Fifa International · resolved market
Will 1+ matches be suspended by weather protocol during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9c211db94cf43387be1dceee9cad835c77aa0f8bb986861899d577d1cfba49d9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,643
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,754
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,643 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5011…220ebacked No | 21c | 973.49$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.65 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +50%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 78c | 635$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.1 | 550 | 44.7%246 W · 304 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2546…5155backed Yes | 77c | 553.47$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.82 | 224 | 49.6%111 W · 113 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0118…f0bfbacked No | 25c | 401$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0ab8backed Yes | 74c | 350$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.5 | 159 | 42.1%67 W · 92 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…ee28backed Yes | 65c | 300.9$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.01 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +9.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…895ebacked Yes | 66c | 294.78$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.3 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3a…d1ccbacked Yes | 62c | 267.94$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.38 | 229 | 33.6%77 W · 152 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb40…3612backed No | 25c | 250$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -6.3wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xca3a…8418backed No | 34c | 239.22$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 76c | 129.47$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 457 | 36.3%166 W · 291 L | -13.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed Yes | 79c | 120$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 222 | 43.7%97 W · 125 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6142…367bbacked No | 31c | 101$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.31 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x62d6…54e8backed No | 42c | 85.4$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 18c | 77.55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 293 | 7.5%22 W · 271 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x594f…7f1abacked Yes | 79c | 64.41$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf1…c4afbacked Yes | 79c | 60.61$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.73 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 64cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 17c | 60$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 148 | 39.2%58 W · 90 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…6b2bbacked Yes | 69c | 56.56$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.78 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e13…e968backed Yes | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 111 | 33.3%37 W · 74 L | -8.8wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a5…5f3cbacked No | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x783e…5a19backed Yes | 63c | 36.4$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0711…f03cbacked Yes | 68c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +4.2wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will 1+ matches be suspended by weather protocol during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?this page
- Will 2+ matches be suspended by weather protocol during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will 3+ matches be suspended by weather protocol during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will 4+ matches be suspended by weather protocol during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will 5+ matches be suspended by weather protocol during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will 6+ matches be suspended by weather protocol during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will 7+ matches be suspended by weather protocol during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will 8+ matches be suspended by weather protocol during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.