TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x71df…9aa0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
101
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 54 out of 100; worst Valorant at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT5850%29 W · 29 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 58 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+150%+$60
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,676Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+79%+$1,324
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$104
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,848Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,848
Will Erling Haaland score 10+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$7.2
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$255
Will Algeria win on 2026-07-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$790Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$210
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)backed Croatia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$680Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$320
Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$305Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$305
Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$240
France to win the second half?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$192.02
Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$220
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$720Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$280
Uruguay vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$270
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+525%+$840
Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: Draw at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$315Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$185
Switzerland vs. Canada: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$245
Switzerland vs. Canada: Switzerland O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$6.29
Colombia vs. DR Congo: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$260
Exact Score: Panama 0 - 2 Croatia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Panama vs. Croatia: Panama O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+150%+$291.25
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$255
Portugal to score first vs. Uzbekistan?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Neither team to score first?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Showing 25 of 58 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT1553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spirit Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$20.25
Will Vitality Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$333Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$142.5
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs KOLESIE (BO5) - European Pro League Series 7 Playoffsbacked Walczaki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$262Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$167.31
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Playoffsbacked ex-RUBY · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$315
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FURIA (-3.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+3.5)backed Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$174.06
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$205
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-3.5) vs Team Falcons (+3.5)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$240
Counter-Strike: Infinite vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Playoffsbacked ex-RUBY · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$285Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$215
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FURIA (-3.5) vs 9z (+3.5)backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$217Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$177.3
Counter-Strike: Infinite vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Playoffsbacked Oxuji Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$240
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs INOX Division (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Playoffsbacked INOX Division · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$7.01
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs GenOne - Map 1 Winnerbacked KOLESIE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.94
Counter-Strike: illwill vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stagebacked illwill · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stagebacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.54
All 15 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT1526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.15per pick42cpaid-43.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Valorant — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will ONSIDE GAMING Win Challengers 2026: Korea WDG Split 2backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.6
Will Dplus Esports Win Challengers 2026: Korea WDG Split 2backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.4
Will M80 Win North America ACE Stage 3backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+46.1%+$55.89
Will Shopify Rebellion Black Win North America ACE Stage 3backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.5
Will Team Vitality win the EWC Valorant Tournamentbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Team Heretics win the EWC Valorant Tournamentbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$112
Will EDward Gaming be the Last VCT CN Team Standing at EWC 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.6
Will Enterprise Esports Win Emea Challengers Stagebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Valorant: Azure Dragon Gaming vs Alliance Guardians (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stagebacked Alliance Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$135
Valorant: ONSIDE GAMING vs T1 Academy (BO3) - VCL Korea: Regular Seasonbacked ONSIDE GAMING · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$55.31
Valorant: KRÜ Blaze vs BESTIA (BO3) - VCL Latin America South: Regular Seasonbacked KRÜ Blaze · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Valorant: Dynamo Esports vs ROSE (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stagebacked ROSE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$330
Valorant: FlyQuest vs Evil Geniuses Academy (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stagebacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.07
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: EDward Gaming (-2.5) vs XLG Gaming (+2.5)backed EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+145.6%+$204.1
All 15 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+36.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-66.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.82per pick18cpaid+455.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Si Woo Kim finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 The Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$164
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.