Macro Indicators · resolved market
Will annual inflation be 3.9% in June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9eb78aef7b9cf4dc77ff0e129251372e6137c6908b690937f84f2062926036e1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Macro Indicatorsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $117,834
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $91,373
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $117,834 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 199 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Macro Indicators is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Macro Indicators | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0ffc…8236backed Yes | 31c | 12,659$3,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,886.75 | 224 | 33.9%76 W · 148 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +69%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c69…c149backed Yes | 21c | 10,379$2,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,185.27 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +208.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 77c | 6,186$4,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,453.45 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 22c | 4,675$1,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,031.54 | 199 | 31.7%63 W · 136 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd590…5eeebacked Yes | 14c | 4,340$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x063e…48d3backed Yes | 11c | 3,613$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.33 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…0179backed Yes | 19c | 3,204$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe801…6a86backed Yes | 13c | 3,000$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes | 12c | 2,700$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.52 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.28per pick | 36cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…74f5backed No | 63c | 2,576$1,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954.23 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +208.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 77c | 2,180$1,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.23 | 45 | 68.9%31 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 75c | 2,078$1,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.39 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed No | 66c | 2,026$1,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.5 | 233 | 30.5%71 W · 162 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3e…176dbacked Yes | 25c | 1,662$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.47 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5f…634dbacked Yes | 17c | 1,601$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.46 | 85 | 28.2%24 W · 61 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 75c | 1,561$1,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.75 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd46…4c7dbacked Yes | 15c | 1,286$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d77…cf31backed Yes | 24c | 1,281$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.43 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x714d…c177backed Yes | 17c | 1,281$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 31cpaid | +93.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 75c | 1,268$955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.64 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 1,166$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 299 | 13.7%41 W · 258 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 77c | 1,094$839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.99 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed Yes | 32c | 982.43$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.53 | 70 | 30%21 W · 49 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 64c | 967$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.31 | 71 | 22.5%16 W · 55 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab80…af18backed Yes | 18c | 934.98$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.06 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 73c | 876.02$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.05 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +182.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9842…132bbacked Yes | 22c | 874.77$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.42 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32fd…5c8bbacked Yes | 16c | 815.28$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.52 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 56cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…91d5backed Yes | 8c | 765.89$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 27c | 738.86$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.52 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf92c…87f7backed Yes | 33c | 685.49$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed Yes | 12c | 681.04$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.11 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7168…e422backed Yes | 8c | 630$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0e…c02bbacked Yes | 11c | 626.89$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.83 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 20c | 565.18$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.85 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 77c | 504$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.29 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 80c | 500.15$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.59 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +4.1wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5a48…e094backed Yes | 25c | 499.98$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcff7…2fb1backed Yes | 22c | 492.3$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03e1…e180backed Yes | 7c | 484.68$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.22 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eed…cb2abacked Yes | 9c | 459.2$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.33 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +79.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 9c | 456.77$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.68 | 30 | 3.3%1 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46b4…72e9backed Yes | 15c | 444$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -77.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 77c | 402.67$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.21 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea8…9e5fbacked No | 80c | 400$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5bc…2c49backed Yes | 26c | 385.38$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 74c | 378$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.96 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +3.8wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x472a…2dadbacked No | 77c | 375$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Yes | 34c | 366$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.44 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf52a…e276backed Yes | 8c | 350$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b57…72ecbacked Yes | 26c | 327.82$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +218%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed Yes | 9c | 315.62$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.76 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 24cpaid | -83.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31d6…3f8dbacked Yes | 25c | 312.62$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5d…fbb6backed Yes | 18c | 312.25$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 80c | 310.26$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.07 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d5…8935backed Yes | 42c | 300$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb9…4f81backed Yes | 29c | 296.05$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.89 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +2,039.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a8…865abacked Yes | 11c | 284.83$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes | 14c | 283.42$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.34 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1075…19c1backed Yes | 16c | 281.47$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0777…4b7fbacked Yes | 18c | 261.66$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed No | 68c | 258$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.56 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c98…d88cbacked Yes | 11c | 253.64$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaed5…f666backed Yes | 32c | 248.34$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe32b…626ebacked Yes | 17c | 243.88$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.46 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…7ce5backed Yes | 19c | 236$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.78 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbb…ad2ebacked Yes | 21c | 230.33$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.08 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 77c | 221.67$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.32 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63f4…35e1backed Yes | 18c | 221$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78c2…22cfbacked Yes | 34c | 220.93$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.46 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80a4…22ccbacked Yes | 20c | 219.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.12 | 110 | 39.1%43 W · 67 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +115.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x024e…8fa1backed Yes | 17c | 218$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34e…bb55backed Yes | 13c | 214.71$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.61 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 51cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc1…a783backed Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 12cpaid | +585.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcce6…c8c4backed No | 61c | 206.54$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc8…d0dbbacked No | 68c | 205.88$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb5f…c111backed Yes | 11c | 205$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed No | 77c | 204.99$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.39 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9366…a9f6backed No | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x039b…9b6cbacked Yes | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b6…f9d9backed Yes | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -84.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked Yes | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 63c | 199.94$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.98 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.24per pick | 65cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 9c | 193$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec4…ce94backed Yes | 9c | 188.89$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 10c | 176$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.37 | 44 | 13.6%6 W · 38 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 6cpaid | +101.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 36c | 173.57$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.87 | 140 | 24.3%34 W · 106 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b2…4cebbacked Yes | 34c | 170.97$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.82 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x747b…a2d4backed Yes | 14c | 163$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ca…2c14backed Yes | 16c | 156.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc82…6f90backed Yes | 16c | 155.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd11a…5ffdbacked Yes | 16c | 154$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a86…f8e8backed Yes | 10c | 150$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…aba8backed Yes | 40c | 148.71$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf9…3ce1backed Yes | 14c | 142.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -59%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 75c | 141.94$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 34c | 133.08$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.25 | 108 | 36.1%39 W · 69 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed8…93d4backed Yes | 42c | 129$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.18 | 143 | 25.2%36 W · 107 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aec…883fbacked Yes | 19c | 128.63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed Yes | 23c | 125.88$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.14 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Macro Indicators and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will annual inflation be 3.9% in June?this page
- Will annual inflation be 3.6% or less in June?Yes won
- Will annual inflation be 3.7% in June?No won
- Will annual inflation be 3.8% in June?No won
- Will annual inflation be 4.0% in June?No won
- Will annual inflation be 4.1% in June?No won
- Will annual inflation be 4.2% in June?No won
- Will annual inflation be 4.3% in June?No won
- Will annual inflation be 4.4% in June?No won
- Will annual inflation be 4.5% in June?No won
- Will annual inflation be 4.6% in June?No won
- Will annual inflation be 4.7% or more in June?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.