Fifa International · resolved market
Qatar leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5063122586833e593d8a00f0b230fd9aaf1d0c1e5e2471460db5ed00deeeb58d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,854
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,069
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,854 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe811…ac72backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 12c | 5,351$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.05 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2461…f240backed Yes | 12c | 4,564$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.68 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 13c | 2,062$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.02 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 13c | 2,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 549 | 17.9%98 W · 451 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61ac…4781backed Yes | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 525 | 22.5%118 W · 407 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Yes | 12c | 866.66$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c9…4179backed Yes | 13c | 576.92$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 33 | 12.1%4 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09b5…7e72backed Yes | 13c | 468.69$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.93 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0852…655cbacked Yes | 16c | 430$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.8 | 536 | 29.9%160 W · 376 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 13c | 376.95$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.52 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 15c | 352.49$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.39 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 15c | 317$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.56 | 216 | 30.1%65 W · 151 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 12c | 273.82$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.86 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1d…d2afbacked Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Yes | 13c | 145.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 697 | 44.9%313 W · 384 L | +18.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf11c…ff89backed Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 146 | 24.7%36 W · 110 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…44c1backed Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x751f…e4ddbacked Yes | 12c | 120$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 879 | 38.6%339 W · 540 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 14c | 112$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 274 | 34.3%94 W · 180 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…ca2dbacked Yes | 12c | 99.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 129 | 14.7%19 W · 110 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf6a…1ddbbacked Yes | 13c | 80$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 28cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Qatar leading at halftime?this page
- Bosnia-Herzegovina leading at halftime?Yes won
- Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: Draw at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.