TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Solary vs Galions - Game 3 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Galionsof Solary, Galions
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$403,032
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$445,026

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $403,032 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 339 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe361…ae44backed Solary16c18,270$2,879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,878.8589347%420 W · 473 L+44.2wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-7.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Galions65c17,015$11,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,007.4291854%496 W · 422 L-1.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe405…c67ebacked Solary56c14,610$8,191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,191.2867760.4%409 W · 268 L+42.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf201…527ebacked Solary16c13,770$2,229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,229.431,29545.1%584 W · 711 L+49.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Galions44c13,000$5,676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,324.272,00458.2%1,166 W · 838 L+86.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x32c3…5b4ebacked Solary38c12,079$4,537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,536.744344.2%19 W · 24 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f6c…620bbacked Solary3c10,358$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.9732566.5%216 W · 109 L+26.7wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+11.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xe015…6ffdbacked Galions40c9,096$3,633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,462.3196048.8%468 W · 492 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked Galions61c7,725$4,721 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,004.3320348.8%99 W · 104 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Galions50c7,586$3,813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,772.331,06154.7%580 W · 481 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5809…9868backed Solary36c7,265$2,614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,613.7997427.8%271 W · 703 L-23.1wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-28.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2518…254fbacked Solary49c4,694$2,282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,281.853355%293 W · 240 L+23.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1943…1561backed Solary30c4,248$1,258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,258.3738439.8%153 W · 231 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-27.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a86…cc01backed Solary39c3,804$1,482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,482.2917439.7%69 W · 105 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+0.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Galions47c3,125$1,462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,663.471,38937.7%524 W · 865 L-45.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-22.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf991…3965backed Galions43c3,090$1,332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,758.8621049.5%104 W · 106 L+1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked Solary62c3,024$1,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,89082161%501 W · 320 L+1.1wins0.00per pick61cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd7d3…698bbacked Solary37c2,792$1,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,031.8825256.3%142 W · 110 L+14.2wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x842c…6674backed Galions67c2,660$1,792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$867.9118162.4%113 W · 68 L+21.1wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+16.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5556…2759backed Solary57c2,554$1,463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,462.8262451.4%321 W · 303 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Galions50c2,542$1,281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,260.491,94048.1%934 W · 1,006 L+22.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa113…bb53backed Solary44c2,540$1,118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,117.598538.8%33 W · 52 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4c5…378abacked Galions69c2,505$1,717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$788.0215860.8%96 W · 62 L+12.3wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+8.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4068…aeb1backed Solary35c2,398$839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$839.4315431.8%49 W · 105 L-18.7wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-33.5%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xc387…5a97backed Galions44c2,249$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,248.5860354.7%330 W · 273 L-2.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0da…749bbacked Solary18c2,200$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.467115.4%103 W · 568 L-28.9wins-0.04per pick20cpaid-57.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed Solary56c2,178$1,216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2161,30838.6%505 W · 803 L-64.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x74fc…a0bdbacked Solary59c2,108$1,243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,243.2715457.8%89 W · 65 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked Galions44c2,000$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1201,48550.1%744 W · 741 L+67.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5286…0d47backed Solary47c2,000$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94027637.3%103 W · 173 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3d2…fe85backed Solary47c1,999$933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$933.3915543.9%68 W · 87 L+0.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Solary45c1,974$893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$892.52,50839.8%999 W · 1,509 L-76.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a91…0776backed Solary60c1,942$1,165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,165.032231.8%7 W · 15 L-2.9wins-0.13per pick45cpaid-39.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6e42…a2bcbacked Galions55c1,802$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$802.08955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x62c6…ab7bbacked Solary55c1,784$989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$988.983560.8%508 W · 327 L+45.1wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Solary23c1,771$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.683,13133.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L-150.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed Solary34c1,693$577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$576.9985652.2%447 W · 409 L+34.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf06…c9ffbacked Solary4c1,691$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.163352%329 W · 304 L+39.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+22.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1b59…0ba0backed Solary32c1,648$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.5723832.4%77 W · 161 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3186…e9cabacked Solary26c1,599$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.731,53662.6%961 W · 575 L+157.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+8.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa487…9439backed Solary55c1,526$839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$839.311538.3%44 W · 71 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x27f5…c45dbacked Solary50c1,500$754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754.517438.5%67 W · 107 L-7.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed Solary60c1,432$866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$865.7460053.2%319 W · 281 L+15.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd055…28d0backed Solary23c1,425$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.812840.6%52 W · 76 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed Solary38c1,408$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535.1886943.2%375 W · 494 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6463…1f5cbacked Solary57c1,401$794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$793.5617143.3%74 W · 97 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb57d…07bfbacked Solary45c1,393$623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$622.8827244.1%120 W · 152 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ca0…38babacked Solary27c1,390$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3801,44343.4%626 W · 817 L+105.5wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+20.