Fifa International · resolved market
Will 4+ matches be suspended by weather protocol during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x25da9e73c2380dcb3494ca8fdee91ed18d827174a9204aa77d06925fe472d2d4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,792
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,696
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,792 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x33b6…1bccbacked Yes | 7c | 895.8$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 77c | 884.41$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.51 | 550 | 44.7%246 W · 304 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa2…c75fbacked Yes | 14c | 755.71$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.8 | 81 | 44.4%36 W · 45 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2546…5155backed Yes | 32c | 658.07$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.86 | 224 | 49.6%111 W · 113 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc13f…c336backed Yes | 3c | 652.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.19 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 5c | 592.52$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.35 | 167 | 4.2%7 W · 160 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Yes | 26c | 501.54$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.89 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 8c | 381.21$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c7…6dc4backed Yes | 8c | 370.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdacf…3c74backed Yes | 10c | 323.98$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.02 | 25 | 88%22 W · 3 L | +6.5wins | +0.26per pick | 62cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0ab8backed Yes | 28c | 250$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 159 | 42.1%67 W · 92 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed0…9c4fbacked No | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 225 | 50.7%114 W · 111 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad70…4ccfbacked Yes | 6c | 171.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed No | 72c | 170$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.6 | 764 | 45.9%351 W · 413 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7b…2a5fbacked Yes | 41c | 156.64$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.59 | 201 | 42.8%86 W · 115 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71a5…b594backed Yes | 40c | 156$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 185 | 38.9%72 W · 113 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91e2…3eccbacked Yes | 22c | 149.42$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a91…0776backed Yes | 28c | 136.67$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.27 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f32…583fbacked No | 77c | 116$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.68 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab56…e635backed Yes | 23c | 108.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 160 | 52.5%84 W · 76 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7db0…8c18backed No | 72c | 106.84$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.15 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3d…8db7backed Yes | 26c | 106.47$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.75 | 66 | 22.7%15 W · 51 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe64e…124ebacked Yes | 48c | 104.9$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.35 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x09b4…e56dbacked Yes | 20c | 104.9$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.98 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda66…9566backed Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 20c | 99.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 412 | 31.6%130 W · 282 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 33c | 98$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.29 | 662 | 39.6%262 W · 400 L | -48.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 15c | 75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 293 | 7.5%22 W · 271 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18dc…5e90backed Yes | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 144 | 36.1%52 W · 92 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eda…6e19backed Yes | 28c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x672f…26aabacked Yes | 78c | 57.29$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.83 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8af7…8dd2backed No | 25c | 56.34$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.35 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +7.2wins | +0.36per pick | 19cpaid | +146%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xac2d…a9c4backed Yes | 25c | 54.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.71 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e91…a1b7backed Yes | 23c | 54.35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x505e…affcbacked No | 73c | 51$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.77 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2a…3706backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 166 | 46.4%77 W · 89 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc4…f3dabacked No | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d1…e8f6backed No | 34c | 48.06$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +195.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb3b…c915backed No | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +37%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa74…78b9backed Yes | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -9.0wins | -0.20per pick | 59cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…1dfdbacked Yes | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed No | 72c | 25.15$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.16 | 180 | 53.3%96 W · 84 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will 4+ matches be suspended by weather protocol during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?this page
- Will 1+ matches be suspended by weather protocol during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will 2+ matches be suspended by weather protocol during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will 3+ matches be suspended by weather protocol during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will 5+ matches be suspended by weather protocol during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will 6+ matches be suspended by weather protocol during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will 7+ matches be suspended by weather protocol during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will 8+ matches be suspended by weather protocol during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.