%101 W · 144 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0e…c02bbacked Yes | 55c | 343$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.22 | 163 | 33.7%55 W · 108 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 43c | 304$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.7 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 302 | 41.4%125 W · 177 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a96…69debacked Yes | 59c | 284.14$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.9 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +3.8wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a91…0776backed Yes | 58c | 277.04$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.36 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x556b…8edfbacked Yes | 56c | 275.7$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.69 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.22per pick | 41cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…87cfbacked Yes | 71c | 216$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.1 | 173 | 40.5%70 W · 103 L | +11.1wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked No | 47c | 202$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.6 | 657 | 37.4%246 W · 411 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8647…d870backed Yes | 68c | 199.99$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.33 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d82…3a1bbacked Yes | 55c | 195$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.8 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed Yes | 56c | 178.2$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.85 | 222 | 43.7%97 W · 125 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked Yes | 59c | 175$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.75 | 128 | 47.7%61 W · 67 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 25c | 173.48$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.37 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed Yes | 59c | 170$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.7 | 320 | 44.1%141 W · 179 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e6…29c7backed Yes | 59c | 170$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.7 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked Yes | 59c | 169.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.58 | 140 | 49.3%69 W · 71 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6797…42fbbacked Yes | 57c | 164.73$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.73 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed No | 40c | 157.5$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 272 | 55.9%152 W · 120 L | +36.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x357c…7dfebacked Yes | 57c | 156$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.08 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 14c | 151$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.14 | 260 | 37.3%97 W · 163 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 36c | 150.63$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 43c | 150.51$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.44 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed No | 55c | 140.72$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.4 | 426 | 40.1%171 W · 255 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x426f…e76bbacked Yes | 56c | 140$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x416c…a782backed Yes | 57c | 139.85$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.85 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 74c | 135$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.3 | 486 | 36.6%178 W · 308 L | -48.4wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Yes | 57c | 134.89$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.18 | 172 | 55.2%95 W · 77 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked Yes | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 194 | 61.3%119 W · 75 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde63…46c2backed Yes | 75c | 125$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.35 | 107 | 27.1%29 W · 78 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2a…3706backed Yes | 69c | 120$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.4 | 166 | 46.4%77 W · 89 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71dd…a4e2backed No | 45c | 110.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6406…bc04backed No | 46c | 108.33$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.37 | 109 | 66.1%72 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x369c…eab1backed No | 46c | 102.39$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.66 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd0…5adebacked No | 44c | 102.12$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x97df…3088backed Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82fb…bed6backed No | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbc…186dbacked Yes | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…e16fbacked No | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15f6…e3f8backed Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x040d…1a5ebacked Yes | 56c | 99.99$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.99 | 124 | 32.3%40 W · 84 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…78e0backed No | 15c | 98.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 215 | 17.2%37 W · 178 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 15c | 89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 182 | 46.2%84 W · 98 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b25…ff39backed Yes | 58c | 83.92$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.25 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x615c…e752backed Yes | 57c | 82.05$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.28 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.28per pick | 44cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42d9…bc6dbacked Yes | 57c | 80$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.4 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c15…9a45backed No | 48c | 73.35$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.93 | 363 | 50.1%182 W · 181 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a9a…72e7backed No | 42c | 72.44$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.64 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbf…0098backed Yes | 56c | 71.23$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.23 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0295…ed9dbacked Yes | 57c | 69.74$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.74 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2894…0888backed Yes | 58c | 68.48$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3c…fc78backed Yes | 73c | 64.21$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.34 | 225 | 60.4%136 W · 89 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x476c…ce52backed No | 42c | 64$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.88 | 254 | 43.7%111 W · 143 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea7…d0d3backed Yes | 63c | 63.26$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.26 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 22c | 62.34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 779 | 9.6%75 W · 704 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 43c | 61.31$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.06 | 130 | 60.8%79 W · 51 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4041…6f52backed Yes | 57c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 123 | 27.6%34 W · 89 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e13…e968backed Yes | 53c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 111 | 33.3%37 W · 74 L | -8.8wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 148 | 58.8%87 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06ff…70b7backed Yes | 56c | 59.98$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.69 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Panama finish last in Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?this page
- Will Croatia finish last in Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?No won
- Will Ghana finish last in Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.