Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe6c4941c2b562db9f28001884a76762354c5338497e1c4b6555e069e76abef2c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nigma Galaxyof Nigma Galaxy, Rune Eaters
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,662
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,253
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,662 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed Rune Eaters | 27c | 13,311$3,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,583.63 | 476 | 46.4%221 W · 255 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Nigma Galaxy | 72c | 4,954$3,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,382.85 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 76c | 3,093$2,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.98 | 237 | 36.7%87 W · 150 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52f9…1fb2backed Rune Eaters | 19c | 2,366$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.2 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Rune Eaters | 15c | 2,180$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.17 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Rune Eaters | 24c | 2,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.99 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd044…a6febacked Nigma Galaxy | 74c | 1,500$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Nigma Galaxy | 76c | 1,388$1,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.12 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35f0…971ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 76c | 1,383$1,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.52 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fd…b08fbacked Rune Eaters | 10c | 1,323$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.78 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked Rune Eaters | 25c | 1,184$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 208 | 27.9%58 W · 150 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c5b…b82bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 77c | 1,175$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.51 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee4…ed67backed Rune Eaters | 25c | 1,043$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.85 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed Rune Eaters | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 211 | 0.5%1 W · 210 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -99.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de8…2a38backed Rune Eaters | 25c | 884$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 44cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc192…086cbacked Rune Eaters | 19c | 882.56$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Rune Eaters | 24c | 799.97$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.99 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Rune Eaters | 16c | 752.7$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.81 | 438 | 60.5%265 W · 173 L | +44.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Rune Eaters | 8c | 747.11$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 251 | 50.2%126 W · 125 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0e…2330backed Rune Eaters | 24c | 729.99$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.2 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Nigma Galaxy | 75c | 679.85$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.96 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…e373backed Nigma Galaxy | 78c | 677.62$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73bc…46cebacked Nigma Galaxy | 75c | 666.37$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.79 | 105 | 40%42 W · 63 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 76c | 658.14$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.14 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 63cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x257e…ca61backed Nigma Galaxy | 77c | 580.78$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.9 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Nigma Galaxy | 75c | 559$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.75 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x613a…2185backed Nigma Galaxy | 72c | 556$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.68 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked Rune Eaters | 25c | 543.45$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.12 | 462 | 40.7%188 W · 274 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe694…0a08backed Nigma Galaxy | 75c | 534$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.5 | 181 | 52.5%95 W · 86 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2776…4ecbbacked Nigma Galaxy | 75c | 521.55$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.15 | 72 | 62.5%45 W · 27 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f16…553dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfe…e4debacked Nigma Galaxy | 76c | 500$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.73 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Nigma Galaxy | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 292 | 43.2%126 W · 166 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8232…d12fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 75c | 495.05$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.76 | 280 | 62.9%176 W · 104 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Rune Eaters | 17c | 494.67$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.81 | 308 | 44.8%138 W · 170 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe187…a69cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 75c | 490.95$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.95 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed Rune Eaters | 12c | 479.51$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.91 | 200 | 30.5%61 W · 139 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Rune Eaters | 24c | 475.33$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.43 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae1…c891backed Nigma Galaxy | 76c | 460$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.4 | 335 | 49.9%167 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Rune Eaters | 24c | 430.26$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.26 | 196 | 43.9%86 W · 110 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Nigma Galaxy | 76c | 429.6$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.03 | 381 | 42%160 W · 221 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Rune Eaters | 21c | 411.29$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.17 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Rune Eaters | 11c | 407.42$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.13 | 215 | 40.9%88 W · 127 L | -12.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…0eccbacked Nigma Galaxy | 79c | 400.38$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.38 | 172 | 51.2%88 W · 84 L | -11.0wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…fd05backed Rune Eaters | 23c | 399.97$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.99 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed Nigma Galaxy | 76c | 394.74$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.74 | 480 | 57.1%274 W · 206 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Rune Eaters | 24c | 387.61$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.68 | 913 | 56.1%512 W · 401 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Rune Eaters | 18c | 374.25$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.48 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad9…0eaebacked Rune Eaters | 8c | 349.