Fifa International · resolved market
Will Erling Haaland score 10+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b24bccf5c8cf28b4ce97da85b65ff48c33722aeb9a0ca528bee1d3abb2cb410
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,912
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,651
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,912 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 0c | 5,100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 202 | 1.5%3 W · 199 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe533…ab29backed Yes | 10c | 5,000$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505 | 116 | 38.8%45 W · 71 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes | 17c | 4,002$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.57 | 589 | 26.8%158 W · 431 L | -30.5wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 1,258$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.33 | 779 | 9.6%75 W · 704 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 34c | 1,137$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.21 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Yes | 12c | 600$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.6 | 172 | 17.4%30 W · 142 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb116…7baebacked Yes | 17c | 600$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.81 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed Yes | 19c | 556.57$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.87 | 920 | 38.5%354 W · 566 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 12c | 531.03$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.76 | 457 | 36.3%166 W · 291 L | -13.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68d3…55b0backed No | 77c | 419.18$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.46 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2277…6604backed Yes | 10c | 400.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.05 | 186 | 41.9%78 W · 108 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 24c | 396.99$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.71 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8db…7c68backed Yes | 10c | 350$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 6c | 264$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 260 | 37.3%97 W · 163 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad52…11acbacked Yes | 12c | 202.03$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.65 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | -6.3wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x562b…dc09backed No | 79c | 190.7$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.24 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 10c | 173.1$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 427 | 37.2%159 W · 268 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb7e…28ddbacked Yes | 18c | 162$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed No | 54c | 161.39$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.87 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 17c | 160.58$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.05 | 293 | 7.5%22 W · 271 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa732…c2cabacked Yes | 17c | 158.82$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 23cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed Yes | 14c | 156.2$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.03 | 129 | 36.4%47 W · 82 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f15…52f1backed No | 75c | 150$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x714f…66d5backed Yes | 7c | 150$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 119 | 28.6%34 W · 85 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e3f…32a4backed No | 76c | 150$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87b0…11eabacked No | 77c | 121.83$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.77 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 28c | 118.09$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.79 | 802 | 25.7%206 W · 596 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…78e0backed Yes | 14c | 112.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 215 | 17.2%37 W · 178 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2415…c70bbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4423…47fdbacked Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 122 | 44.3%54 W · 68 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc429…1c89backed Yes | 17c | 88.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 156 | 51.9%81 W · 75 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…820cbacked Yes | 17c | 74$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 71 | 26.8%19 W · 52 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 77c | 72.12$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.95 | 302 | 41.4%125 W · 177 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 18c | 70.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 486 | 36.6%178 W · 308 L | -48.4wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x71df…9aa0backed No | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Erling Haaland score 10+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?this page
- Will Erling Haaland score 11+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Erling Haaland score 12+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Erling Haaland score 2+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Erling Haaland score 3+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Erling Haaland score 4+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Erling Haaland score 5+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Erling Haaland score 6+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Erling Haaland score 7+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Erling Haaland score 8+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Erling Haaland score 9+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.