Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Rune Eaters - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd3a460d54fa226fd445c36ad5667329c94326ff64c497c00e3c27f6604e717ee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nigma Galaxyof Nigma Galaxy, Rune Eaters
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $178,378
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $219,173
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $178,378 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Rune Eaters | 34c | 45,250$15,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,243.81 | 179 | 48.6%87 W · 92 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Nigma Galaxy | 66c | 44,168$29,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,003.91 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed Rune Eaters | 33c | 15,000$4,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,950 | 471 | 46.1%217 W · 254 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Nigma Galaxy | 72c | 10,596$7,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,990.31 | 330 | 41.8%138 W · 192 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed Rune Eaters | 39c | 4,559$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.79 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf991…3965backed Rune Eaters | 30c | 4,479$1,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,344.39 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…4ce9backed Nigma Galaxy | 72c | 4,000$2,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,124.91 | 306 | 67.3%206 W · 100 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Rune Eaters | 33c | 3,355$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111 | 1,197 | 59.2%709 W · 488 L | +63.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed Nigma Galaxy | 60c | 3,277$1,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,305.52 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed Nigma Galaxy | 66c | 3,183$2,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,073.75 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab71…2adabacked Rune Eaters | 33c | 3,003$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Nigma Galaxy | 68c | 2,771$1,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.52 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0af3…8598backed Rune Eaters | 34c | 2,495$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.81 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -4.4wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b1…1b71backed Nigma Galaxy | 72c | 2,458$1,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.07 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08b8…e7dabacked Rune Eaters | 32c | 2,200$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704 | 308 | 54.9%169 W · 139 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x958c…a328backed Rune Eaters | 31c | 1,482$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.42 | 283 | 47%133 W · 150 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Rune Eaters | 21c | 1,414$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.24 | 1,443 | 48.7%703 W · 740 L | +29.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Nigma Galaxy | 63c | 1,386$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.09 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Nigma Galaxy | 62c | 1,338$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.19 | 628 | 41.1%258 W · 370 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60dd…40e5backed Nigma Galaxy | 66c | 1,304$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.01 | 334 | 53%177 W · 157 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Rune Eaters | 31c | 1,049$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.02 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Nigma Galaxy | 65c | 1,032$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.27 | 222 | 40.1%89 W · 133 L | -14.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5615…df5ebacked Rune Eaters | 21c | 999.99$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.9 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Rune Eaters | 29c | 999.99$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8430…3961backed Nigma Galaxy | 73c | 974.81$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.67 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7020…d655backed Nigma Galaxy | 71c | 942.31$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.55 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Rune Eaters | 32c | 919.98$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.19 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcc…ee29backed Rune Eaters | 34c | 904.84$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.13 | 174 | 51.7%90 W · 84 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Rune Eaters | 21c | 885.05$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.97 | 679 | 32.5%221 W · 458 L | -27.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Nigma Galaxy | 66c | 842.02$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.29 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf34b…bcb3backed Rune Eaters | 31c | 804.22$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.81 | 581 | 56.6%329 W · 252 L | +27.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed Nigma Galaxy | 75c | 781.45$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.83 | 200 | 30.5%61 W · 139 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f0…26edbacked Nigma Galaxy | 68c | 749.99$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 338 | 67.8%229 W · 109 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd9…de31backed Nigma Galaxy | 69c | 724.64$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.64 | 142 | 58.5%83 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Nigma Galaxy | 69c | 671.75$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.24 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked Rune Eaters | 33c | 658.78$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.76 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Rune Eaters | 50c | 604.75$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb24f…3432backed Rune Eaters | 16c | 600$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd3…3d7abacked Rune Eaters | 29c | 599.98$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.99 | 290 | 47.9%139 W · 151 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7e…ef88backed Rune Eaters | 22c | 594.25$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.51 | 84 | 25%21 W · 63 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Nigma Galaxy | 64c | 589.3$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.15 | 944 | 42.3%399 W · 545 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Rune Eaters | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 356 | 37.1%132 W · 224 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Rune Eaters | 29c | 500$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 290 | 43.4%126 W · 164 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…38e8backed Rune Eaters | 9c | 490.56$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.65 | 324 | 3.1%10 W · 314 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83b3…c2d7backed Nigma Galaxy | 70c | 428.52$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.52 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Nigma Galaxy | 67c | 390$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.7 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Nigma Galaxy | 65c | 372.72$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.67 | 1,691 | 41.4%700 W · 991 L | -40.