TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2e91…a1b7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
96
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: Tweets, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category Tweets at 52 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT2339.1%9 W · 14 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Weather — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.45
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on July 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+102.2%+$33.86
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on July 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$7.77
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on July 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.91
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on July 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.8
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on July 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+25%+$3.23
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on July 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.1
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on July 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.89
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on July 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$12.4
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 96-97°F on July 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.92
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on July 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.24
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 96-97°F on July 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on July 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+165.3%+$33.65
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on July 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.56
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on July 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.17
Will the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on July 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.22
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$14.42
Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on July 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.33
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on July 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.76
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on July 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$14.13
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on July 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$17.84
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on July 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.65
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$111.86
All 23 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2321.7%5 W · 18 L-3.6wins-0.16per pick38cpaid-30.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 4+ matches be suspended by weather protocol during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will Lamine Yamal score 3+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will Julian Alvarez score 3+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.71
Will Nike be the shirt manufacturer of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.56
Will Erling Haaland score 8+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.23
Will Christian Pulisic score 2+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will Mexico be the furthest advancing host nation at the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+122.4%+$27.69
Will Cristiano Ronaldo's national team advance the furthest at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.44
Will Erling Haaland score 6+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$61.03
Will Netherlands reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.48
Will Japan be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$11.86
Will Japan reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.05
Will South Korea be the furthest advancing AFC nation at the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.3
Will South Korea reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Scotland be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.14
Will Croatia be an advancing Group Stage third-place team at the 2026 World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will Uruguay be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.48
Will Kenan Yıldız score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will Wilson Isidor score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$22.22
Will Lionel Messi score 4+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+203%+$25.38
Will Australia finish last in Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will Türkiye be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will Gerónimo Rulli be in Argentina's Starting 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
All 23 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT1118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick36cpaid-69.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
World Politics — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wes Streeting be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.24
Will John Healey be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.29
Will Wes Streeting be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.42
Will Darren Jones be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.68
Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.33
Will the next UK Prime Minister be appointed by July 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.4
Will Starmer officially leave office by July 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.45
Will Slovakia pass the 2026 referendum question restoring the Office of the Special Prosecutor and National Crime Agency?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.45
Will Slovakia pass the 2026 referendum question cancelling the lifetime annuity for politicians?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.15
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 22°C on July 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+37%+$4.75
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election by 9% or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+102.3%+$23.01
All 11 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick38cpaid+12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPOlast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-59.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
IPO — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweetslast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-14.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will EDward Gaming win Valorant Masters London 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $70M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.54
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will T1 win MSI 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.