Lol · resolved market

Game Handicap: SLY (-1.5) vs Galions (+1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe5c644278f11c4d97464eacccf331bd98eaaab59ae73a9144004abc6392fa335

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Galionsof Solary, Galions
Resolved: Jun 15, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $57,960
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $56,369

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,960 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Lol
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xc44f…d49fbacked Solary	42c	11,660$4,897 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,897.2	572	46%263 W · 309 L	-9.6wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe015…6ffdbacked Galions	50c	10,569$5,272 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,297.15	960	48.8%468 W · 492 L	+13.1wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f03…b1bebacked Galions	58c	10,000$5,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,199.98	1,132	52.5%594 W · 538 L	+7.0wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9770…0ff5backed Galions	58c	8,972$5,188 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,783.68	594	50.2%298 W · 296 L	+6.9wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6918…782bbacked Galions	58c	6,900$4,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,899.99	1,490	54.6%813 W · 677 L	+36.2wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed Solary	42c	6,801$2,853 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,852.55	1,301	38.6%502 W · 799 L	-65.9wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-12%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7029…1136backed Solary	42c	3,111$1,306 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,306.43	166	45.8%76 W · 90 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Solary	42c	2,824$1,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,200	1,007	47.9%482 W · 525 L	+11.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb6c…d38ebacked Solary	43c	2,456$1,056 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,056.35	128	50%64 W · 64 L	-6.6wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Galions	57c	2,150$1,225 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$924.44	68	61.8%42 W · 26 L	+8.7wins	+0.13per pick	49cpaid	+26.9%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1311…d450backed Solary	43c	2,006$863 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$862.56	311	37.6%117 W · 194 L	-15.8wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9b96…4389backed Solary	41c	2,000$830 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$829.99	660	59.8%395 W · 265 L	-5.8wins	-0.01per pick	61cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67ed…085abacked Solary	42c	1,820$764 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$764.4	105	41.9%44 W · 61 L	-3.2wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb40e…7787backed Galions	59c	1,688$996 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$692.08	642	43%276 W · 366 L	-27.1wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd22c…881fbacked Solary	49c	1,509$734 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$733.61	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.7wins	-0.56per pick	56cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1316…48a4backed Solary	43c	1,500$645 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$645	474	55.3%262 W · 212 L	-10.6wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e54…511ebacked Solary	42c	1,500$635 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$635	404	41.8%169 W · 235 L	-9.9wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0cc…ce77backed Solary	43c	1,328$565 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$564.62	102	39.2%40 W · 62 L	+3.1wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked Galions	58c	1,228$707 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$520.88	889	50.5%449 W · 440 L	+13.8wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed Galions	57c	1,173$670 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$502.47	2,152	53.3%1,147 W · 1,005 L	+58.8wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc6ab…b16ebacked Solary	50c	1,125$562 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$562.45	30	40%12 W · 18 L	-2.5wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-26.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Solary	43c	1,006$432 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$431.99	633	44.5%282 W · 351 L	-18.1wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5006…48cabacked Solary	50c	1,000$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	105	39%41 W · 64 L	-8.4wins	-0.08per pick	47cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5556…2759backed Solary	50c	1,000$495 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$495	621	51.4%319 W · 302 L	-10.5wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x28a3…f681backed Solary	51c	999.99$510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$510	370	39.5%146 W · 224 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Solary	42c	812.61$341 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$341.3	2,497	39.9%996 W · 1,501 L	-75.6wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd703…9b8bbacked Solary	43c	700$301 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$301	51	37.3%19 W · 32 L	-6.8wins	-0.13per pick	51cpaid	-27.7%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8e34…4480backed Solary	43c	700$303 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$303	413	43.8%181 W · 232 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80d9…b694backed Galions	57c	699.99$399 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$301	38	47.4%18 W · 20 L	+2.1wins	+0.06per pick	42cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe2ce…65a2backed Solary	50c	662.99$331 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$331.5	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.1wins	-0.55per pick	55cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfdd2…0abfbacked Solary	46c	656.51$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	58	25.9%15 W · 43 L	-4.9wins	-0.09per pick	34cpaid	-27.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed Galions	57c	614.02$353 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$260.96	160	48.1%77 W · 83 L	-3.8wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x329c…2485backed Solary	50c	575$288 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$287.5	85	49.4%42 W · 43 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5e8…fafcbacked Solary	44c	567$249 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249.48	135	34.1%46 W · 89 L	-4.2wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f2a…3706backed Solary	50c	500$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	30	30%9 W · 21 L	-3.0wins	-0.10per pick	40cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x764a…83d3backed Solary	50c	500$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	62	40.3%25 W · 37 L	-4.6wins	-0.07per pick	48cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8494…814abacked Solary	50c	500$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	78	39.7%31 W · 47 L	-5.4wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0446…5e51backed Solary	50c	500$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.24per pick	58cpaid	-47.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe84a…02febacked Solary	50c	500$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	42	52.4%22 W · 20 L	+2.8wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	+17.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d00…0121backed Solary	50c	500$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-2.3wins	-0.17per pick	56cpaid	-43.