Fifa International · resolved market
Bosnia-Herzegovina leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcdcf2d857858706754cf843413a4777cd2443f0690030b2a758406a4efbe3fe1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $408,863
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $484,159
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $408,863 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 216 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fcf…e455backed No | 0c | 29,798$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.88 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23d8…0288backed Yes | 51c | 21,528$10,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,648.71 | 179 | 49.2%88 W · 91 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa66c…cd67backed Yes | 50c | 21,465$10,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,732.36 | 180 | 47.8%86 W · 94 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 52c | 17,647$9,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,173.62 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed No | 44c | 16,240$7,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,180.94 | 413 | 31%128 W · 285 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54d2…de22backed No | 47c | 15,446$7,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,259.62 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked No | 50c | 13,447$6,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,658.82 | 296 | 46.3%137 W · 159 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 50c | 12,449$6,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,206.23 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1509…ca95backed Yes | 53c | 12,448$6,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,850.56 | 122 | 55.7%68 W · 54 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked No | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,899.97 | 239 | 49.4%118 W · 121 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d75…3d44backed No | 50c | 9,971$4,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,985.26 | 108 | 51.9%56 W · 52 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 48c | 9,181$4,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,793.04 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 59c | 8,436$4,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,448.87 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…102bbacked No | 1c | 8,101$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.19 | 515 | 14.2%73 W · 442 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 26c | 7,253$1,876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,876.31 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 54c | 5,167$2,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,373.36 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…ffbebacked Yes | 36c | 4,195$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,694.54 | 594 | 53.4%317 W · 277 L | +43.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf4…ac20backed No | 1c | 4,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 345 | 33.6%116 W · 229 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960 | 362 | 50.8%184 W · 178 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf421…cff4backed No | 49c | 3,888$1,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,905.21 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 52c | 3,456$1,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,670.62 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x581f…9d8ebacked No | 62c | 3,279$2,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,033.25 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +7.6wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +30%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaa94…3601backed Yes | 29c | 3,105$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,204.2 | 62 | 16.1%10 W · 52 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40b9…a596backed No | 0c | 3,077$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 201 | 50.7%102 W · 99 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Yes | 52c | 2,841$1,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,363.68 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…d703backed Yes | 40c | 2,491$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,491.25 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf94f…9adabacked No | 63c | 2,307$1,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,444 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…f93dbacked Yes | 55c | 2,277$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,026.84 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed No | 46c | 2,262$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040.48 | 258 | 44.6%115 W · 143 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…02f3backed Yes | 50c | 2,047$1,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,023.46 | 143 | 42.7%61 W · 82 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…b629backed No | 3c | 2,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +10.8wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…bbbabacked No | 3c | 1,898$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.01 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | +34.7wins | +0.18per pick | 38cpaid | +61%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes | 35c | 1,842$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,197.37 | 419 | 68.3%286 W · 133 L | +65.4wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 48c | 1,791$865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864.79 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d8…a577backed No | 49c | 1,734$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.7 | 127 | 53.5%68 W · 59 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 48c | 1,600$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768 | 378 | 50.5%191 W · 187 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07ea…a6babacked Yes | 49c | 1,571$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.43 | 352 | 44%155 W · 197 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72a6…cfefbacked Yes | 52c | 1,503$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.66 | 89 | 41.6%37 W · 52 L | -7.2wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 50c | 1,451$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.9 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 1c | 1,448$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 707 | 50.1%354 W · 353 L | +25.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 48c | 1,400$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672 | 383 | 51.4%197 W · 186 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked No | 50c | 1,333$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.5 | 342 | 49.1%168 W · 174 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec0…9bddbacked Yes | 39c | 1,307$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$793.82 | 626 | 33.9%212 W · 414 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x425e…ecfabacked No | 3c | 1,273$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 113 | 60.2%68 W · 45 L | +22.2wins | +0.20per pick | 41cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 49c | 1,200$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588 | 352 | 51.7%182 W · 170 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed No | 45c | 1,126$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.32 | 617 | 52%321 W · 296 L | -13.