TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Solary vs Galions - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Galionsof Solary, Galions
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$221,157
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$258,826

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $221,157 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 227 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2c33…0563backed Solary35c32,635$11,566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,565.9525946.7%121 W · 138 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe361…ae44backed Galions65c25,233$16,394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,838.8889746.9%421 W · 476 L+43.7wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Galions62c15,000$9,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,699.9992254%498 W · 424 L-1.8wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked Galions73c11,134$8,145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,988.920348.8%99 W · 104 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe405…c67ebacked Galions53c10,801$5,730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,070.9467760.4%409 W · 268 L+42.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe015…6ffdbacked Galions40c10,471$4,183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,287.8896948.6%471 W · 498 L+12.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a4c…1f30backed Galions44c7,029$3,108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,920.7216356.4%92 W · 71 L+10.6wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Galions43c5,606$2,411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,195.556861.8%42 W · 26 L+8.7wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+26.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Solary57c5,446$3,104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,104.1657546.3%266 W · 309 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Solary55c5,437$2,987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,986.642,54039.7%1,009 W · 1,531 L-79.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4068…aeb1backed Solary42c3,295$1,387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,386.9715431.8%49 W · 105 L-18.7wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-33.5%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed Solary56c3,220$1,807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,806.631,32038.6%510 W · 810 L-66.0wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked Galions43c3,114$1,339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,774.81,50250.3%756 W · 746 L+71.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x842c…6674backed Galions62c2,833$1,767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,065.9918162.4%113 W · 68 L+21.1wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+16.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x24d4…4e1dbacked Solary57c2,807$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,60027142.4%115 W · 156 L-15.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5556…2759backed Solary58c2,508$1,451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,450.6363751.2%326 W · 311 L-13.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Solary54c2,500$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3502,52147.3%1,193 W · 1,328 L-34.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa113…bb53backed Solary40c2,457$975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$974.898538.8%33 W · 52 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Galions76c2,323$1,766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557.41,06154.7%580 W · 481 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5809…9868backed Solary52c2,300$1,202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,201.7697527.8%271 W · 704 L-23.8wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-28.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked Solary36c2,194$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80082260.9%501 W · 321 L+0.6wins0.00per pick61cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Galions43c2,144$924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,220.591,21343.4%527 W · 686 L-15.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95b8…47c9backed Solary57c2,105$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20066947.8%320 W · 349 L-0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Solary56c2,000$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,119.993,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6918…782bbacked Galions42c1,953$820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,132.531,52254.7%832 W · 690 L+37.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5286…0d47backed Galions49c1,761$871 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$890.2328137.4%105 W · 176 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed Solary3c1,579$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.291,5203.3%50 W · 1,470 L-54.0wins-0.04per pick7cpaid-74.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x74fc…a0bdbacked Galions63c1,574$993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581.4515457.8%89 W · 65 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked Galions43c1,500$645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85590350.8%459 W · 444 L+17.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Galions69c1,362$947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.671,67157.9%968 W · 703 L+70.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Solary40c1,233$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.932,98444.5%1,329 W · 1,655 L-94.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc387…5a97backed Galions43c1,163$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662.7961154.7%334 W · 277 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc6ab…b16ebacked Solary60c1,045$627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$626.923040%12 W · 18 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-26.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Galions70c1,000$698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.941,91237.1%709 W · 1,203 L-115.7wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-32.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5006…48cabacked Solary60c1,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60010539%41 W · 64 L-8.4wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-13.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5d71…8da4backed Galions62c1,000$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38041843.8%183 W · 235 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x048f…9992backed Solary1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105920%0 W · 592 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53e9…5ef8backed Solary9c1,000$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8594237.3%351 W · 591 L+51.0wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd22c…881fbacked Solary60c990.39$594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$594.2330%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3186…e9cabacked Galions71c945.53$672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.041,54062.6%964 W · 576 L+158.6wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+8.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Galions64c930.55$596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.122,70735.9%972 W · 1,735 L-152.3wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-31.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x99f7…1a59backed Solary20c920.7$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.2849739.4%196 W · 301 L+2.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5c8…5e53backed Galions70c920.52$641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.225074.8%187 W · 63 L+42.0wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+24.6%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x32c3…5b4ebacked Solary45c900$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.274344.2%19 W · 24 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Galions67c889.99$596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.053,15933.8%1,068 W · 2,091 L-152.6wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Solary26c875.25$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.52,23733.3%745 W · 1,492 L-71.3wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa613…d494backed Solary57c865.95$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.5920557.1%117 W · 88 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa487…9439backed Solary57c863.54$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.2211538.3%44 W · 71 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa469…0782backed Galions57c802.76$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.191,32753.3%707 W · 620 L+37.