TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Solary vs Galions - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Galionsof Solary, Galions
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$245,712
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$289,750

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $245,712 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 280 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5286…0d47backed Galions46c17,546$8,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,405.7527637.3%103 W · 173 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe361…ae44backed Galions38c13,725$5,158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,566.8889347%420 W · 473 L+44.2wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-7.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe015…6ffdbacked Galions40c13,516$5,396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,119.7496048.8%468 W · 492 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe405…c67ebacked Solary57c12,902$7,367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,367.3567760.4%409 W · 268 L+42.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Solary58c7,750$4,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,530.062,00458.2%1,166 W · 838 L+86.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Solary53c6,800$3,597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,597.227735.7%99 W · 178 L-12.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-4.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2518…254fbacked Galions35c6,031$2,139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,892.153355%293 W · 240 L+23.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Solary54c5,166$2,798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,797.9757246%263 W · 309 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked Solary58c4,697$2,729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,728.7420348.8%99 W · 104 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Galions35c4,362$1,531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,831.141,06154.7%580 W · 481 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Solary54c4,252$2,299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,299.1167552.4%354 W · 321 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ea6…180dbacked Solary60c3,500$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1005429.6%16 W · 38 L-7.7wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-40.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5556…2759backed Solary58c3,279$1,899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,898.6362451.4%321 W · 303 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Galions38c3,275$1,233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,041.762,49547.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked Solary2c3,094$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.9117610.2%18 W · 158 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick6cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf991…3965backed Galions45c2,953$1,337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,616.3421049.5%104 W · 106 L+1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Solary57c2,400$1,368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,36812642.9%54 W · 72 L-7.6wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Galions36c2,319$835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,484.242,34140.3%943 W · 1,398 L-61.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32c3…5b4ebacked Galions38c2,312$870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,441.984344.2%19 W · 24 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b5a…1457backed Galions55c2,255$1,231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,024.0436643.7%160 W · 206 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-15.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3818…9797backed Solary68c2,222$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50057957.9%335 W · 244 L+25.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Galions40c2,067$833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,233.992,50839.8%999 W · 1,509 L-76.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5006…48cabacked Solary59c2,000$1,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,18010539%41 W · 64 L-8.4wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-13.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3186…e9cabacked Galions43c1,971$839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,132.041,53662.6%961 W · 575 L+157.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+8.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x24d4…4e1dbacked Solary56c1,947$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10027142.4%115 W · 156 L-15.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x74fc…a0bdbacked Solary60c1,789$1,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,066.0915457.8%89 W · 65 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Solary50c1,751$869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$869.021,67157.9%968 W · 703 L+70.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed Galions35c1,732$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,131.8285652.2%447 W · 409 L+34.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked Galions43c1,680$722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$957.451,48550.1%744 W · 741 L+67.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd22c…881fbacked Solary60c1,601$961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$960.8430%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6a24…3845backed Solary4c1,600$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606214.5%9 W · 53 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick12cpaid+92.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc387…5a97backed Galions47c1,521$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$811.0460354.7%330 W · 273 L-2.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa469…0782backed Solary67c1,500$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.81,32253.2%703 W · 619 L+36.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc6ab…b16ebacked Solary60c1,424$855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$854.673040%12 W · 18 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-26.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed Solary4c1,322$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.31,5173.3%50 W · 1,467 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick7cpaid-74.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Galions39c1,309$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801.5982044%361 W · 459 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90bb…531fbacked Solary19c1,295$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.367739%30 W · 47 L+0.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa113…bb53backed Galions37c1,218$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$770.178538.8%33 W · 52 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Solary59c1,139$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$675.51,06347.2%502 W · 561 L-2.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed Solary53c1,051$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552.371,52150.6%769 W · 752 L+3.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed Solary55c1,018$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560.711,30838.6%505 W · 803 L-64.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x316f…795abacked Solary23c1,009$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.7713830.4%42 W · 96 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x048f…9992backed Solary1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105920%0 W · 592 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x842c…6674backed Galions57c967.28$551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.4918162.4%113 W · 68 L+21.1wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+16.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1025…fbfabacked Galions33c947.5$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$638.8151454.5%280 W · 234 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1d9…5333backed Solary66c909.09$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60058559.7%349 W · 236 L+28.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x99f7…1a59backed Solary22c908.99$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.6249739.4%196 W · 301 L+2.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27f5…c45dbacked Solary55c899.99$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.9917438.5%67 W · 107 L-7.