Macro Indicators · resolved market
Will annual inflation be 3.8% in June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1a64843d427607b164ea18493a30066de60f10abbbdc559066be494528378886
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Macro Indicatorsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $140,026
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $137,659
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $140,026 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 198 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Macro Indicators is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Macro Indicators | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0ffc…8236backed Yes | 39c | 20,641$8,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,020.69 | 224 | 33.9%76 W · 148 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +69%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c69…c149backed Yes | 32c | 12,818$4,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,099.68 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +208.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked No | 49c | 12,654$6,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,456.14 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.28per pick | 36cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe801…6a86backed Yes | 49c | 11,301$5,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,484.58 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7b…8ed8backed Yes | 41c | 9,844$4,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,076.18 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…74f5backed No | 56c | 7,929$4,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,479.64 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +208.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 56c | 6,721$3,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,959.29 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +182.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 61c | 6,024$3,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,325.2 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3e…176dbacked Yes | 39c | 4,975$1,953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,953.25 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…0dfcbacked Yes | 1c | 4,882$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 54c | 4,312$2,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,974.47 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 60c | 2,284$1,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920.24 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 63c | 2,180$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.69 | 45 | 68.9%31 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 53c | 2,129$1,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992.89 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 61c | 2,079$1,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.05 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5509…7212backed Yes | 47c | 2,060$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962.01 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5f…634dbacked Yes | 50c | 1,841$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$923 | 85 | 28.2%24 W · 61 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 44c | 1,749$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.83 | 199 | 31.7%63 W · 136 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0458…92e9backed Yes | 51c | 1,621$821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$821.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 68c | 1,570$1,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.85 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa156…cf02backed Yes | 45c | 1,505$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.95 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed Yes | 42c | 1,180$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.9 | 70 | 30%21 W · 49 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc7…e411backed Yes | 51c | 1,100$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.4 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 55c | 1,086$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.39 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…bb2abacked Yes | 47c | 1,061$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7609…6c4ebacked Yes | 47c | 913.28$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d5…8935backed Yes | 45c | 899.97$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.25 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…f21cbacked Yes | 52c | 882.24$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.18 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 48c | 821.28$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.37 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 49c | 793.67$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.21 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92de…30b4backed No | 51c | 759.55$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 58c | 697.78$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.49 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80a4…22ccbacked No | 49c | 697.44$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.91 | 110 | 39.1%43 W · 67 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +115.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32fd…5c8bbacked No | 49c | 691$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.34 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 56cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 52c | 689$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.81 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +3.8wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 70c | 624.8$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.75 | 71 | 22.5%16 W · 55 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 56c | 600$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.08 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5a…aa7abacked Yes | 50c | 586.54$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Yes | 36c | 569.34$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.93 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 50c | 555.68$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.87 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x506f…e8bbbacked No | 60c | 549.98$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 53c | 539.52$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.96 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d77…cf31backed Yes | 57c | 514.3$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.24 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 72c | 487$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.96 | 38 | 73.7%28 W · 10 L | +4.9wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xef41…2473backed Yes | 48c | 479.99$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.4 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -37%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 52c | 470.36$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.1 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +4.1wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 55c | 465.2$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.15 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78c2…22cfbacked Yes | 43c | 460.96$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.38 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x616b…4070backed No | 55c | 457.85$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.85 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 54c | 452.16$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.4 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x714d…c177backed No | 48c | 436.31$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 31cpaid | +93.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 51c | 435.84$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.54 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 59c | 428.38$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.09 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb87…d3a5backed Yes | 50c | 403.26$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4518…1cacbacked No | 49c | 400$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.4 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacbc…c1c2backed Yes | 51c | 400$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b57…72ecbacked Yes | 50c | 381.89$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +218%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…2f1ebacked No | 49c | 370.67$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.77 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 50c | 363.53$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.23 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked No | 53c | 359.37$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.33 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 58c | 318.53$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.26 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 51c | 310.99$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.19 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9eda…6e19backed No | 58c | 310$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.03 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 54c | 304.03$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.91 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a3…e60abacked No | 74c | 300$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.1 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfab0…bd9cbacked Yes | 66c | 289$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.66 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +16%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed No | 53c | 285$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.99 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda4c…fffdbacked Yes | 55c | 284.26$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.43 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 9c | 276.29$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.46 | 299 | 13.7%41 W · 258 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b86…bd28backed Yes | 49c | 265.31$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…7ce5backed Yes | 42c | 260.56$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.64 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…1a00backed No | 52c | 250$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10b2…4cebbacked Yes | 38c | 246.37$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.39 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39b4…fc14backed No | 52c | 245$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bdb…bb58backed Yes | 44c | 227.65$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 63c | 221.67$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.78 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3089…92f6backed No | 50c | 220$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 28cpaid | +74.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5566…7c29backed No | 48c | 215$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.78 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbd…df1fbacked No | 55c | 206.43$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa667…ceb3backed Yes | 43c | 206.17$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.7 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2106…4deabacked No | 46c | 200$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.9 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa995…1be0backed Yes | 51c | 200$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 57c | 200$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.4 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.24per pick | 65cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked No | 49c | 188.77$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.66 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f99…6734backed No | 50c | 185.58$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.89 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +75.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe41…9f23backed No | 49c | 185$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.98 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26cb…a394backed No | 52c | 185$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ec…e53abacked No | 51c | 183.34$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.4 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked No | 56c | 181.58$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.49 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.6wins | +0.36per pick | 44cpaid | +83.5%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed Yes | 7c | 180.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.33 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 24cpaid | -83.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe48f…4ae5backed Yes | 48c | 179.33$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0130…fb49backed No | 40c | 158.79$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.16 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9800…9a33backed No | 55c | 156.21$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd542…08abbacked Yes | 48c | 155.19$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.02 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -3.7wins | -0.23per pick | 36cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5d01…6ca9backed No | 69c | 148.7$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.51 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…f23dbacked Yes | 16c | 147.59$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8069…e81dbacked Yes | 54c | 141.2$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +554.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x369c…eab1backed No | 56c | 134.95$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked No | 44c | 131.51$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.65 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf9…3ce1backed Yes | 47c | 127.66$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -59%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Macro Indicators and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will annual inflation be 3.8% in June?this page
- Will annual inflation be 3.6% or less in June?Yes won
- Will annual inflation be 3.7% in June?No won
- Will annual inflation be 3.9% in June?No won
- Will annual inflation be 4.0% in June?No won
- Will annual inflation be 4.1% in June?No won
- Will annual inflation be 4.2% in June?No won
- Will annual inflation be 4.3% in June?No won
- Will annual inflation be 4.4% in June?No won
- Will annual inflation be 4.5% in June?No won
- Will annual inflation be 4.6% in June?No won
- Will annual inflation be 4.7% or more in June?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.