Will Alexis Mac Allister score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3e883ab0f7861ff95a8352cd03e2d982ebf9e8f2ad030a3a4e981555428c8220

Rebuilt 4 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 11, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $3,759
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $4,168

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,759 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xf79c…cb96backed Yes	22c	312.46$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$243.59	920	38.5%354 W · 566 L	-21.8wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-10%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed No	58c	261.41$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150.64	481	40.1%193 W · 288 L	-17.3wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x32d1…b949backed Yes	29c	224.75$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$159.39	37	16.2%6 W · 31 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	16cpaid	-48.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x551d…9326backed Yes	49c	202.19$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102.19	55	43.6%24 W · 31 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Yes	28c	180.31$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$129.4	412	31.6%130 W · 282 L	-5.8wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes	37c	172$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108.53	512	50.4%258 W · 254 L	+31.5wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd9b9…e354backed No	79c	167.01$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132.16	21	23.8%5 W · 16 L	-2.2wins	-0.10per pick	34cpaid	-55.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xec8c…8961backed No	69c	152$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.88	36	52.8%19 W · 17 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Yes	29c	131.98$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93.41	2,576	46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L	+35.9wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x41f9…84e6backed No	71c	121.79$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.98	30	43.3%13 W · 17 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1d57…bd62backed No	51c	114.76$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.31	16	50%8 W · 8 L	+1.8wins	+0.11per pick	39cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xda20…cb8dbacked No	74c	100$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.2	81	51.9%42 W · 39 L	+2.1wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes	34c	81$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.45	662	39.6%262 W · 400 L	-48.1wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2a72…a2abbacked Yes	22c	78.08$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.59	28	35.7%10 W · 18 L	-2.9wins	-0.10per pick	46cpaid	-26.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked No	67c	73$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.82	1,306	44.7%584 W · 722 L	-9.6wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf45…5903backed Yes	59c	67.68$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.83	73	42.5%31 W · 42 L	+3.2wins	+0.04per pick	38cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x86a0…2f95backed No	62c	62$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.68	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed No	74c	61.4$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.44	457	36.3%166 W · 291 L	-13.5wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e6e…7f53backed Yes	41c	60$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.4	101	31.7%32 W · 69 L	-6.8wins	-0.07per pick	38cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf3e9…0f7cbacked No	42c	58$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.07	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.42per pick	42cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes	27c	55.97$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.89	888	38.2%339 W · 549 L	+37.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c15…45a0backed Yes	26c	52.44$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.82	129	36.4%47 W · 82 L	-5.9wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xae7d…058fbacked No	73c	50$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.65	34	41.2%14 W · 20 L	-1.6wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd1e…4754backed No	68c	49.99$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.99	29	62.1%18 W · 11 L	+4.1wins	+0.14per pick	48cpaid	+46.7%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x2d82…3a1bbacked No	68c	48.04$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.67	52	53.8%28 W · 24 L	-2.5wins	-0.05per pick	59cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes	34c	46$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.15	1,114	49.4%550 W · 564 L	+57.3wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed No	80c	44.88$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.9	341	51%174 W · 167 L	+7.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f7b…2a5fbacked No	63c	42$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.46	201	42.8%86 W · 115 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8454…331abacked Yes	43c	35.09$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	104	41.3%43 W · 61 L	-3.1wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x89df…f8d0backed No	57c	35.09$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	142	45.8%65 W · 77 L	+4.4wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No	71c	32$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.72	2,804	46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L	-27.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb326…d18bbacked Yes	35c	30$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.4	48	41.7%20 W · 28 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d8e…735bbacked No	59c	24.78$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.54	111	56.8%63 W · 48 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	58cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb226…4163backed No	77c	23.66$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.29	73	68.5%50 W · 23 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	66cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac2d…a9c4backed No	53c	20$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.6	20	50%10 W · 10 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-15%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0ac…80c0backed No	79c	20$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.88	53	86.8%46 W · 7 L	+9.6wins	+0.18per pick	69cpaid	+35.9%equal weight	64+0.12 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 146. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Alexis Mac Allister score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event