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x450e…4fddbacked Galions43c1,349$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$773.7314555.2%80 W · 65 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Solary21c1,322$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.592,20233.3%733 W · 1,469 L-72.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x31a4…7afcbacked Galions39c1,322$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$799.987844.2%388 W · 490 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1365…c82abacked Galions46c1,307$597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$710.6798956.8%562 W · 427 L+24.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd65…5726backed Galions45c1,300$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$714.9915453.9%83 W · 71 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Solary22c1,285$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.252,67935.7%957 W · 1,722 L-153.5wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2d21…92e5backed Solary29c1,282$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.7669841.8%292 W · 406 L+46.3wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+10.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc6ab…b16ebacked Solary60c1,276$765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$765.493040%12 W · 18 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-26.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Galions44c1,207$531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$675.441,20743.5%525 W · 682 L-14.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe74b…ee88backed Solary57c1,178$672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$672.4986251.3%442 W · 420 L+51.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc1d9…5333backed Galions52c1,154$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.8458559.7%349 W · 236 L+28.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc2e5…b3a5backed Solary44c1,142$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.5655844.6%249 W · 309 L-27.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0273…f081backed Solary32c1,140$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.833332.7%109 W · 224 L-15.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdfa8…cae6backed Solary62c1,100$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68082953.4%443 W · 386 L-3.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3818…9797backed Galions46c1,086$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.157957.9%335 W · 244 L+25.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x18f0…3d5ebacked Galions70c1,028$724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.1111138.7%43 W · 68 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-26.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf163…ca34backed Solary39c1,027$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.021,47748.3%713 W · 764 L+45.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5006…48cabacked Solary60c1,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60010539%41 W · 64 L-8.4wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-13.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed Solary3c1,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302181.8%4 W · 214 L+0.7wins0.00per pick2cpaid+37.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x048f…9992backed Solary1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105920%0 W · 592 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfb9…e51fbacked Solary1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.38per pick29cpaid+61.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb40e…7787backed Solary55c999.99$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.9964443%277 W · 367 L-27.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed Galions56c998.38$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.9148747%229 W · 258 L-1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfad…fa05backed Solary62c966.58$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001,21858.1%708 W · 510 L+44.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed Solary7c962.92$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.11,57648.4%763 W · 813 L+17.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3f1…7535backed Solary20c944.97$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.8334237.7%129 W · 213 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe891…e3ddbacked Galions44c916.74$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.7412660.3%76 W · 50 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ff8…5e5dbacked Galions46c857.43$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.5112953.5%69 W · 60 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-2.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9d5…180abacked Solary42c850.56$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.41942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed Galions60c845.75$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.9569539.1%272 W · 423 L-36.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb085…7b10backed Galions43c834.29$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.614953.1%26 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-0.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b4a…3b84backed Solary57c828.03$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.7741439.6%164 W · 250 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Solary19c824$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.871,54354.8%845 W · 698 L+75.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Solary56c820.44$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.4594444.4%419 W · 525 L-31.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-20.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e19…d2b0backed Solary26c811.11$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.2812639.7%50 W · 76 L-9.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-26.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf5b7…3e1cbacked Solary62c800$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49634651.2%177 W · 169 L+1.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cc0…6139backed Solary55c800$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.635346.7%165 W · 188 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed Solary3c799.99$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251,5173.3%50 W · 1,467 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick7cpaid-74.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xda20…cb8dbacked Solary60c750$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4502763%17 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8c2…45b2backed Galions55c747.85$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.0831244.6%139 W · 173 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x21ed…1ea1backed Solary56c729$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.245639.3%22 W · 34 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xccec…1dfcbacked Solary27c727.87$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.75937.3%22 W · 37 L-5.5wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-16.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4dde…6b53backed Galions68c714.66$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.163100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+107.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa469…0782backed Solary60c706.62$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.451,32253.2%703 W · 619 L+36.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Galions48c691.31$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.181,05746.1%487 W · 570 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed Solary54c671.68$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.461,52150.6%769 W · 752 L+3.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c4e…6c11backed Solary38c670$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.936749.9%183 W · 184 L+15.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6918…782bbacked Galions42c669.04$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.041,50154.5%818 W · 683 L+34.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe896…a4c7backed Galions46c629.65$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.8227962.4%174 W · 105 L+20.8wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+14.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdcb8…6b51backed Solary36c611.09$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.2813553.3%72 W · 63 L+8.3wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x36a0…436dbacked Solary46c609.99$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27947738.6%184 W · 293 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Galions43c609.53$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.431,15645.1%521 W · 635 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.