Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Rune Eaters - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x209a0ac87147f994694f2bb1cd9788e26091b1293585e0f1f5b7c39ccb54114b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nigma Galaxyof Nigma Galaxy, Rune Eaters
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $274,902
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $326,507
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $274,902 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 245 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Nigma Galaxy | 66c | 21,972$14,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,480.94 | 179 | 48.6%87 W · 92 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed Rune Eaters | 27c | 15,792$4,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,263.79 | 476 | 46.4%221 W · 255 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Nigma Galaxy | 65c | 10,304$6,743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,561.48 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Rune Eaters | 23c | 8,541$1,948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,948.04 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed Rune Eaters | 38c | 7,589$2,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,918.17 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed Nigma Galaxy | 68c | 4,910$3,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,587.93 | 453 | 52.1%236 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…4ce9backed Nigma Galaxy | 61c | 4,880$2,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,913.64 | 306 | 67.3%206 W · 100 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Rune Eaters | 30c | 4,832$1,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,451 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b1…1b71backed Nigma Galaxy | 72c | 4,609$3,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,268.31 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Rune Eaters | 28c | 4,345$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230.4 | 405 | 34.6%140 W · 265 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf991…3965backed Rune Eaters | 28c | 4,166$1,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,182.11 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31b9…150bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 74c | 3,161$2,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.92 | 592 | 54.1%320 W · 272 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60dd…40e5backed Nigma Galaxy | 69c | 2,999$2,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.36 | 334 | 53%177 W · 157 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Rune Eaters | 38c | 2,672$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026.36 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -4.8wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x70cf…1b41backed Rune Eaters | 17c | 2,553$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.97 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…1e8abacked Nigma Galaxy | 62c | 2,314$1,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890 | 150 | 50%75 W · 75 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dde…6b53backed Rune Eaters | 44c | 2,297$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb69…cfd1backed Rune Eaters | 9c | 2,249$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Nigma Galaxy | 44c | 1,995$871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,124.66 | 330 | 41.8%138 W · 192 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed Rune Eaters | 35c | 1,930$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.57 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Rune Eaters | 45c | 1,911$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$856.27 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Rune Eaters | 37c | 1,887$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.1 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Rune Eaters | 41c | 1,880$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.76 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20a9…18a3backed Rune Eaters | 28c | 1,708$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.14 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed Rune Eaters | 22c | 1,673$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.79 | 200 | 30.5%61 W · 139 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb55…51ddbacked Rune Eaters | 64c | 1,540$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993.17 | 359 | 60.4%217 W · 142 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x958c…a328backed Rune Eaters | 30c | 1,527$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.05 | 283 | 47%133 W · 150 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb97e…262bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 70c | 1,517$1,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.12 | 526 | 49.2%259 W · 267 L | +21.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Nigma Galaxy | 62c | 1,513$934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.82 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Rune Eaters | 27c | 1,500$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.98 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Rune Eaters | 45c | 1,493$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.62 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Rune Eaters | 24c | 1,493$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.33 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Rune Eaters | 25c | 1,484$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.38 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Rune Eaters | 29c | 1,323$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.05 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Nigma Galaxy | 65c | 1,289$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.26 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7020…d655backed Nigma Galaxy | 73c | 1,278$933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.17 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Rune Eaters | 1c | 1,263$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 104 | 0%0 W · 104 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…0eccbacked Rune Eaters | 17c | 1,251$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 172 | 51.2%88 W · 84 L | -11.0wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 61c | 1,246$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.15 | 540 | 58.9%318 W · 222 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…2f08backed Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 1,200$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.99 | 344 | 42.2%145 W · 199 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08b8…e7dabacked Rune Eaters | 39c | 1,200$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 310 | 55.2%171 W · 139 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…cab5backed Nigma Galaxy | 56c | 1,200$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.49 | 513 | 64.9%333 W · 180 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Rune Eaters | 29c | 1,153$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.96 | 251 | 50.2%126 W · 125 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed Nigma Galaxy | 40c | 1,100$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.99 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Nigma Galaxy | 69c | 1,092$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.25 | 430 | 67%288 W · 142 L | +31.9wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x952a…bdc8backed Nigma Galaxy | 64c | 1,065$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.97 | 84 | 69%58 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9705…7442backed Rune Eaters | 45c | 1,038$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.62 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Rune Eaters | 37c | 1,034$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.56 | 628 | 41.1%258 W · 370 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1d…2b19backed Rune Eaters | 23c | 1,000$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +11.3wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed Rune Eaters | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 211 | 0.5%1 W · 210 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -99.