Will Kenan Yıldız score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb96df42fea69b4531d2d77e6dcce7c5a85354326e397a480f9401843628e2db

Rebuilt 10 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 26, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $9,238
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $9,717

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,238 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x7cbe…c4b7backed No	47c	2,443$1,142 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,301.14	888	38.2%339 W · 549 L	+37.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…783dbacked Yes	36c	667.96$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240.47	96	43.8%42 W · 54 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0443…2221backed Yes	57c	625$356 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$356.25	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.12per pick	46cpaid	-52.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41f0…3eebbacked No	34c	506.94$173 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$333.94	88	44.3%39 W · 49 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed Yes	60c	421.99$254 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$253.63	481	40.1%193 W · 288 L	-17.3wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6071…e933backed No	38c	388.12$146 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$242.32	30	53.3%16 W · 14 L	+3.8wins	+0.13per pick	41cpaid	+51%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x49c4…bf77backed Yes	65c	289.92$188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$187.55	152	61.2%93 W · 59 L	+7.4wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b25…ff39backed Yes	57c	239.7$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.63	58	37.9%22 W · 36 L	-3.0wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d1f…6465backed Yes	57c	215.73$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.97	136	41.2%56 W · 80 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed No	35c	202.35$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$131.53	318	51.9%165 W · 153 L	+16.3wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes	50c	162.14$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.37	662	39.6%262 W · 400 L	-48.1wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x73ed…310ebacked Yes	65c	154.05$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	24	25%6 W · 18 L	-1.9wins	-0.08per pick	33cpaid	-48.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0cff…be62backed Yes	57c	153.31$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.39	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-3.1wins	-0.21per pick	54cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1959…0b3fbacked Yes	36c	150$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	56	50%28 W · 28 L	+5.5wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	+68.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1e08…e99bbacked Yes	37c	135.14$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	138	55.1%76 W · 62 L	+6.2wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x45e7…d77cbacked No	34c	124.21$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.46	17	58.8%10 W · 7 L	+1.6wins	+0.10per pick	49cpaid	+26.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe393…f016backed No	35c	123.72$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80.42	20	35%7 W · 13 L	-1.5wins	-0.08per pick	43cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x03e1…e180backed Yes	49c	122.8$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.19	69	40.6%28 W · 41 L	+2.0wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe086…0450backed No	63c	115.14$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.6	320	44.1%141 W · 179 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9448…b72ebacked Yes	19c	100$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	85	25.9%22 W · 63 L	-4.9wins	-0.06per pick	32cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc049…d4b9backed Yes	48c	93.58$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	33	51.5%17 W · 16 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2e6e…7f53backed Yes	62c	90$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56	101	31.7%32 W · 69 L	-6.8wins	-0.07per pick	38cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x168f…9e00backed Yes	64c	83$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.29	235	43%101 W · 134 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeeff…f0f7backed Yes	58c	79.3$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.21	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-1.7wins	-0.22per pick	59cpaid	-38.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3578…8c5fbacked Yes	65c	77.4$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	44	38.6%17 W · 27 L	-8.9wins	-0.20per pick	59cpaid	-43.4%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0x97b3…4a85backed Yes	68c	67$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.56	310	46.5%144 W · 166 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a9a…68ddbacked Yes	65c	63.72$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.42	56	39.3%22 W · 34 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed Yes	57c	60$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.2	260	37.3%97 W · 163 L	-6.6wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcac8…cdd2backed Yes	65c	60$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39	67	47.8%32 W · 35 L	+4.0wins	+0.06per pick	42cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x594f…7f1abacked Yes	57c	55.63$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.71	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+0.9wins	+0.18per pick	62cpaid	+35.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb437…cfb3backed Yes	66c	55.52$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.4	124	54%67 W · 57 L	+7.9wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x99c4…0c89backed Yes	47c	53.64$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	117	30.8%36 W · 81 L	+3.1wins	+0.03per pick	28cpaid	+25%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x167a…91d5backed Yes	66c	52.5$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.65	36	55.6%20 W · 16 L	+4.4wins	+0.12per pick	43cpaid	+93.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed No	39c	52$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.56	75	52%39 W · 36 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9495…468fbacked Yes	57c	52$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.64	194	45.4%88 W · 106 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7bf1…c4afbacked Yes	57c	51.17$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.17	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.12per pick	64cpaid	+25.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x569b…c66ebacked Yes	49c	51.02$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	144	22.2%32 W · 112 L	-10.5wins	-0.07per pick	30cpaid	-42.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe8fc…0d3bbacked No	51c	46.59$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.83	96	44.8%43 W · 53 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52eb…67acbacked Yes	67c	46$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.82	163	36.2%59 W · 104 L	-9.2wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x081a…66d0backed Yes	67c	36$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.12	147	39.5%58 W · 89 L	-3.8wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Yes	44c	35$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.4	2,576	46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L	+35.9wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x88ad…9e5fbacked No	32c	35$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.8	110	58.2%64 W · 46 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	59cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4d8e…735bbacked Yes	67c	33$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.11	111	56.8%63 W · 48 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	58cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf52…55d6backed Yes	57c	31.78$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.11	23	34.8%8 W · 15 L	-4.5wins	-0.20per pick	54cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8ef3…ac46backed No	32c	31.25$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.25	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+0.9wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb2db…140abacked No	41c	31$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.38	52	57.7%30 W · 22 L	+8.8wins	+0.17per pick	41cpaid	+44.1%equal weight	63+0.11 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes	35c	30$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.5	2,327	18.1%422 W · 1,905 L	-363.0wins	-0.16per pick	34cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0x0b7a…86cfbacked No	38c	30$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.6	234	29.1%68 W · 166 L	-10.4wins	-0.04per pick	33cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d43…80acbacked Yes	78c	29.3$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.83	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	-3.4wins	-0.18per pick	65cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x73c1…28f3backed Yes	66c	25$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.5	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.5wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+32.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a91…0776backed Yes	54c	24$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.96	65	41.5%27 W · 38 L	-4.8wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-17%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x448b…c94abacked Yes	66c	22.63$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	-0.8wins	-0.07per pick	65cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e91…a1b7backed Yes	58c	21.55$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.5	23	21.7%5 W · 18 L	-3.6wins	-0.16per pick	38cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked No	52c	21.5$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.32	486	36.6%178 W · 308 L	-48.4wins	-0.10per pick	47cpaid	-32.9%equal weight	39-0.09 edge/pick
0x721a…9295backed No	53c	21$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.87	162	46.9%76 W · 86 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	0%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ab9…8ba6backed Yes	56c	20$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.2	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.13per pick	63cpaid	-27.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb58…c62ebacked Yes	57c	20$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.4	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	67cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 146. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Kenan Yıldız score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event