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f31…a362backed Nigma Galaxy | 58c | 335.96$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.49 | 165 | 58.2%96 W · 69 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1318…0af2backed Rune Eaters | 29c | 333$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.57 | 176 | 33.5%59 W · 117 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a83…0be8backed Rune Eaters | 17c | 327.89$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0758…9532backed Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 320$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 184 | 37.5%69 W · 115 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Rune Eaters | 34c | 309.8$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.54 | 1,270 | 45.1%573 W · 697 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf6f…9f0abacked Rune Eaters | 25c | 297.89$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 161 | 39.8%64 W · 97 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 72c | 294.1$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.73 | 79 | 64.6%51 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Nigma Galaxy | 66c | 292.29$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.38 | 1,247 | 44.4%554 W · 693 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Rune Eaters | 30c | 285$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.73 | 665 | 45.6%303 W · 362 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb97e…262bbacked Rune Eaters | 41c | 269.01$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.84 | 526 | 49.2%259 W · 267 L | +21.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Rune Eaters | 32c | 250.01$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 308 | 44.8%138 W · 170 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed Nigma Galaxy | 51c | 250$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.5 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x37a1…bedfbacked Rune Eaters | 17c | 249.98$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Nigma Galaxy | 67c | 243.9$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.86 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ad…3575backed Nigma Galaxy | 65c | 227.83$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.91 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed Nigma Galaxy | 65c | 224.28$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.64 | 450 | 61.6%277 W · 173 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked Nigma Galaxy | 73c | 210$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.7 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6f…b760backed Rune Eaters | 33c | 204.1$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.35 | 255 | 47.8%122 W · 133 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48ba…d81dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 73c | 181.38$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.19 | 563 | 43.9%247 W · 316 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Rune Eaters | 40c | 178.66$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.41 | 583 | 46.3%270 W · 313 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53d6…c414backed Rune Eaters | 33c | 170.64$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.31 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e0…0d8abacked Nigma Galaxy | 70c | 167.14$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.14 | 268 | 59%158 W · 110 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb36f…53d0backed Nigma Galaxy | 63c | 158.36$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.36 | 209 | 49.8%104 W · 105 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x847e…3c43backed Nigma Galaxy | 56c | 157.14$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.14 | 59 | 64.4%38 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1816…2ee6backed Rune Eaters | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 375 | 49.3%185 W · 190 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce8…75f2backed Rune Eaters | 11c | 148.39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 121 | 32.2%39 W · 82 L | -11.0wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa257…3412backed Rune Eaters | 34c | 145.07$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Nigma Galaxy | 69c | 143.36$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.44 | 573 | 55.5%318 W · 255 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbda…d2c0backed Nigma Galaxy | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 108 | 70.4%76 W · 32 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed Nigma Galaxy | 68c | 125.98$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.34 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf98b…57bbbacked Nigma Galaxy | 64c | 120$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 418 | 64.1%268 W · 150 L | +17.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x435f…2de6backed Rune Eaters | 30c | 114.92$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.48 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec9…1873backed Rune Eaters | 33c | 113.62$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 198 | 39.4%78 W · 120 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Nigma Galaxy | 70c | 110.13$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.13 | 1,894 | 47.7%903 W · 991 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Rune Eaters | 29c | 100.39$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.68 | 185 | 52.4%97 W · 88 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc952…3c89backed Rune Eaters | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Rune Eaters | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcc…0d8abacked Nigma Galaxy | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed Rune Eaters | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x953e…79ffbacked Nigma Galaxy | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 280 | 50%140 W · 140 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed Rune Eaters | 26c | 95.97$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.93 | 802 | 44.9%360 W · 442 L | -27.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Rune Eaters | 40c | 94.65$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.55 | 301 | 46.2%139 W · 162 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c6…933abacked Nigma Galaxy | 73c | 93.15$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.15 | 128 | 68%87 W · 41 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c3…a6e8backed Nigma Galaxy | 59c | 90$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 378 | 51.1%193 W · 185 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Rune Eaters | 12c | 89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 1,113 | 36.2%403 W · 710 L | -37.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b41…2c02backed Rune Eaters | 30c | 82.6$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 726 | 37.5%272 W · 454 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…ccfebacked Nigma Galaxy | 56c | 80$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 546 | 59.7%326 W · 220 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc37d…e586backed Rune Eaters | 35c | 77.4$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.09 | 381 | 59.1%225 W · 156 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6f…aab3backed Nigma Galaxy | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 421 | 60.1%253 W · 168 L | +18.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5809…9868backed Rune Eaters | 17c | 67.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Rune Eaters | 35c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 183 | 56.8%104 W · 79 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…03cbbacked Rune Eaters | 39c | 58.97$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -8.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x010b…5f66backed Rune Eaters | 34c | 57.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.59 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Rune Eaters - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier PlayoffsNigma Galaxy won
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Rune Eaters - Game 2 WinnerNigma Galaxy won
- Game Handicap: NGX (-1.5) vs Rune Eaters (+1.5)Nigma Galaxy won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.