Fifa International · resolved market
Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: Draw at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7d5ad770930dda8501a8f6617fd0221b4489c64b985c706a4906fdc72018b46d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $62,586
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,902
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,586 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3d0e…d06abacked Yes | 37c | 8,211$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 78c | 6,431$5,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,417.9 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 35c | 2,840$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.61 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked No | 64c | 2,528$1,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909.66 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 64c | 2,454$1,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.48 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Yes | 36c | 2,341$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.59 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Yes | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.99 | 246 | 35.8%88 W · 158 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 59c | 1,860$1,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.59 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 65c | 1,600$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 378 | 50.5%191 W · 187 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked No | 65c | 1,538$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.46 | 674 | 47.6%321 W · 353 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 17c | 1,474$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.86 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec0…9bddbacked Yes | 56c | 1,277$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.15 | 626 | 33.9%212 W · 414 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cec…d241backed No | 64c | 1,250$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 47c | 1,018$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.46 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked No | 63c | 999.99$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked No | 65c | 999.97$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.99 | 644 | 43.3%279 W · 365 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 4c | 933.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.13 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed No | 63c | 895.77$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.43 | 264 | 54.5%144 W · 120 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 36c | 860.75$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.24 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4520…9182backed Yes | 62c | 806.45$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 151 | 46.4%70 W · 81 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb11…7901backed No | 63c | 687.83$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.5 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd26…d405backed Yes | 54c | 683.85$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.75 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb8…067cbacked No | 65c | 599.81$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.93 | 151 | 49.7%75 W · 76 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 63c | 590.85$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.11 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f73…8d13backed Yes | 36c | 555.56$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 65c | 505.35$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.74 | 383 | 51.4%197 W · 186 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ae…8eadbacked Yes | 35c | 501$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.35 | 355 | 14.4%51 W · 304 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71df…9aa0backed No | 63c | 500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x414c…80c7backed No | 63c | 500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a8…fea1backed No | 63c | 500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed No | 64c | 490.32$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.52 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 5c | 448.85$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 7c | 443$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.16 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 64c | 406.17$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.22 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 64c | 390$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.4 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked No | 63c | 312$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.44 | 348 | 51.7%180 W · 168 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd883…714ebacked Yes | 35c | 286$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.1 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd34c…10b4backed Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 724 | 24.7%179 W · 545 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 64c | 280$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.8 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked No | 56c | 277.78$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.92 | 216 | 30.1%65 W · 151 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2217…1660backed Yes | 62c | 264.75$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.15 | 635 | 44.4%282 W · 353 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed No | 65c | 260.02$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.23 | 1,421 | 47.8%679 W · 742 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked Yes | 59c | 233.44$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.73 | 452 | 48.9%221 W · 231 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 65c | 231.16$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.42 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…6764backed Yes | 37c | 217.12$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.1 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e43…2578backed Yes | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 399 | 56.6%226 W · 173 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f53…1a89backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6297…1302backed Yes | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 65c | 199.74$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.91 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed No | 47c | 198.09$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.85 | 697 | 44.9%313 W · 384 L | +18.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 64c | 180.98$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.24 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c38…e679backed Yes | 36c | 130.78$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.08 | 93 | 25.8%24 W · 69 L | -8.1wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x751f…e4ddbacked Yes | 45c | 127.44$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.03 | 879 | 38.6%339 W · 540 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed No | 49c | 122.4$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.42 | 289 | 64.4%186 W · 103 L | +42.6wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed No | 49c | 122.4$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.42 | 258 | 65.9%170 W · 88 L | +40.1wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 12c | 120.39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked No | 63c | 120$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.4 | 175 | 57.1%100 W · 75 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee35…0015backed Yes | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked Yes | 55c | 105.45$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 167 | 37.7%63 W · 104 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09fe…76eebacked No | 65c | 101.83$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.64 | 178 | 56.2%100 W · 78 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef34…1d61backed Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a9…2948backed No | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 260 | 42.3%110 W · 150 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc826…fcb3backed Yes | 37c | 85.84$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.54 | 116 | 42.2%49 W · 67 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed No | 49c | 85.8$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.76 | 356 | 58.7%209 W · 147 L | +35.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +28%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf170…d9eabacked Yes | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e67…9a3ebacked Yes | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 300 | 32.3%97 W · 203 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32f8…a7d2backed No | 66c | 80$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 63c | 63.68$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.56 | 815 | 54.8%447 W · 368 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0b…d29dbacked No | 64c | 63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.68 | 348 | 44.3%154 W · 194 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 64c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 459 | 49.5%227 W · 232 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b42…dc6dbacked Yes | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 112 | 33.9%38 W · 74 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…f49ebacked Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe250…ea7abacked Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8637…4ddebacked Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…8bcdbacked No | 67c | 55$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.15 | 878 | 37.2%327 W · 551 L | -41.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…17c5backed No | 47c | 53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.09 | 334 | 38.6%129 W · 205 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 35c | 42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked No | 64c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 823 | 48.8%402 W · 421 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4568…2402backed Yes | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -3.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 78c | 35.17$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.79 | 335 | 38.8%130 W · 205 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…f1b7backed Yes | 51c | 30.6$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.61 | 950 | 37.5%356 W · 594 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2763…abe6backed Yes | 36c | 28.03$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 113 | 31.9%36 W · 77 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed No | 64c | 25.55$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 1,293 | 53.6%693 W · 600 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3211…bcf7backed No | 65c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 369 | 53.9%199 W · 170 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 464 | 53.2%247 W · 217 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…ffbebacked No | 62c | 17.87$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.79 | 594 | 53.4%317 W · 277 L | +43.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9f…a686backed No | 66c | 16.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 184 | 73.4%135 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4692…68edbacked No | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: Draw at halftime?this page
- Bosnia-Herzegovina leading at halftime?Yes won
- Qatar leading at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.