Macro Indicators · resolved market
Will annual inflation be 3.7% in June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe739392dfe9dace7aa1f8cdca0164c19bead0d4a67f41fb9389a5a9f97b6ee45
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Macro Indicatorsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $95,028
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $87,195
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $95,028 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 177 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Macro Indicators is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Macro Indicators | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0ffc…8236backed Yes | 25c | 20,703$5,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,186.31 | 224 | 33.9%76 W · 148 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +69%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c69…c149backed Yes | 25c | 9,956$2,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,464.26 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +208.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe801…6a86backed Yes | 30c | 7,600$2,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,306.64 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8a…7699backed No | 75c | 6,925$5,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,744.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3e…176dbacked Yes | 20c | 5,361$1,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060.51 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 72c | 4,884$3,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,388.3 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +182.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 75c | 4,632$3,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,172.75 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7b…8ed8backed Yes | 28c | 3,493$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986.37 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…d3b0backed Yes | 27c | 3,021$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.47 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +159%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…74f5backed No | 69c | 2,322$1,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.96 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +208.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 78c | 2,259$1,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.39 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5f…634dbacked Yes | 30c | 2,242$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.56 | 85 | 28.2%24 W · 61 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 79c | 2,031$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.51 | 45 | 68.9%31 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 72c | 1,948$1,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.06 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 78c | 1,878$1,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.5 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb777…e4e0backed No | 71c | 1,731$1,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked No | 69c | 1,337$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.55 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.28per pick | 36cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed Yes | 27c | 1,248$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.78 | 70 | 30%21 W · 49 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 77c | 1,224$946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.81 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2db…84eabacked Yes | 22c | 1,224$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.98 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -63%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Yes | 25c | 1,030$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.52 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 76c | 1,020$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc97b…47e5backed No | 73c | 983.75$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.04 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 69c | 931.03$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.8 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48f…2132backed No | 69c | 874.64$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80a4…22ccbacked Yes | 24c | 843.11$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.08 | 110 | 39.1%43 W · 67 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +115.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…c40bbacked No | 78c | 836.12$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.95 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d5…8935backed Yes | 24c | 799.96$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.79 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Yes | 25c | 715$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffd2…d7aebacked Yes | 25c | 699.59$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.4 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 14c | 651.86$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.35 | 299 | 13.7%41 W · 258 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa156…cf02backed Yes | 30c | 619.98$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.27 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 69c | 600$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.15 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 69c | 547.94$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.52 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 75c | 543.71$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.88 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 73c | 539.56$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.86 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 78c | 531$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.69 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 76c | 516.34$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.57 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 72c | 480.75$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.39 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +4.1wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 74c | 409.76$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.39 | 38 | 73.7%28 W · 10 L | +4.9wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked No | 68c | 403.87$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.16 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 71c | 388.64$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.09 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…2f1ebacked No | 73c | 370.42$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.82 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked No | 65c | 360.61$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.75 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.6wins | +0.36per pick | 44cpaid | +83.5%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x78c2…22cfbacked Yes | 29c | 357.69$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.06 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb87…d3a5backed Yes | 25c | 312.02$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5a…aa7abacked Yes | 29c | 309.05$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 4c | 308.93$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 70c | 303.25$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.81 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5509…7212backed Yes | 29c | 300$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb59…83f9backed No | 76c | 300$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef41…2473backed Yes | 24c | 298.84$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.92 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -37%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed No | 69c | 298.18$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.15 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…d74fbacked Yes | 29c | 265.63$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.34 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +1,060.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 74c | 262.27$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.36 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d3…5b5ebacked No | 63c | 261$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.62 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Yes | 21c | 243.32$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.93 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11b9…d361backed No | 71c | 217.64$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.67 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8069…e81dbacked Yes | 29c | 212.6$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +554.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32fd…5c8bbacked No | 66c | 209.09$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.64 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 56cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fff…be78backed No | 72c | 204.48$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.46 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa667…ceb3backed Yes | 26c | 200.46$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.77 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ca…2c14backed Yes | 25c | 200.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a3…e60abacked No | 73c | 200$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb477…673ebacked No | 69c | 196.22$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.22 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 70cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f99…6734backed Yes | 27c | 195.89$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.89 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +75.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5566…7c29backed No | 74c | 187.01$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.15 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 12c | 186.89$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.68 | 140 | 24.3%34 W · 106 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 74c | 185.41$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.21 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…f23dbacked Yes | 17c | 180.68$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.91 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8674…0d1ebacked No | 77c | 174$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 31c | 169.82$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.01 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xecec…a183backed Yes | 20c | 169.34$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 11cpaid | +1,305.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked Yes | 32c | 162.55$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.69 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 27c | 154.79$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.13 | 309 | 18.1%56 W · 253 L | -29.6wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…d3fdbacked Yes | 25c | 153.64$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1411…2410backed No | 68c | 150$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18c…18c1backed Yes | 27c | 150$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eda…6e19backed No | 67c | 145$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.71 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98e3…9208backed No | 69c | 144.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b46…625fbacked Yes | 30c | 134$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.72 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed Yes | 30c | 132.31$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.75 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf9…3ce1backed Yes | 33c | 124.66$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -59%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb0…bd65backed No | 77c | 121$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.29 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +74.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd542…08abbacked Yes | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.59 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -3.7wins | -0.23per pick | 36cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x845a…5606backed Yes | 15c | 119.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +286%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Yes | 10c | 113.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d66…7851backed No | 62c | 113.45$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 67c | 113.36$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.87 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked Yes | 27c | 113$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.85 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb504…81f2backed No | 76c | 104.98$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 26c | 103.88$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.51 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc901…0c1dbacked Yes | 31c | 103.46$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34e…bb55backed No | 67c | 101.83$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.3 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 51cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x065b…714fbacked Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x705d…9534backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda4c…fffdbacked Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.6 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Yes | 27c | 97$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 31cpaid | -76.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f0…1f79backed No | 62c | 96$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Macro Indicators and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will annual inflation be 3.7% in June?this page
- Will annual inflation be 3.6% or less in June?Yes won
- Will annual inflation be 3.8% in June?No won
- Will annual inflation be 3.9% in June?No won
- Will annual inflation be 4.0% in June?No won
- Will annual inflation be 4.1% in June?No won
- Will annual inflation be 4.2% in June?No won
- Will annual inflation be 4.3% in June?No won
- Will annual inflation be 4.4% in June?No won
- Will annual inflation be 4.5% in June?No won
- Will annual inflation be 4.6% in June?No won
- Will annual inflation be 4.7% or more in June?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.