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x703e…9828backed Galions45c890.37$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.655742.1%24 W · 33 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cc0…6139backed Solary55c799.99$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44035346.7%165 W · 188 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cde…96e2backed Galions35c790.19$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.624632.6%15 W · 31 L-5.8wins-0.13per pick45cpaid-38.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1e7c…c4c5backed Solary66c769.21$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.7521267%142 W · 70 L+16.3wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+11%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xda20…cb8dbacked Solary60c750$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4502763%17 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x68a6…e96bbacked Solary63c750$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.51,21848.7%593 W · 625 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1365…c82abacked Solary60c745.13$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.4498956.8%562 W · 427 L+24.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Galions39c743.98$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.821,38937.7%524 W · 865 L-45.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-22.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x212a…a758backed Solary7c708.89$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.84366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Solary61c708.78$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.252,93844.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L-92.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c73…6dafbacked Solary70c707.39$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.3352065.4%340 W · 180 L-14.5wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x10ae…df49backed Solary53c700$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37123332.6%76 W · 157 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid+6.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3ae1…befbbacked Solary53c648$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.4466843%287 W · 381 L-29.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdcb8…6b51backed Galions54c628.37$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.2913553.3%72 W · 63 L+8.3wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8ef1…add2backed Solary57c625$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.3822867.5%154 W · 74 L+21.1wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+14.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8d00…0121backed Solary60c623.38$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.031338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.17per pick56cpaid-43.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4b1c…8273backed Solary64c622.84$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4009164.8%59 W · 32 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+23.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Galions38c618.62$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.611,54354.8%845 W · 698 L+75.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa14d…45d1backed Solary58c611.76$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.8213549.6%67 W · 68 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf06…c9ffbacked Galions55c610.71$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.2363352%329 W · 304 L+39.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+22.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5201…d9d6backed Solary20c600$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick20cpaid+150%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a91…0776backed Solary58c600$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3482231.8%7 W · 15 L-2.9wins-0.13per pick45cpaid-39.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7ff0…c7aabacked Solary60c592$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.21936.8%7 W · 12 L-3.4wins-0.18per pick55cpaid-41.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x167f…fa5ebacked Solary20c590.52$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.14553.3%24 W · 21 L+11.4wins+0.25per pick28cpaid+89.3%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Solary63c565.47$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.991,94048.1%934 W · 1,006 L+22.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ff7…bf32backed Solary59c555.24$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.2366458%385 W · 279 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6463…1f5cbacked Solary56c549.99$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.7917143.3%74 W · 97 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Solary60c533.25$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.719148.7%93 W · 98 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5df…be7cbacked Solary56c520$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.22231.8%7 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-32.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ff8…5e5dbacked Solary61c519.32$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.2512953.5%69 W · 60 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-2.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6376…0d2abacked Solary61c505.38$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.2828341%116 W · 167 L-13.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb777…3ff9backed Solary54c502$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.576746.3%31 W · 36 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2ed…2a85backed Solary70c500$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35086758.1%504 W · 363 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57b2…9da2backed Solary58c500$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29035443.2%153 W · 201 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x764a…83d3backed Solary60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006240.3%25 W · 37 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-17.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8494…814abacked Solary60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3007839.7%31 W · 47 L-5.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-19.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe84a…02febacked Solary60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004252.4%22 W · 20 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed Solary60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30021051.4%108 W · 102 L+0.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2131…7325backed Solary60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300128.3%1 W · 11 L-4.5wins-0.38per pick46cpaid-77.5%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x6e54…511ebacked Galions40c500$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30040741.5%169 W · 238 L-11.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcef5…3881backed Solary60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001926.3%5 W · 14 L-4.5wins-0.23per pick50cpaid-49%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5d71…8da4backed Galions42c499.99$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.4941343.6%180 W · 233 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4967…4292backed Galions27c499.98$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.9930231.1%94 W · 208 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd7d3…698bbacked Solary60c496.11$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.9925256.3%142 W · 110 L+14.2wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e4d…1cb0backed Solary48c489.45$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.031,27057%724 W · 546 L+45.7wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc5c8…5e53backed Galions62c448.39$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.825074.8%187 W · 63 L+42.0wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+24.6%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x88aa…2f5ebacked Solary57c435.8$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.411520%3 W · 12 L-4.1wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-70.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xdfa8…cae6backed Galions44c431.18$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.0682953.4%443 W · 386 L-3.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa487…9439backed Solary57c427.23$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.5211538.3%44 W · 71 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Galions40c417.58$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.761,92242.2%811 W · 1,111 L-45.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc89…095cbacked Galions43c405.26$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.562941.4%12 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-23.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5b7…3e1cbacked Solary53c400$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21234651.2%177 W · 169 L+1.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.