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda20…cb8dbacked Solary60c750$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4502763%17 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10ae…df49backed Solary56c731.49$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.7823432.5%76 W · 158 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick33cpaid+5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ae1…befbbacked Solary57c706.8$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.8866942.9%287 W · 382 L-30.1wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Solary43c702.4$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.171,85239.8%738 W · 1,114 L-64.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c73…6dafbacked Galions75c666.67$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.6752365%340 W · 183 L-16.3wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Solary35c635.47$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.171,08546.2%501 W · 584 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x316f…795abacked Solary20c614$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.1313830.4%42 W · 96 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Galions67c578.16$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.671,96548.4%951 W · 1,014 L+27.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2ce…65a2backed Solary60c569.51$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.7120%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5181…b4a2backed Solary58c548.07$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.8811060.9%67 W · 43 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x90bb…531fbacked Solary19c540$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.87739%30 W · 47 L+0.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51d9…cb1abacked Solary57c530$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.148243.2%208 W · 274 L-13.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Galions68c516.19$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1651,57155.1%866 W · 705 L+80.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9214…ddbfbacked Solary50c507.3$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.4436952.3%193 W · 176 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaaeb…9ec2backed Solary13c500$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$653351.5%17 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09c1…0ddfbacked Solary60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002326.1%6 W · 17 L-6.0wins-0.26per pick52cpaid-52%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x764a…83d3backed Solary60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006240.3%25 W · 37 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-17.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8494…814abacked Solary60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3007839.7%31 W · 47 L-5.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-19.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2c66…01d0backed Solary60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001030%3 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-45.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0446…5e51backed Solary60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick58cpaid-47.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x71df…9aa0backed Solary60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+36.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe84a…02febacked Solary60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004252.4%22 W · 20 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Solary54c500$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2701,59946.8%748 W · 851 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3650…d17cbacked Solary60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001050%5 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2131…7325backed Solary60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300128.3%1 W · 11 L-4.5wins-0.38per pick46cpaid-77.5%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xcef5…3881backed Solary60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001926.3%5 W · 14 L-4.5wins-0.23per pick50cpaid-49%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x377c…72a1backed Solary60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001520%3 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-24%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Solary55c499.99$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.991,41243.8%618 W · 794 L-3.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3135…f6c3backed Solary38c487.89$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.432253.1%171 W · 151 L+19.3wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x272d…bc2fbacked Solary38c487.89$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.430253.6%162 W · 140 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa14d…45d1backed Galions42c487.39$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.6913549.6%67 W · 68 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cde…96e2backed Solary38c481.85$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.14632.6%15 W · 31 L-5.8wins-0.13per pick45cpaid-38.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3ee4…ed67backed Galions53c476.28$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.964841.7%20 W · 28 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7d3…698bbacked Galions42c476.19$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.1925256.3%142 W · 110 L+14.2wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x27f5…c45dbacked Solary45c450$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.517438.5%67 W · 107 L-7.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Solary37c432.47$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.951,54543.8%676 W · 869 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Solary40c400$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1601,81339.1%709 W · 1,104 L-30.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39e9…e2dfbacked Solary41c400$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1642433.3%8 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick39cpaid+5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x36a0…436dbacked Solary21c397.59$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.4347738.6%184 W · 293 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69b9…a5d5backed Solary38c395.26$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.228048.6%136 W · 144 L-0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf06…c9ffbacked Galions62c384.35$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.3163551.8%329 W · 306 L+39.0wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+22.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed Solary31c382.36$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11885852.3%449 W · 409 L+35.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1025…fbfabacked Solary18c373.12$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.4351554.4%280 W · 235 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb57f…0c96backed Solary57c362.58$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.6744039.5%174 W · 266 L-25.3wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-14.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xeebb…0b96backed Solary58c361.49$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21028835.4%102 W · 186 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xae94…6b17backed Solary18c359.98$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.48450%42 W · 42 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+24.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed Galions59c349.99$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.560053.2%319 W · 281 L+15.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Galions66c346.9$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.721,42838.4%548 W · 880 L-42.4wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7cba…3ec4backed Galions44c340.91$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.911,54543.7%675 W · 870 L-18.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Galions45c334.14$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.1419148.7%93 W · 98 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3ee…663bbacked Solary41c322$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.022650%13 W · 13 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+41.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.