Fifa International · resolved market
France to win the second half?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb2f866c6e0d8886e3150d4482ca52e466c25463603c4ea9d045f03ea5c27a4c5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $100,579
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $108,398
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $100,579 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0e1…99dbbacked No | 35c | 23,004$8,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,048.42 | 580 | 49.1%285 W · 295 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 63c | 20,246$12,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,447.3 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked No | 36c | 17,532$6,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,233.84 | 342 | 49.1%168 W · 174 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf48…36c2backed No | 38c | 12,500$4,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,750.17 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Yes | 63c | 11,498$7,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,254.3 | 107 | 34.6%37 W · 70 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 71c | 6,005$4,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,758.97 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 67c | 5,271$3,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,721.82 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…e8a8backed Yes | 64c | 3,142$2,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,131.19 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 63c | 3,063$1,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,121.7 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea6…180dbacked Yes | 62c | 2,800$1,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,064 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed No | 36c | 1,893$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.6 | 362 | 50%181 W · 181 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed No | 36c | 1,854$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.01 | 128 | 53.9%69 W · 59 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 26c | 1,582$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.99 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 75c | 1,400$1,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.33 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdafe…c5b5backed Yes | 65c | 1,201$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.25 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.5wins | +0.27per pick | 50cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x27ad…6254backed Yes | 67c | 1,108$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.14 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | +5.8wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef88…d62cbacked Yes | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb11…7901backed Yes | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e8…1acfbacked Yes | 71c | 975.22$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.33 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 21c | 923.02$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.06 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8105…3287backed Yes | 65c | 891.12$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.83 | 210 | 48.6%102 W · 108 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x271e…f001backed Yes | 62c | 824$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.12 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 63c | 721.49$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.69 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59be…dc3ebacked Yes | 63c | 634.92$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.92 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ec…aa22backed No | 2c | 547.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 52 | 3.8%2 W · 50 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed Yes | 62c | 501$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.38 | 617 | 52%321 W · 296 L | -13.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a7f…3797backed Yes | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +4.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd5…28f2backed Yes | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71df…9aa0backed Yes | 61c | 492.36$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.02 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 14c | 489.36$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.98 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0960…5adcbacked Yes | 65c | 461.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.54 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 63c | 416.33$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.54 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 74c | 413.12$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.71 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 35c | 409.98$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.61 | 343 | 30%103 W · 240 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked No | 37c | 391.6$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.65 | 1,240 | 43.7%542 W · 698 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb460…6e64backed Yes | 64c | 390.63$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.63 | 93 | 57%53 W · 40 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53a1…b1b0backed Yes | 64c | 390.63$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.63 | 179 | 59.2%106 W · 73 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4558…8490backed Yes | 70c | 382.95$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.84 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 34c | 367$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.78 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 34c | 366.99$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.78 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 60c | 321.48$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ff…005dbacked Yes | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9516…0bcbbacked Yes | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 562 | 40.6%228 W · 334 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc2…a9ebbacked No | 36c | 294.09$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.8 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a8…e1d1backed Yes | 66c | 288.74$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.74 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Yes | 63c | 265.61$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.46 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed No | 38c | 250$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.75 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce9b…8e1cbacked Yes | 65c | 247.6$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.6 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +8.3wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 36c | 209.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.69 | 431 | 45.2%195 W · 236 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a0…2746backed Yes | 64c | 207.48$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.69 | 197 | 39.6%78 W · 119 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Yes | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 977 | 42%410 W · 567 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddbc…5dcebacked No | 37c | 179.91$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.57 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1946…6367backed No | 33c | 166.59$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.19 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb4…45d4backed Yes | 64c | 161.25$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.95 | 154 | 61%94 W · 60 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…fa8dbacked Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 235 | 54.9%129 W · 106 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb502…9d8bbacked Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 239 | 51.9%124 W · 115 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e1…85fbbacked Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | +5.5wins | +0.13per pick | 26cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21af…e761backed Yes | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc7…4e28backed Yes | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 75 | 29.3%22 W · 53 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2d…f446backed Yes | 66c | 150.86$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.96 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 14c | 143.62$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.54 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Yes | 63c | 130$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.1 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Yes | 67c | 114.08$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.55 | 764 | 45.9%351 W · 413 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Yes | 64c | 109.41$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.92 | 1,293 | 53.6%693 W · 600 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 34c | 98.68$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.63 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2993…431fbacked Yes | 65c | 98$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.3 | 134 | 38.1%51 W · 83 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 17c | 96.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.97 | 460 | 47.2%217 W · 243 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a56…a644backed Yes | 66c | 90.91$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.91 | 140 | 43.6%61 W · 79 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c6…933abacked Yes | 63c | 85.71$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.71 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08b3…48a9backed Yes | 65c | 85.38$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.88 | 125 | 40%50 W · 75 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b2…1c67backed No | 35c | 84.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 37c | 84$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.08 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a51…9c22backed Yes | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x099e…b3c1backed Yes | 70c | 70.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.99 | 103 | 39.8%41 W · 62 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 38c | 66.69$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.07 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d9…590bbacked Yes | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…3369backed Yes | 65c | 58.38$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.33 | 1,111 | 24.3%270 W · 841 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3e…40b3backed Yes | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x129b…24c4backed Yes | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65ec…bad3backed Yes | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x474c…16aabacked Yes | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed No | 37c | 46.01$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 695 | 34.8%242 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f03…f7f8backed Yes | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9d…2269backed No | 37c | 40.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…db44backed No | 37c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 197 | 60.4%119 W · 78 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ed…156fbacked Yes | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +83%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e8f…6e47backed Yes | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 150 | 42%63 W · 87 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7f…cc9bbacked Yes | 65c | 37.23$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.03 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 64c | 34.16$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6aa…2016backed Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed Yes | 63c | 30.97$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.54 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2996…73debacked Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd893…cdcfbacked Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 48 | 27.1%13 W · 35 L | -7.5wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5fca…b025backed Yes | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3f…8728backed Yes | 63c | 29.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbcb…2941backed Yes | 66c | 29.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.1 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2763…abe6backed No | 37c | 27.7$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 113 | 31.9%36 W · 77 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed Yes | 63c | 24.6$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.06 | 866 | 56.4%488 W · 378 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf370…6041backed Yes | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…ff57backed Yes | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- France to win the second half?this page
- France vs. Sweden: Second half draw?No won
- Sweden to win the second half?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.