Fifa International · resolved market
Will 3+ matches be suspended by weather protocol during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8b64d96bb59e3fe01af148aa38ef60ed89892442e99bf8118453033180b3cbb6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,314
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,910
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,314 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x09b4…e56dbacked No | 61c | 325.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.85 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…220ebacked No | 44c | 287$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.88 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +50%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed0…9c4fbacked No | 19c | 249.18$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.17 | 225 | 50.7%114 W · 111 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 64c | 220$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.4 | 550 | 44.7%246 W · 304 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7df9…3a84backed Yes | 70c | 153.33$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.23 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 34cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed No | 46c | 111$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.37 | 764 | 45.9%351 W · 413 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b7d…cb08backed Yes | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 168 | 47%79 W · 89 L | -11.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 59c | 87$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.88 | 662 | 39.6%262 W · 400 L | -48.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b42…dc6dbacked Yes | 35c | 70.79$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.79 | 112 | 33.9%38 W · 74 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Yes | 41c | 70$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.3 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8454…331abacked No | 62c | 61.54$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.15 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e4b…83e2backed Yes | 38c | 61.54$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.15 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +5.3wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…11fdbacked No | 41c | 50.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 84 | 11.9%10 W · 74 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…895ebacked Yes | 39c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa1d…0eacbacked Yes | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf693…ec6dbacked Yes | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x744b…8d31backed No | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…197fbacked Yes | 40c | 44.93$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.93 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f26…93bcbacked Yes | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71a5…b594backed Yes | 65c | 36$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 185 | 38.9%72 W · 113 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb259…9207backed Yes | 66c | 29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 486 | 36.6%178 W · 308 L | -48.4wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed No | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 92 | 37%34 W · 58 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0139…5444backed No | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x089e…3afabacked No | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa74…78b9backed Yes | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -9.0wins | -0.20per pick | 59cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc35f…f0e6backed No | 72c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +74.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb090…7085backed No | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44f8…b383backed No | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.4wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ca…ef3dbacked No | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…362cbacked No | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -28%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e28…2db0backed No | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will 3+ matches be suspended by weather protocol during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?this page
- Will 1+ matches be suspended by weather protocol during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will 2+ matches be suspended by weather protocol during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will 4+ matches be suspended by weather protocol during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will 5+ matches be suspended by weather protocol during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will 6+ matches be suspended by weather protocol during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will 7+ matches be suspended by weather protocol during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will 8+ matches be suspended by weather protocol during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.