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd26…d405backed Yes | 54c | 1,104$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.38 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c7…bf04backed Yes | 41c | 1,018$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.33 | 87 | 58.6%51 W · 36 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b29…556ebacked Yes | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed No | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 331 | 49.5%164 W · 167 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61ac…4781backed Yes | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 525 | 22.5%118 W · 407 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…5cb0backed Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 255 | 37.6%96 W · 159 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc5…e563backed No | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 421 | 26.4%111 W · 310 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Yes | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 92 | 66.3%61 W · 31 L | +13.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf742…e039backed No | 48c | 999.98$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.99 | 264 | 47.7%126 W · 138 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked Yes | 54c | 999.97$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.98 | 644 | 43.3%279 W · 365 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked No | 47c | 999.94$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.97 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae0…8f73backed No | 50c | 950$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed No | 47c | 860.27$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.93 | 695 | 34.8%242 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked No | 49c | 816.87$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.27 | 617 | 50.6%312 W · 305 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f9…fa68backed No | 11c | 770.15$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.72 | 172 | 23.3%40 W · 132 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 5c | 742.52$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.55 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71da…bc9ebacked Yes | 54c | 611.11$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.11 | 187 | 42.8%80 W · 107 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked Yes | 52c | 600$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 48c | 600$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 390 | 50.8%198 W · 192 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 48c | 600$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 384 | 51.6%198 W · 186 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b9…5699backed Yes | 42c | 595.24$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.24 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…17c5backed No | 61c | 572.83$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.89 | 334 | 38.6%129 W · 205 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 71c | 538.81$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.9 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 48c | 519.99$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.59 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 48c | 519.13$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.98 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e61…19bdbacked Yes | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 151 | 49.7%75 W · 76 L | +13.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…67b8backed Yes | 42c | 500$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.06 | 295 | 58.3%172 W · 123 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecc…415abacked Yes | 51c | 490.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.2 | 287 | 47%135 W · 152 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 45c | 483.06$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.99 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Yes | 48c | 482.1$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.1 | 242 | 42.6%103 W · 139 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked No | 49c | 464.38$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.02 | 348 | 51.7%180 W · 168 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa991…0935backed Yes | 35c | 428.4$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.46 | 91 | 68.1%62 W · 29 L | +13.8wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…2fc9backed Yes | 36c | 416.14$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.33 | 274 | 66.4%182 W · 92 L | +28.8wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked No | 61c | 409.08$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.54 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 353 | 52.7%186 W · 167 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed No | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 354 | 51.4%182 W · 172 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed No | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 352 | 51.7%182 W · 170 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed No | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 408 | 48.8%199 W · 209 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 399 | 51.4%205 W · 194 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed No | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 370 | 51.4%190 W · 180 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 14c | 398.09$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.29 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 52c | 396.55$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.43 | 815 | 54.8%447 W · 368 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed No | 64c | 386.32$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.8 | 90 | 61.1%55 W · 35 L | +9.2wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf536…1579backed Yes | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 154 | 40.3%62 W · 92 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec3c…528ebacked No | 49c | 383.23$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 83 | 36.1%30 W · 53 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Yes | 39c | 379.41$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.55 | 697 | 44.9%313 W · 384 L | +18.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x888c…19f9backed Yes | 41c | 371.25$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.25 | 89 | 33.7%30 W · 59 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 27c | 367.53$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.29 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked No | 48c | 312$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.76 | 374 | 52.1%195 W · 179 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36b4…d723backed Yes | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 101 | 33.7%34 W · 67 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 48c | 280$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb98a…914bbacked Yes | 52c | 279.96$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.38 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb87…a45dbacked Yes | 52c | 273.58$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.32 | 211 | 46.9%99 W · 112 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15bc…4a7ebacked Yes | 52c | 273.58$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.32 | 170 | 42.4%72 W · 98 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bosnia-Herzegovina leading at halftime?this page
- Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: Draw at halftime?No won
- Qatar leading at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.