TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb326…d18b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
108
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: NHL, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 55 out of 100; worst Premier League at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT4841.7%20 W · 28 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 48 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Adidas be the shirt manufacturer of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$49.6
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+521.1%+$83.9
Will Lamine Yamal win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$20
Will Marc Cucurella score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Will Pedri score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.89
Will Aurélien Tchouaméni score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Bukayo Saka score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$4.8
Will Declan Rice score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+195.3%+$19.84
Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$25.5
Will Alexis Mac Allister score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+183%+$19.4
Will Brahim Díaz score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.55
Will James Rodríguez score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.2
Will Luis Javier Suárez score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.35
Will Bernardo Silva score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.75
Will João Cancelo score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will Vitinha score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.03
World Cup: Total Tournament Goals O/U 264.5 backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will Gabriel Magalhães score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.02
Will Ivan Perišić score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$14.75
Will Pervis Estupiñán score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Will Denzel Dumfries score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will Florian Wirtz score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.63
Will Joshua Kimmich score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
Will Son Heung-min score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.35
Will England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6
Showing 25 of 48 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT1369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+31.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$70
Will Canada win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+100%+$30
NHL Playoffs: Canadiens vs. Hurricanes Total Games O/U 5.5backed Under 5.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$49.6
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+55.5%+$17.85
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Sabres vs. Canadiens backed Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.15
NHL Playoffs: Sabres vs. Canadiens Total Games O/U 5.5backed Under 5.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.59
NHL Playoffs: Hurricanes vs. Flyers Total Games O/U 5.5backed Under 5.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+25%+$4.6
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Canadiens vs. Lightning backed Habs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+100%+$29.1
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Sabres vs. Bruins backed Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$10.24
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Wild vs. Stars backed Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.88
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Penguins vs. Flyers backed Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+64.9%+$19.22
NHL Playoffs: Penguins vs. Flyers Total Games O/U 5.5backed Under 5.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.27
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Hurricanes vs. Senators backed Canes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+37%+$10.63
All 13 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick40cpaid+40.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.9
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.05
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.35
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$39.9
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.01
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$49.6
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$88
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.55
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+114.2%+$34.65
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$30.1
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$102
All 11 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+21.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+223.1%+$69.05
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.6
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$39.2
NBA Playoffs: Thunder vs. Spurs Total Games O/U 5.5backed Under 5.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.6
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Cavaliers vs. Pistons backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.66
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Timberwolves backed Wolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.7
NBA Playoffs: Knicks vs. 76ers Total Games O/U 5.5backed Under 5.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$28.2
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Pistons vs. Magic backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.39
NBA Playoffs: Rockets vs. Lakers Total Games O/U 5.5backed Over 5.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+100%+$30
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+179.1%+$112.29
All 10 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-41.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-49.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+85.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Sociedad win Copa Del Rey?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$70
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump say "Transgender" this week? (January 18)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+66.7%+$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Moana" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 44m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.