Fifa International · resolved market
Will Japan be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x00cc935521cee895c42ed5b1b1d34956c7213cbb169e22e57f1980e7d0fe211f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $73,594
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $76,942
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,594 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 195 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 64c | 5,313$3,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,917.52 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Yes | 68c | 3,607$2,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,154.27 | 209 | 55.5%116 W · 93 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 31c | 3,541$1,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,090.52 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f8…81bdbacked No | 31c | 3,203$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff9…387ebacked No | 31c | 3,142$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49b6…170cbacked Yes | 54c | 3,014$1,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380.17 | 60 | 31.7%19 W · 41 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x503a…8322backed No | 30c | 2,200$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.99 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Yes | 72c | 1,638$1,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.59 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 45c | 1,620$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.42 | 219 | 58%127 W · 92 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 67c | 1,457$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.98 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb916…f248backed No | 32c | 1,255$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 39c | 1,224$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.7 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x090f…6c7fbacked No | 30c | 1,129$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.54 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 44c | 1,120$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.4 | 438 | 35.8%157 W · 281 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Yes | 50c | 1,112$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.03 | 350 | 33.7%118 W · 232 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab2d…b1aabacked No | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.95 | 165 | 40.6%67 W · 98 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…5961backed Yes | 70c | 1,048$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.71 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -7.2wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Yes | 71c | 996.99$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.13 | 406 | 49.8%202 W · 204 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 58c | 994.74$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.46 | 302 | 41.4%125 W · 177 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cff…7cdbbacked Yes | 74c | 974.99$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.4 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed Yes | 69c | 959.66$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.47 | 341 | 51%174 W · 167 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf83e…4663backed No | 28c | 958.41$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.35 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x831a…d532backed No | 11c | 800.78$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.09 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…8bcdbacked Yes | 62c | 741.98$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.87 | 878 | 37.2%327 W · 551 L | -41.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 39c | 737.73$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.48 | 148 | 58.8%87 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc19…c313backed Yes | 73c | 699.98$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | +6.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +21%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb00…7fe9backed Yes | 72c | 600.23$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.04 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8e…21b7backed Yes | 75c | 569.03$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.63 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +11.3wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 40c | 561$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.81 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 44c | 553$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.31 | 282 | 56.7%160 W · 122 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed Yes | 60c | 500.16$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.11 | 181 | 39.8%72 W · 109 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 47c | 489$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.05 | 130 | 60.8%79 W · 51 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 43c | 441.1$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.98 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b42…dc6dbacked Yes | 48c | 422.37$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.37 | 112 | 33.9%38 W · 74 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82cf…3d55backed No | 26c | 400$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x530d…77f2backed Yes | 71c | 370$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.3 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 73c | 367.2$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.72 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed No | 29c | 365.16$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.9 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb462…09bfbacked Yes | 54c | 350.14$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.33 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked No | 28c | 334.75$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.43 | 185 | 45.9%85 W · 100 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 8c | 334.06$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.99 | 802 | 25.7%206 W · 596 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 47c | 313.18$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.64 | 486 | 36.6%178 W · 308 L | -48.4wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe4f6…db0ebacked No | 31c | 305.17$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.65 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6406…bc04backed Yes | 72c | 301.9$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.53 | 109 | 66.1%72 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…87cfbacked Yes | 71c | 298.6$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.58 | 173 | 40.5%70 W · 103 L | +11.1wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed Yes | 70c | 292$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.46 | 120 | 46.7%56 W · 64 L | -11.5wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x338b…bf88backed Yes | 58c | 282.08$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.47 | 193 | 32.6%63 W · 130 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf609…e68bbacked No | 38c | 267$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.38 | 206 | 52.9%109 W · 97 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0e…c02bbacked No | 36c | 256.32$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.17 | 163 | 33.7%55 W · 108 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Yes | 72c | 254.99$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.56 | 112 | 34.8%39 W · 73 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…1a00backed No | 47c | 250$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.5 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 48c | 249$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.34 | 285 | 54.4%155 W · 130 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 35c | 230.26$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.22 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c56…e06fbacked No | 44c | 229.66$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 28c | 225.17$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.73 | 342 | 38.6%132 W · 210 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 45c | 225$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.25 | 154 | 55.2%85 W · 69 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed Yes | 70c | 221.46$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.44 | 135 | 56.3%76 W · 59 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 28c | 217.38$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.79 | 460 | 47.2%217 W · 243 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed Yes | 70c | 217.1$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.13 | 285 | 47.7%136 W · 149 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…6dfebacked Yes | 50c | 213.73$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.96 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…7b80backed Yes | 45c | 202$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.1 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked No | 37c | 200.7$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.74 | 194 | 45.4%88 W · 106 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f99…6734backed Yes | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd15…4a07backed No | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 76 | 21.1%16 W · 60 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc1…560bbacked Yes | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc52a…41d2backed Yes | 51c | 195.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.21 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1583…bddebacked Yes | 71c | 189.65$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d5…7344backed Yes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1237…06afbacked No | 51c | 188$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.88 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked No | 30c | 183.8$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.11 | 179 | 45.3%81 W · 98 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbafe…33a6backed No | 28c | 178.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 39c | 177.95$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.98 | 208 | 62%129 W · 79 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 35c | 177.43$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.16 | 121 | 50.4%61 W · 60 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 31c | 171.1$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.67 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9248…6955backed No | 28c | 166.34$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.74 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Yes | 53c | 166.04$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.04 | 624 | 52.7%329 W · 295 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 28c | 164.81$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 237 | 50.6%120 W · 117 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 36c | 162.07$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.85 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed Yes | 48c | 160.99$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 34cpaid | +64%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x670d…3f3fbacked Yes | 62c | 160.35$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.35 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 41c | 150$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.9 | 101 | 64.4%65 W · 36 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89df…f8d0backed Yes | 68c | 147.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.83 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Yes | 42c | 146$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.44 | 345 | 54.2%187 W · 158 L | +17.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7971…8dd0backed Yes | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x476c…ce52backed Yes | 46c | 141.96$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.04 | 254 | 43.7%111 W · 143 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6a…c0d7backed Yes | 71c | 141.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.68 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2239…ba8fbacked No | 49c | 140.67$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 31c | 139.38$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.13 | 217 | 49.8%108 W · 109 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3f…2e8fbacked Yes | 72c | 138.36$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.36 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7a7…3145backed Yes | 36c | 137.71$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.74 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4efb…994bbacked Yes | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 29c | 131.26$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.57 | 779 | 9.6%75 W · 704 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…9d56backed No | 47c | 131.02$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.16 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb799…d22fbacked No | 39c | 129.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05f0…2469backed Yes | 56c | 126.73$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.76 | 129 | 45%58 W · 71 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5042…f296backed Yes | 68c | 120.72$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.75 | 153 | 45.8%70 W · 83 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1f…6465backed No | 42c | 120$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 136 | 41.2%56 W · 80 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2277…6604backed Yes | 71c | 120$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 186 | 41.9%78 W · 108 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45f2…722ebacked Yes | 48c | 118.99$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.29 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f6…adc3backed No | 27c | 118.9$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.1 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Japan be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?this page
- Will Japan be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?No won
- Will Japan be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?No won
- Will Japan be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?No won
- Will Japan be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?No won
- Will Japan be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?No won
- Will Japan win the World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.