Tennis · resolved market
Will Aryna Sabalenka advance to the Final in Ladies' Singles at Wimbledon 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdeeb9a9306f29c8f39446df74664ec2a9b9112012a7e657e81b2daae650319fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $915
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $981
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $915 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb410…7736backed No | 57c | 301.2$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.6 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | +7.9wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed No | 34c | 189.99$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.99 | 444 | 23.9%106 W · 338 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33be…adc8backed Yes | 64c | 145$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.45 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a0…c18cbacked No | 79c | 123.73$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 120 | 33.3%40 W · 80 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe74…a70ebacked Yes | 36c | 120$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.7 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d00…0121backed Yes | 43c | 71.69$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.9 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x264c…bacabacked Yes | 36c | 50.84$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 43c | 43.03$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80a4…22ccbacked Yes | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dda…bb91backed Yes | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked No | 70c | 24.92$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.48 | 530 | 43%228 W · 302 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1f…6465backed Yes | 43c | 24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e91…a1b7backed Yes | 43c | 23.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c57…eb35backed Yes | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Aryna Sabalenka advance to the Final in Ladies' Singles at Wimbledon 2026?this page
- Will Coco Gauff advance to the Final in Ladies' Singles at Wimbledon 2026?No won
- Will Elena Rybakina advance to the Final in Ladies' Singles at Wimbledon 2026?No won
- Will Elina Svitolina advance to the Final in Ladies' Singles at Wimbledon 2026?No won
- Will Iva Jovic advance to the Final in Ladies' Singles at Wimbledon 2026?No won
- Will Karolina Muchova advance to the Final in Ladies' Singles at Wimbledon 2026?Yes won
- Will Linda Noskova advance to the Final in Ladies' Singles at Wimbledon 2026?Yes won
- Will Madison Keys advance to the Final in Ladies' Singles at Wimbledon 2026?No won
- Will Marta Kostyuk advance to the Final in Ladies' Singles at Wimbledon 2026?No won
- Will Tatjana Maria advance to the Final in Ladies' Singles at Wimbledon 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.