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.59 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6c…998fbacked Rune Eaters | 20c | 336.24$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.44 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Rune Eaters | 11c | 335.54$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.89 | 587 | 46.5%273 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Rune Eaters | 13c | 328$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.43 | 569 | 45.2%257 W · 312 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f95…15d7backed Rune Eaters | 19c | 301.35$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.82 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Rune Eaters | 24c | 291.67$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 577 | 35%202 W · 375 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bba…cf14backed Nigma Galaxy | 76c | 280.26$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.26 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +4.9wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…8ab1backed Nigma Galaxy | 77c | 277.92$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.92 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Rune Eaters | 8c | 276.53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.81 | 628 | 41.1%258 W · 370 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…4ce9backed Nigma Galaxy | 80c | 270$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 306 | 67.3%206 W · 100 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Rune Eaters | 7c | 260$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 222 | 40.1%89 W · 133 L | -14.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Rune Eaters | 10c | 250.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 301 | 46.2%139 W · 162 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41e2…3ad5backed Rune Eaters | 23c | 250$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +76%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b0…b4d1backed Rune Eaters | 25c | 250$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d70…ae13backed Nigma Galaxy | 75c | 250$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa718…baf1backed Nigma Galaxy | 75c | 244$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 76c | 230.26$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.26 | 150 | 69.3%104 W · 46 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 73cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71df…9aa0backed Nigma Galaxy | 74c | 221.46$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.58 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e89…af95backed Nigma Galaxy | 75c | 218.67$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.67 | 149 | 43.6%65 W · 84 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce8…75f2backed Rune Eaters | 19c | 213.87$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.11 | 121 | 32.2%39 W · 82 L | -11.0wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x156b…c533backed Nigma Galaxy | 78c | 205.54$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.54 | 61 | 63.9%39 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…47e7backed Rune Eaters | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 408 | 44.1%180 W · 228 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee22…7054backed Rune Eaters | 9c | 200$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -7.6wins | -0.17per pick | 38cpaid | -55%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…cab5backed Nigma Galaxy | 80c | 200$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 513 | 64.9%333 W · 180 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefbc…b344backed Nigma Galaxy | 73c | 197.89$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.43 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Nigma Galaxy | 72c | 189.73$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.51 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Rune Eaters | 24c | 187.26$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.94 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Rune Eaters | 12c | 179$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.96 | 168 | 39.9%67 W · 101 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked Nigma Galaxy | 76c | 175$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 700 | 52.3%366 W · 334 L | +47.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed Rune Eaters | 25c | 163.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.28 | 536 | 34%182 W · 354 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad2c…4eecbacked Nigma Galaxy | 76c | 145.55$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.41 | 134 | 35.8%48 W · 86 L | -9.5wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Rune Eaters | 25c | 138.5$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.03 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Rune Eaters | 18c | 134.01$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.73 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb11…8f3fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 76c | 132.48$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83b3…c2d7backed Nigma Galaxy | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 76c | 110$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.9 | 535 | 38.5%206 W · 329 L | -26.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec23…a896backed Nigma Galaxy | 76c | 107.89$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.89 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fac…b3b4backed Rune Eaters | 12c | 105.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.94 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Nigma Galaxy | 74c | 103.85$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 264 | 45.1%119 W · 145 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked Rune Eaters | 28c | 103.57$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 93 | 22.6%21 W · 72 L | -7.1wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Nigma Galaxy | 75c | 101.75$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.32 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae06…be4dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Nigma Galaxy | 77c | 93$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.22 | 165 | 39.4%65 W · 100 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91df…fd49backed Nigma Galaxy | 75c | 86.67$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 148 | 68.9%102 W · 46 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75d0…77cbbacked Nigma Galaxy | 75c | 85$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d59…bdf3backed Rune Eaters | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 675 | 55%371 W · 304 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Nigma Galaxy | 76c | 70$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.59 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0472…c3bfbacked Nigma Galaxy | 75c | 69.33$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.33 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed Rune Eaters | 24c | 66.75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.11 | 813 | 45.1%367 W · 446 L | -26.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed Rune Eaters | 22c | 62.41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked Nigma Galaxy | 75c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 441 | 49.4%218 W · 223 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976f…8a71backed Nigma Galaxy | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Rune Eaters - Game 1 WinnerNigma Galaxy won
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Rune Eaters - Game 2 WinnerNigma Galaxy won
- Game Handicap: NGX (-1.5) vs Rune Eaters (+1.5)Nigma Galaxy won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.