TailMyPicks
Market

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Erling Haaland score 8+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$34,383
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$34,109

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,383 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes21c2,607$543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542.681,06749.1%524 W · 543 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb581…0308backed Yes20c1,622$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.6847049.4%232 W · 238 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c43…fb9bbacked No43c1,286$548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$738.4218848.9%92 W · 96 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+11.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd98f…5d9abacked No45c1,236$553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$682.911723.5%4 W · 13 L-3.0wins-0.18per pick41cpaid-50.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No40c1,000$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6001,07545.2%486 W · 589 L+41.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe533…ab29backed Yes56c999.98$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.9911638.8%45 W · 71 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+19.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes51c995.36$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.2958926.8%158 W · 431 L-30.5wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-44.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked No44c933$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.4840649.8%202 W · 204 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked Yes17c868.81$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.0117217.4%30 W · 142 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked No40c834.32$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.931,20650.2%606 W · 600 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb410…7736backed No58c813.02$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.913957.6%80 W · 59 L+18.4wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+26.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x71a5…b594backed No41c712.99$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.5318538.9%72 W · 113 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x832b…5c91backed Yes56c600$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3334143.9%18 W · 23 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-17%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5efb…8392backed Yes57c593.02$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3401346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick32cpaid+48%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x426f…bdadbacked Yes60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001631.3%5 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick27cpaid+37.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes59c497.01$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.168,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes14c432.95$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.5988838.2%339 W · 549 L+37.2wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x924d…3429backed No42c400.68$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.681338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4423…47fdbacked Yes58c372.52$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.912244.3%54 W · 68 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-22.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed Yes8c368.01$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.5634151%174 W · 167 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4014…eab6backed Yes60c333.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf58b…51fdbacked No40c303$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.812550.4%63 W · 62 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes8c283.15$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.637799.6%75 W · 704 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick11cpaid-44.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6700…acfebacked Yes60c268.7$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.816615.2%10 W · 56 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick20cpaid-57.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8fd5…6bb7backed Yes57c258.79$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.59650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+18.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f15…52f1backed Yes57c250$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.54055%22 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d5b…7744backed No44c228.17$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.174957.1%28 W · 21 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x127e…3dd8backed Yes59c222.95$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.541181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.18per pick64cpaid+19.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x166a…d7edbacked No42c222.39$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.782948.3%14 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked Yes48c211.74$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.3742737.2%159 W · 268 L-15.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x33ea…f2f0backed No41c200$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1181127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32d6…a8f5backed Yes56c200$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.29per pick38cpaid+80%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5ef6…01a1backed Yes59c193.49$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-35.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Yes16c171$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.3641231.6%130 W · 282 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1df…309dbacked Yes59c170.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004847.9%23 W · 25 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1de…801cbacked Yes60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb94c…3c05backed No47c159.38$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.385040%20 W · 30 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb920…1b19backed Yes59c150$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$885133.3%17 W · 34 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed Yes15c141$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1526037.3%97 W · 163 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9fc…6bd2backed Yes57c140$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.8633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-52.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa7a…d837backed Yes56c137.75$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.37771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+33.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb7e…28ddbacked Yes57c125$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.778936%32 W · 57 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-25.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd96…cbdcbacked Yes12c122.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6920%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f66…3a50backed Yes65c118.26$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$773138.7%12 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-19.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e08…e99bbacked No41c115$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.413855.1%76 W · 62 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2277…6604backed Yes24c112.9$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.118641.9%78 W · 108 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-26.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe086…0450backed Yes62c112$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.4432044.1%141 W · 179 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Yes58c104.84$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.034841.7%20 W · 28 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-27.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c15…45a0backed Yes51c103.75$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.2212936.4%47 W · 82 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe5b8…bb8dbacked Yes58c103.45$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604721.3%10 W · 37 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed No46c103.33$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.8653448.5%259 W · 275 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f65…a0adbacked Yes57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5723950.2%120 W · 119 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x06dd…9534backed Yes57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.21per pick38cpaid-59.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0748…103bbacked Yes59c100$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$592138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e3f…32a4backed No40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x804f…64febacked No40c99.99$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xad52…11acbacked Yes60c97.42$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.455129.4%15 W · 36 L-6.3wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-52.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf269…452ebacked Yes58c97.26$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.41825%2 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-61.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbcd6…f3c8backed No44c93.28$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.2413556.3%76 W · 59 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+3.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3806…d265backed Yes59c93.22$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-25.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b39…a8c1backed Yes59c89.83$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531936.8%7 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-29.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe342…2a23backed Yes59c88.14$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-27.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb395…3a1fbacked Yes59c88.14$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522055%11 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes58c87.67$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.1579231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55b1…a258backed Yes58c86.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507518.7%14 W · 61 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick20cpaid+7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08b3…33febacked Yes58c86.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502317.4%4 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc96…ba4cbacked Yes59c85$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-26%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe015…6ffdbacked No40c85$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515352.8%28 W · 25 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb65b…516bbacked Yes59c84.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502347.8%11 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick37cpaid-15.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Yes24c84$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1645736.3%166 W · 291 L-13.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-25.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xacaf…1f47backed Yes58c82.76$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483718.9%7 W · 30 L-0.2wins0.00per pick19cpaid-15.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0f3…985abacked Yes59c81.36$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481850%9 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes56c80.33$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.711,11449.4%550 W · 564 L+57.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xde2b…c370backed Yes61c69.23$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.23520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.35per pick55cpaid-66.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x40a1…c62fbacked Yes58c68.97$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402142.9%9 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick37cpaid-23.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa60…c581backed No53c58.49$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc490…0558backed Yes60c58.33$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353171%22 W · 9 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d38…3bd9backed Yes54c55.97$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307342.5%31 W · 42 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6d3…6b2ebacked Yes55c54.55$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302152.4%11 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes52c51.63$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.6166239.6%262 W · 400 L-48.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-25.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8d00…0121backed Yes24c51.1$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.268041.3%33 W · 47 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5df7…780dbacked Yes60c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3015546.5%72 W · 83 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3b0…867ebacked Yes60c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307451.4%38 W · 36 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcc4…f3dabacked No44c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286058.3%35 W · 25 L+5.6wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+6.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x69f4…c6eebacked Yes55c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.517357.8%100 W · 73 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5522…c807backed Yes63c50$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.516056.3%90 W · 70 L-14.6wins-0.09per pick65cpaid-14.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8812…c41abacked No41c50$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.545254.6%247 W · 205 L+13.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x31ee…8c8ebacked Yes61c49.18$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick50cpaid-56.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6683…f5f4backed No41c47$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.7315655.8%87 W · 69 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e91…a1b7backed Yes24c42.62$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.232321.7%5 W · 18 L-3.6wins-0.16per pick38cpaid-30.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x81a9…6a2cbacked Yes60c41.67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258742.5%37 W · 50 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68cc…78e0backed No38c40.99$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.2821517.2%37 W · 178 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-31.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb97…eee8backed No51c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.618460.9%112 W · 72 L+13.9wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+10.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xca6b…fae3backed Yes57c38.6$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe457…5ab3backed No43c37.96$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.8323245.7%106 W · 126 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a51…bf4cbacked No44c37.84$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.1911255.4%62 W · 50 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe467…157cbacked Yes55c36.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+39.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b18…a4ffbacked Yes56c35.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick30cpaid+15.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9283…68eabacked Yes60c34.5$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.7520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick54cpaid-67.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4da9…e9afbacked Yes60c33.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.