Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b6649878c8fa67032f07c7ad0497d0fa32d067ef5d3da607e3257aed3bb09dd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,869
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,476
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,869 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7af0…509dbacked Over | 72c | 2,090$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 252 | 68.3%172 W · 80 L | +14.5wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Under | 28c | 1,882$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,355.02 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Over | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 501 | 55.3%277 W · 224 L | -21.6wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4a…3b84backed Under | 29c | 828.13$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.46 | 414 | 39.6%164 W · 250 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Under | 30c | 624.14$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.76 | 160 | 48.1%77 W · 83 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Over | 32c | 500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 447 | 43.6%195 W · 252 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Under | 68c | 500$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 283 | 41%116 W · 167 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Over | 71c | 294.06$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.04 | 1,593 | 43.8%697 W · 896 L | -74.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b5…0a9bbacked Over | 79c | 271$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.09 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb3…4d75backed Over | 72c | 229.07$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.93 | 608 | 55.8%339 W · 269 L | -14.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa8…e33ebacked Over | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 115 | 60.9%70 W · 45 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf63e…f525backed Over | 71c | 142.25$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 70c | 122$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.4 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…f04ebacked Under | 62c | 104.89$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.86 | 222 | 65.3%145 W · 77 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…4b3cbacked Over | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 156 | 35.9%56 W · 100 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0453…2ad6backed Under | 21c | 100$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Over | 16c | 98.73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 464 | 52.4%243 W · 221 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Over | 54c | 88.44$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.4 | 978 | 54.4%532 W · 446 L | +48.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Over | 68c | 86.54$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 624 | 51.4%321 W · 303 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Under | 35c | 86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.9 | 1,134 | 31%352 W · 782 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9235…3fbdbacked Over | 71c | 70.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 53 | 66%35 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90d1…2cf6backed Over | 72c | 67.56$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.64 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b9e…cb21backed Under | 31c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…0121backed Over | 69c | 44.93$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 660 | 58.8%388 W · 272 L | -36.9wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 70c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d60…6df2backed Over | 69c | 33.7$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcda0…a51abacked Over | 70c | 32.9$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 181 | 65.7%119 W · 62 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8f…b302backed Over | 70c | 32.46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.72 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d3c…2b52backed Over | 80c | 26$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…736bbacked Over | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 3.5this page
- Game Handicap: SLY (-1.5) vs Galions (+1.5)Galions won
- Game Handicap: SLY (-2.5) vs Galions (+2.5)Galions won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: Solary vs Galions (BO5) - EMEA Masters PlayoffsGalions won
- LoL: Solary vs Galions - Game 1 WinnerGalions won
- LoL: Solary vs Galions - Game 2 WinnerGalions won
- LoL: Solary vs Galions - Game 3 WinnerGalions won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.