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed Solary	50c	500$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	210	51.4%108 W · 102 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcef5…3881backed Solary	50c	500$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	19	26.3%5 W · 14 L	-4.5wins	-0.23per pick	50cpaid	-49%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked Galions	55c	480$264 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$216	1,482	50%741 W · 741 L	+65.5wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a4f…e6ffbacked Solary	45c	455$205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$204.75	159	50.9%81 W · 78 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6376…0d2abacked Solary	51c	442.27$226 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$225.56	283	41%116 W · 167 L	-13.6wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x40fc…498dbacked Solary	42c	345.24$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145	197	35%69 W · 128 L	-12.4wins	-0.06per pick	41cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Solary	42c	300$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126	1,806	39.1%707 W · 1,099 L	-30.8wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-12%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b4a…3b84backed Solary	14c	300$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	414	39.6%164 W · 250 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x591d…f4dfbacked Galions	49c	255$125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$130.05	148	37.2%55 W · 93 L	-7.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb2fe…7558backed Solary	43c	250$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.5	52	34.6%18 W · 34 L	-5.9wins	-0.11per pick	46cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Solary	43c	237.21$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102	256	40.6%104 W · 152 L	-10.2wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Solary	42c	200$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84	797	45.8%365 W · 432 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe24e…eecebacked Solary	47c	195.74$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92	176	50%88 W · 88 L	+5.8wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Galions	57c	193$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82.99	105	46.7%49 W · 56 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb42…6e09backed Solary	50c	176$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88	205	51.7%106 W · 99 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Solary	42c	166.21$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.01	2,923	44.5%1,300 W · 1,623 L	-91.9wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x573d…48f3backed Solary	42c	165.64$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.57	58	34.5%20 W · 38 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d28…0d64backed Solary	42c	150$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63	151	43.7%66 W · 85 L	-13.8wins	-0.09per pick	53cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1ec6…9404backed Solary	47c	140.7$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.13	21	28.6%6 W · 15 L	-1.9wins	-0.09per pick	38cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeef9…8731backed Solary	43c	133$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.19	347	56.5%196 W · 151 L	+12.2wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3cf6…0cbdbacked Solary	42c	120$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.4	119	38.7%46 W · 73 L	-9.0wins	-0.08per pick	46cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8e69…553abacked Solary	47c	106.38$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	151	49%74 W · 77 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed Solary	42c	100$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	626	49.8%312 W · 314 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x38d0…5ea8backed Solary	43c	100$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43	160	48.1%77 W · 83 L	+14.6wins	+0.09per pick	39cpaid	+18.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbf69…4fa2backed Solary	42c	98.93$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.55	760	28.9%220 W · 540 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3b9e…cb21backed Galions	56c	93.51$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.77	30	50%15 W · 15 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7948…dad7backed Galions	58c	86.21$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.21	131	60.3%79 W · 52 L	+4.5wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	+5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc754…4b1dbacked Solary	42c	85.48$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.9	242	35.5%86 W · 156 L	-3.8wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Galions	56c	72.08$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.59	1,605	17.5%281 W · 1,324 L	-244.2wins	-0.15per pick	33cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0x8557…6f88backed Solary	42c	71.43$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	423	48.2%204 W · 219 L	+7.3wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Solary	42c	61.23$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.72	277	35.7%99 W · 178 L	-12.5wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x15db…1da8backed Galions	58c	51.72$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.72	97	35.1%34 W · 63 L	-7.2wins	-0.07per pick	42cpaid	-21%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa6c3…55a3backed Solary	52c	50$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	115	47.8%55 W · 60 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2bd…0e7fbacked Solary	43c	46.51$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-2.2wins	-0.17per pick	40cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2060…9e6cbacked Galions	58c	43.1$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.1	186	55.9%104 W · 82 L	-5.3wins	-0.03per pick	59cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7de2…cd3fbacked Galions	54c	40$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.4	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+1.3wins	+0.22per pick	45cpaid	+29.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed Galions	58c	35.98$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.11	1,576	48.4%763 W · 813 L	+17.4wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x578a…e324backed Solary	42c	33.33$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	25	32%8 W · 17 L	+1.2wins	+0.05per pick	27cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6748…3c4cbacked Galions	58c	30$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.6	119	49.6%59 W · 60 L	-4.8wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5423…8b45backed Galions	49c	27.06$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.8	113	52.2%59 W · 54 L	+7.2wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaf5f…2184backed Solary	47c	25$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.75	35	60%21 W · 14 L	+1.6wins	+0.04per pick	56cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c8f…de8abacked Galions	58c	20$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.4	793	45.4%360 W · 433 L	-22.1wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Game Handicap: SLY (-1.5) vs Galions (+1.5)this page
Game Handicap: SLY (-2.5) vs Galions (+2.5)Galions won
Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
LoL: Solary vs Galions (BO5) - EMEA Masters PlayoffsGalions won
LoL: Solary vs Galions - Game 1 WinnerGalions won
LoL: Solary vs Galions - Game 2 WinnerGalions won
LoL: Solary vs Galions - Game 3 WinnerGalions won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Game Handicap: SLY (-1.5) vs Galions (+1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event