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked Rune Eaters | 29c | 999.99$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 365 | 47.7%174 W · 191 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed Nigma Galaxy | 55c | 999.97$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.98 | 574 | 49%281 W · 293 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Rune Eaters | 42c | 980.5$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.4 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…38e8backed Rune Eaters | 12c | 965.53$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.67 | 332 | 3%10 W · 322 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Nigma Galaxy | 69c | 945.2$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.01 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83b3…c2d7backed Nigma Galaxy | 54c | 902.91$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.99 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x25c6…dcacbacked Rune Eaters | 37c | 900$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.76 | 106 | 53.8%57 W · 49 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Rune Eaters | 27c | 896.98$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.18 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed Nigma Galaxy | 73c | 883$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.73 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…db99backed Rune Eaters | 35c | 857.71$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 363 | 43.3%157 W · 206 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked Rune Eaters | 25c | 800$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf34b…bcb3backed Rune Eaters | 28c | 728.67$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.03 | 583 | 56.8%331 W · 252 L | +28.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f0…26edbacked Nigma Galaxy | 64c | 700$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 338 | 67.8%229 W · 109 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Nigma Galaxy | 63c | 696$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.02 | 222 | 40.1%89 W · 133 L | -14.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Nigma Galaxy | 73c | 681.59$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.4 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x758f…dfb7backed Nigma Galaxy | 74c | 679.58$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.58 | 346 | 67.9%235 W · 111 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8232…d12fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 66c | 614.34$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.88 | 280 | 62.9%176 W · 104 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad9…0eaebacked Rune Eaters | 28c | 604.09$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.64 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb36f…53d0backed Rune Eaters | 42c | 602.81$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.3 | 209 | 49.8%104 W · 105 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd3…3d7abacked Rune Eaters | 28c | 599.98$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 290 | 47.9%139 W · 151 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Rune Eaters | 45c | 599.41$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.48 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Rune Eaters | 17c | 588$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.6 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Rune Eaters | 34c | 568.96$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.9 | 665 | 45.6%303 W · 362 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd9…de31backed Nigma Galaxy | 73c | 549.21$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.29 | 142 | 58.5%83 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Rune Eaters | 29c | 542.5$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.33 | 292 | 43.2%126 W · 166 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31ab…20e9backed Nigma Galaxy | 67c | 535.49$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.49 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d9…b188backed Rune Eaters | 33c | 534.47$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb24f…3432backed Rune Eaters | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x880d…39bcbacked Rune Eaters | 45c | 499.99$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 327 | 56.9%186 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe3…ca9dbacked Rune Eaters | 61c | 491.32$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Rune Eaters | 43c | 490.4$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.58 | 165 | 53.3%88 W · 77 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Rune Eaters | 27c | 486.3$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.23 | 683 | 45.8%313 W · 370 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbda…d2c0backed Nigma Galaxy | 63c | 473.25$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.25 | 108 | 70.4%76 W · 32 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Rune Eaters | 44c | 455$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.78 | 565 | 48%271 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed Nigma Galaxy | 73c | 442.64$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.21 | 480 | 57.1%274 W · 206 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Rune Eaters | 41c | 436.48$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.28 | 340 | 41.2%140 W · 200 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd241…6c35backed Rune Eaters | 36c | 400$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +5.1wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbc…f944backed Rune Eaters | 54c | 397.71$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.58 | 207 | 67.1%139 W · 68 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Rune Eaters | 39c | 378.7$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.62 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Rune Eaters | 44c | 372$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.79 | 174 | 43.1%75 W · 99 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Rune Eaters | 22c | 372$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.18 | 302 | 50%151 W · 151 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Nigma Galaxy | 66c | 366.66$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.5 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc925…6d24backed Rune Eaters | 38c | 351.27$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.99 | 416 | 32.7%136 W · 280 L | -37.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Nigma Galaxy | 24c | 340.72$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.72 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87e6…9c8abacked Nigma Galaxy | 67c | 333.1$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.1 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1318…0af2backed Rune Eaters | 27c | 332.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.91 | 176 | 33.5%59 W · 117 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f42…1f72backed Nigma Galaxy | 74c | 322.27$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.17 | 318 | 65.1%207 W · 111 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…fb60backed Nigma Galaxy | 53c | 305$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.49 | 504 | 44%222 W · 282 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked Nigma Galaxy | 72c | 302.35$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.66 | 614 | 49.5%304 W · 310 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a24…3845backed Rune Eaters | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Rune Eaters - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier PlayoffsNigma Galaxy won
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Rune Eaters - Game 1 WinnerNigma Galaxy won
- Game Handicap: NGX (-1.5) vs Rune Eaters (+1.5)Nigma Galaxy won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.