Will Gabriel Martinelli score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x06cbedf36c71ce58bfd7522807a3cc974975855e43e20ee5c82ba0d1e4b254ba

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 29, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $2,518
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $2,229

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,518 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x8454…331abacked Yes	43c	216.4$93 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$123.35	104	41.3%43 W · 61 L	-3.1wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1959…0b3fbacked No	57c	200$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114	56	50%28 W · 28 L	+5.5wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	+68.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf133…928dbacked Yes	42c	117.3$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.03	48	39.6%19 W · 29 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed Yes	43c	83.99$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.27	481	40.1%193 W · 288 L	-17.3wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed Yes	43c	76.83$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.79	113	54%61 W · 52 L	+6.3wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6406…bc04backed Yes	40c	63.65$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.19	109	66.1%72 W · 37 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	64cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc049…d4b9backed No	56c	62.5$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	33	51.5%17 W · 16 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb27f…2c41backed No	58c	58.56$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.78	114	45.6%52 W · 62 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x3de6…e560backed No	60c	56.21$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.48	423	36.9%156 W · 267 L	-5.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03f9…c50bbacked Yes	44c	54.25$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.38	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7c71…9338backed Yes	39c	51$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.11	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes	21c	50.99$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.29	888	38.2%339 W · 549 L	+37.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8647…d870backed No	58c	50$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29	64	43.8%28 W · 36 L	+2.2wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb437…cfb3backed Yes	42c	50$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29	124	54%67 W · 57 L	+7.9wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e08…e99bbacked No	58c	43.05$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	138	55.1%76 W · 62 L	+6.2wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x64be…c653backed Yes	39c	43$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.23	54	44.4%24 W · 30 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6434…b896backed Yes	25c	40$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30	90	46.7%42 W · 48 L	-4.2wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e6e…7f53backed Yes	41c	33.05$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.5	101	31.7%32 W · 69 L	-6.8wins	-0.07per pick	38cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6a67…df6fbacked No	57c	30.39$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.32	169	27.8%47 W · 122 L	-4.6wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-31%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa59e…16c3backed No	57c	30$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.1	21	23.8%5 W · 16 L	-3.9wins	-0.18per pick	42cpaid	-60.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x823e…fc4fbacked No	59c	30$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.7	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-1.9wins	-0.16per pick	32cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc0a4…72adbacked No	79c	29.4$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.23	65	78.5%51 W · 14 L	+8.7wins	+0.13per pick	65cpaid	+21.3%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 146. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Gabriel Martinelli score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event