NHL · resolved market
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Sabres vs. Bruins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb184753e4d72152316f64038e50f0d0580cc546a7c2497e517c1e190e5b326bc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sabresof Sabres, Bruins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $86,053
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $85,795
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,053 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb9c7…aadebacked Bruins | 38c | 37,111$14,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,102.18 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bec…b215backed Sabres | 62c | 30,596$19,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,558.99 | 164 | 42.7%70 W · 94 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Bruins | 10c | 9,999$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.91 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Bruins | 38c | 8,089$3,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,056.47 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Sabres | 56c | 5,405$3,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,390.92 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…d142backed Sabres | 62c | 4,886$3,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,856.68 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed Bruins | 21c | 4,325$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902.92 | 198 | 36.9%73 W · 125 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Sabres | 61c | 4,063$2,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,582.49 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Sabres | 64c | 4,022$2,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,445 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Bruins | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.99 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4805…6c7bbacked Bruins | 8c | 1,196$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.42 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Sabres | 62c | 1,001$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.4 | 363 | 49%178 W · 185 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9807…157bbacked Bruins | 45c | 884.04$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.64 | 201 | 44.8%90 W · 111 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Bruins | 7c | 842.63$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.33 | 37 | 2.7%1 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 8cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Bruins | 22c | 599.98$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Sabres | 60c | 451.87$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.71 | 764 | 50.4%385 W · 379 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Sabres | 74c | 442.98$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.17 | 384 | 45.8%176 W · 208 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Bruins | 11c | 409.96$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.1 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce71…54c9backed Bruins | 26c | 400$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Bruins | 12c | 333.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 294 | 48.6%143 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Bruins | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 114 | 35.1%40 W · 74 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d54…6022backed Sabres | 78c | 300$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Sabres | 60c | 252.5$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…84ecbacked Bruins | 21c | 242.12$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.69 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | -6.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7980…feadbacked Bruins | 40c | 241$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.4 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc5…f2d3backed Bruins | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4341…6451backed Bruins | 20c | 220.97$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Sabres | 64c | 199.99$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x927f…e7e7backed Bruins | 45c | 193.4$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.03 | 101 | 24.8%25 W · 76 L | -11.2wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x63dc…9644backed Bruins | 27c | 177.07$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17dc…aff8backed Bruins | 39c | 172.92$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.44 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb34…6359backed Sabres | 62c | 157.61$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.89 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Sabres | 59c | 139.97$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.97 | 309 | 44.7%138 W · 171 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a5…4531backed Bruins | 22c | 111.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.57 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Sabres | 76c | 108.01$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.63 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d53…e7aabacked Sabres | 78c | 101.64$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.1 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 59cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0b…4857backed Sabres | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 218 | 46.8%102 W · 116 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52bd…1a8abacked Sabres | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7941…c675backed Sabres | 62c | 97.72$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.13 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69a2…65dabacked Sabres | 56c | 97.36$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.84 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8208…7094backed Sabres | 62c | 78.81$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.95 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79f2…c423backed Bruins | 39c | 74.11$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.9 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f5…426ebacked Bruins | 45c | 62.86$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.28 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc3…222fbacked Bruins | 36c | 54.68$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ddb…44c4backed Sabres | 62c | 48.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.57 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf986…6833backed Bruins | 30c | 46.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb326…d18bbacked Sabres | 74c | 39.38$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.24 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd88f…8d2cbacked Sabres | 62c | 31.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.98 | 138 | 37.7%52 W · 86 L | -11.9wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8218…155bbacked Sabres | 62c | 31.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.98 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Bruins | 36c | 29.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc44d…935cbacked Sabres | 72c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9c4…b937backed Sabres | 74c | 19.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.19 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked Sabres | 70c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.73 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 73cpaid | +26%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Sabres | 73c | 17.03$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 235 | 59.1%139 W · 96 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.