TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Erling Haaland score 6+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$14,243
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$13,126

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,243 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe8c4…395dbacked No46c1,213$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557.9740649.8%202 W · 204 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed No51c967.01$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.4388838.2%339 W · 549 L+37.2wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x09b4…e56dbacked No61c910.72$553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552.646048.3%29 W · 31 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes53c794.8$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.9358926.8%158 W · 431 L-30.5wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-44.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb8d7…6f40backed Yes54c700$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3222133.3%7 W · 14 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick26cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x714f…66d5backed Yes16c647.78$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.4111928.6%34 W · 85 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick23cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed No45c600$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27034151%174 W · 167 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed Yes38c587.41$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.4240355.3%223 W · 180 L-0.8wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb410…7736backed No35c545.16$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.313957.6%80 W · 59 L+18.4wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+26.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xc7fb…e5fdbacked Yes52c505.17$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.4811256.3%63 W · 49 L+9.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+14.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6885…c478backed Yes31c499.99$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.99633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick18cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39a5…87f2backed Yes55c425.25$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.628842%37 W · 51 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+19.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes53c402.67$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.048,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b9e…6838backed No52c383.77$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002343.5%10 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+31.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xca16…f878backed Yes43c347.97$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.062842.9%12 W · 16 L+3.7wins+0.13per pick30cpaid-6.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb1a1…a41ebacked Yes36c284.5$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.7114032.1%45 W · 95 L-0.2wins0.00per pick32cpaid-25.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked Yes50c269.33$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.3717945.3%81 W · 98 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed No30c262.43$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.1580225.7%206 W · 596 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes40c262.27$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.7866239.6%262 W · 400 L-48.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-25.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7a3c…04febacked Yes35c255.05$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.05475%3 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.46per pick29cpaid+159.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x924d…3429backed No47c214.4$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6530…d760backed Yes54c203.7$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.74774.5%35 W · 12 L+9.1wins+0.19per pick55cpaid+43.8%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xdcbd…9d9ebacked Yes72c200$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564148.8%20 W · 21 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ed0…9c4fbacked No52c195.45$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.4522550.7%114 W · 111 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x168f…9e00backed No27c195$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.6523543%101 W · 134 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x562b…dc09backed No28c172.05$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.177950.6%40 W · 39 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked No39c161.34$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.2717217.4%30 W · 142 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32d0…6070backed No61c159.03$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.766744.8%30 W · 37 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-18.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbcd6…f3c8backed No45c154.85$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.6813556.3%76 W · 59 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+3.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3c15…45a0backed Yes55c144.81$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.0212936.4%47 W · 82 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a0c…74f9backed Yes23c129.05$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1004235.7%15 W · 27 L-4.1wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-24.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1e08…e99bbacked No45c123.35$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.7913855.1%76 W · 62 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x222b…d3fdbacked No45c114$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.35335.8%19 W · 34 L-6.6wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-23.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7f15…52f1backed Yes55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454055%22 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3eb4…b3fcbacked Yes49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.51656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+16.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x94ce…edf2backed Yes20c100$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$805552.7%29 W · 26 L+6.7wins+0.12per pick40cpaid+94.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x59fb…eceabacked No66c100$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$663839.5%15 W · 23 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb766…1d83backed No27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2714534.5%50 W · 95 L-11.4wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-26.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x721a…9295backed Yes49c92.94$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.6916246.9%76 W · 86 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4435…786fbacked No64c92.6$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.2612847.7%61 W · 67 L+0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9592…a450backed Yes54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.592259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb31b…b140backed No64c92.59$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.2622243.7%97 W · 125 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1536…7f40backed No45c92$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.47553.3%40 W · 35 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes53c87.38$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.071,06749.1%524 W · 543 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked No27c81.16$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0241231.6%130 W · 282 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Yes19c80$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.845736.3%166 W · 291 L-13.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-25.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3650…d17cbacked Yes19c76.22$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.746141%25 W · 36 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf7c…4c16backed No47c75$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.254035%14 W · 26 L+0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e91…a1b7backed Yes17c73.53$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.032321.7%5 W · 18 L-3.6wins-0.16per pick38cpaid-30.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xdfdc…0133backed Yes60c73$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+65.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf52…55d6backed Yes19c71.78$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.142334.8%8 W · 15 L-4.5wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-21.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes48c65.18$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.916227.4%17 W · 45 L-0.1wins0.00per pick28cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9eda…6e19backed No63c61$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.6511241.1%46 W · 66 L-6.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-17.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9a51…bf4cbacked No46c60.81$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.7311255.4%62 W · 50 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes72c60$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.830241.4%125 W · 177 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x933c…a8c6backed Yes51c57.54$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.9412038.3%46 W · 74 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+31.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbc8c…70dabacked No68c53$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.861625%4 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-28.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb63f…793cbacked Yes20c50$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402055%11 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+17.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e7d…ca41backed Yes53c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.57339.7%29 W · 44 L-0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-27.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3fc…484abacked No40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012735.4%45 W · 82 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-31.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x43e2…5fbdbacked Yes46c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.83759.5%22 W · 15 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x85d5…6b2bbacked No63c50$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.57448.6%36 W · 38 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85b5…c3bcbacked Yes52c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244971.4%35 W · 14 L+4.6wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x68cc…78e0backed Yes23c48.27$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.1621517.2%37 W · 178 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-31.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2240…e11abacked Yes38c45.64$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.34131.7%13 W · 28 L-4.3wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-34.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe051…f4f9backed Yes57c42.88$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.445341.5%22 W · 31 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec90…bb74backed Yes58c42.71$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181850%9 W · 9 L+2.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+22.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaf00…33a7backed No59c40$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.63360.6%20 W · 13 L+4.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+54%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0855…ae26backed Yes39c40$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.43339.4%13 W · 20 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-28.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x79ae…c2b6backed Yes55c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick19cpaid-54.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbcd3…1a5abacked Yes57c39$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.772050%10 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcc4…f3dabacked Yes50c39$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.56058.3%35 W · 25 L+5.6wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+6.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfec1…b807backed Yes67c38.44$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.693246.9%15 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c30…37b7backed Yes57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.091637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-28.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x80ac…0bd0backed Yes60c33.42$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.42540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick31cpaid-27.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2352…1d44backed No45c30.57$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.651241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed No42c29.99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.732,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9422…f273backed Yes66c27.45$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.4618053.3%96 W · 84 L-10.9wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-16%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcc38…686fbacked Yes57c26.46$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.461353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+60.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4916…f56fbacked No58c21.35$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.458542.4%36 W · 49 L-11.7wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-25%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x736e…a144backed Yes50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103036.7%11 W · 19 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+23.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x11cb…0bdbbacked Yes50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105337.7%20 W · 33 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+46.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b56…d1e1backed Yes60c19.78$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.893278.1%25 W · 7 L+4.9wins+0.15per pick63cpaid+23%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x23a1…8620backed Yes78c13$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.862864.3%18 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.