Fifa International · resolved market
Will Erling Haaland score 8+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6d787118b2a974508b145019c6b4af266dbb813cd6cb18da0901ffa5f1570445
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,383
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,109
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,383 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 21c | 2,607$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.68 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed Yes | 20c | 1,622$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.68 | 470 | 49.4%232 W · 238 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked No | 43c | 1,286$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.42 | 188 | 48.9%92 W · 96 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd98f…5d9abacked No | 45c | 1,236$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.91 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.18per pick | 41cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe533…ab29backed Yes | 56c | 999.98$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.99 | 116 | 38.8%45 W · 71 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes | 51c | 995.36$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.29 | 589 | 26.8%158 W · 431 L | -30.5wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked No | 44c | 933$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.48 | 406 | 49.8%202 W · 204 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Yes | 17c | 868.81$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.01 | 172 | 17.4%30 W · 142 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked No | 40c | 834.32$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.93 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb410…7736backed No | 58c | 813.02$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.9 | 139 | 57.6%80 W · 59 L | +18.4wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x71a5…b594backed No | 41c | 712.99$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.53 | 185 | 38.9%72 W · 113 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x832b…5c91backed Yes | 56c | 600$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5efb…8392backed Yes | 57c | 593.02$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 32cpaid | +48%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x426f…bdadbacked Yes | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 59c | 497.01$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.16 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes | 14c | 432.95$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.59 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x924d…3429backed No | 42c | 400.68$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.68 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4423…47fdbacked Yes | 58c | 372.52$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.9 | 122 | 44.3%54 W · 68 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed Yes | 8c | 368.01$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.56 | 341 | 51%174 W · 167 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4014…eab6backed Yes | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf58b…51fdbacked No | 40c | 303$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.8 | 125 | 50.4%63 W · 62 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 8c | 283.15$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.63 | 779 | 9.6%75 W · 704 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6700…acfebacked Yes | 60c | 268.7$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.81 | 66 | 15.2%10 W · 56 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd5…6bb7backed Yes | 57c | 258.79$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.59 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f15…52f1backed Yes | 57c | 250$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.5 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d5b…7744backed No | 44c | 228.17$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.17 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x127e…3dd8backed Yes | 59c | 222.95$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.54 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 64cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x166a…d7edbacked No | 42c | 222.39$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.78 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 48c | 211.74$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.37 | 427 | 37.2%159 W · 268 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33ea…f2f0backed No | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…a8f5backed Yes | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +80%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef6…01a1backed Yes | 59c | 193.49$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 16c | 171$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.36 | 412 | 31.6%130 W · 282 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1df…309dbacked Yes | 59c | 170.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1de…801cbacked Yes | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb94c…3c05backed No | 47c | 159.38$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.38 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb920…1b19backed Yes | 59c | 150$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 15c | 141$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 260 | 37.3%97 W · 163 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fc…6bd2backed Yes | 57c | 140$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa7a…d837backed Yes | 56c | 137.75$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.37 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb7e…28ddbacked Yes | 57c | 125$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.77 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…cbdcbacked Yes | 12c | 122.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f66…3a50backed Yes | 65c | 118.26$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e08…e99bbacked No | 41c | 115$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.4 | 138 | 55.1%76 W · 62 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2277…6604backed Yes | 24c | 112.9$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.1 | 186 | 41.9%78 W · 108 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed Yes | 62c | 112$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.44 | 320 | 44.1%141 W · 179 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 58c | 104.84$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.03 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed Yes | 51c | 103.75$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.22 | 129 | 36.4%47 W · 82 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b8…bb8dbacked Yes | 58c | 103.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed No | 46c | 103.33$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.86 | 534 | 48.5%259 W · 275 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f65…a0adbacked Yes | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 239 | 50.2%120 W · 119 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06dd…9534backed Yes | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0748…103bbacked Yes | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e3f…32a4backed No | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x804f…64febacked No | 40c | 99.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad52…11acbacked Yes | 60c | 97.42$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.45 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | -6.3wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf269…452ebacked Yes | 58c | 97.26$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.41 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed No | 44c | 93.28$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.24 | 135 | 56.3%76 W · 59 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3806…d265backed Yes | 59c | 93.22$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b39…a8c1backed Yes | 59c | 89.83$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe342…2a23backed Yes | 59c | 88.14$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb395…3a1fbacked Yes | 59c | 88.14$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 58c | 87.67$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.15 | 792 | 31.1%246 W · 546 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55b1…a258backed Yes | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 75 | 18.7%14 W · 61 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08b3…33febacked Yes | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc96…ba4cbacked Yes | 59c | 85$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked No | 40c | 85$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb65b…516bbacked Yes | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 24c | 84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 457 | 36.3%166 W · 291 L | -13.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacaf…1f47backed Yes | 58c | 82.76$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f3…985abacked Yes | 59c | 81.36$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes | 56c | 80.33$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.71 | 1,114 | 49.4%550 W · 564 L | +57.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde2b…c370backed Yes | 61c | 69.23$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.23 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40a1…c62fbacked Yes | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa60…c581backed No | 53c | 58.49$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc490…0558backed Yes | 60c | 58.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d38…3bd9backed Yes | 54c | 55.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d3…6b2ebacked Yes | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 52c | 51.63$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.61 | 662 | 39.6%262 W · 400 L | -48.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d00…0121backed Yes | 24c | 51.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df7…780dbacked Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 155 | 46.5%72 W · 83 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b0…867ebacked Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc4…f3dabacked No | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x69f4…c6eebacked Yes | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 173 | 57.8%100 W · 73 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5522…c807backed Yes | 63c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 160 | 56.3%90 W · 70 L | -14.6wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8812…c41abacked No | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 452 | 54.6%247 W · 205 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31ee…8c8ebacked Yes | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6683…f5f4backed No | 41c | 47$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.73 | 156 | 55.8%87 W · 69 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e91…a1b7backed Yes | 24c | 42.62$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x81a9…6a2cbacked Yes | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…78e0backed No | 38c | 40.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.28 | 215 | 17.2%37 W · 178 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb97…eee8backed No | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 184 | 60.9%112 W · 72 L | +13.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca6b…fae3backed Yes | 57c | 38.6$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed No | 43c | 37.96$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.83 | 232 | 45.7%106 W · 126 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a51…bf4cbacked No | 44c | 37.84$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.19 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe467…157cbacked Yes | 55c | 36.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b18…a4ffbacked Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9283…68eabacked Yes | 60c | 34.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4da9…e9afbacked Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Erling Haaland score 8+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?this page
- Will Erling Haaland score 10+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Erling Haaland score 11+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Erling Haaland score 12+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Erling Haaland score 2+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Erling Haaland score 3+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Erling Haaland score 4+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Erling Haaland score 5+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Erling Haaland score 6+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Erling Haaland score 7+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Erling Haaland score 9+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.