TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Manchester United finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$586,363
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$575,700

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $586,363 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 247 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x53ec…df91backed Yes8c40,102$3,284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,817.373844.7%17 W · 21 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33e1…b30fbacked Yes17c29,544$4,965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,579.561770.6%12 W · 5 L+4.6wins+0.27per pick43cpaid+78.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed Yes9c25,021$2,256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,764.6525329.2%74 W · 179 L+11.3wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+7.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes9c22,744$2,087 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,656.9513832.6%45 W · 93 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc2e…2358backed Yes16c19,627$3,144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,483.257447.3%35 W · 39 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5207…686bbacked Yes13c14,506$1,839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,666.851546.7%7 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+14.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfda…bedebacked Yes18c13,768$2,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,348.025349.1%26 W · 27 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8c2…3048backed Yes22c13,768$3,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,739.022657.7%15 W · 11 L+3.1wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+31.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x85b9…906dbacked Yes13c11,157$1,501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,655.646939.1%27 W · 42 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick32cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2fd2…1e85backed Yes44c10,261$4,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,760.732623.1%6 W · 20 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick34cpaid-45.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No16c8,176$1,325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,324.5667042.2%283 W · 387 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed No22c5,312$1,162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,161.6515233.6%51 W · 101 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Yes14c4,793$657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,136.7124044.2%106 W · 134 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked No28c4,171$1,177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,177.416232.1%52 W · 110 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+19.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x089e…6e0ebacked Yes68c4,070$2,755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,314.845642.9%24 W · 32 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x832b…5c91backed No74c3,997$2,971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,970.712520%5 W · 20 L-4.8wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-50.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x413a…0008backed No19c3,686$706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705.8160%0 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8cfc…7f80backed Yes10c3,473$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,129.432138.1%8 W · 13 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick28cpaid+24.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3265…34c3backed No22c3,333$733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$733.2630%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x76dc…17b4backed Yes12c3,000$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,6401145.5%5 W · 6 L+3.1wins+0.28per pick17cpaid+120.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7d58…cfccbacked No10c2,980$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2971540%6 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Yes15c2,874$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,430.437139.4%28 W · 43 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid+14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c09…c9b4backed Yes11c2,822$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,522.07825%2 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick15cpaid+57%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x03f9…833abacked Yes27c2,524$679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,845.381030%3 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5516…cbf4backed Yes27c2,500$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,825.27366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick24cpaid+146.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x852f…3aaebacked No32c2,450$793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$793.4720%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f91…9388backed Yes51c2,201$1,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,075.875750.9%29 W · 28 L+5.2wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+12.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x576c…b532backed Yes22c2,200$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7232100%2 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+303%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0521…cc4abacked Yes14c2,143$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,842.866150.8%31 W · 30 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe394…289cbacked No65c2,051$1,325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,324.55944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc342…4c32backed Yes50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,000540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-18.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1aee…c139backed Yes47c1,825$851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$974.022941.4%12 W · 17 L+5.3wins+0.18per pick23cpaid+9.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc165…d349backed Yes25c1,744$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,307.93250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+100%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed No42c1,544$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648.036540%26 W · 39 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes49c1,500$728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$772.53444.1%15 W · 19 L+5.5wins+0.16per pick28cpaid+77.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x72f7…92f7backed Yes28c1,331$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$954.77666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+30.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed No8c1,319$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.75856.9%33 W · 25 L+5.6wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+21.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7abe…b47ebacked Yes15c1,258$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,071.842142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4919…067ebacked No79c1,255$986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$985.9728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.25per pick53cpaid-57%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe081…1df8backed No2c1,200$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-33.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64b2…a51abacked Yes20c1,162$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$929.33812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick17cpaid-37.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf636…b088backed Yes27c1,109$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$809.042100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+163%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x43a1…2425backed Yes45c1,042$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575.3512324.4%30 W · 93 L-9.6wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-28.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed Yes42c1,010$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$588.9442862.4%267 W · 161 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe9aa…a9f8backed No1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6138…97a0backed No60c1,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6005339.6%21 W · 32 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-20.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x388a…e87cbacked No57c999.96$574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573.981127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.21per pick48cpaid-48.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes22c974.52$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$763.461414.3%2 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick19cpaid-57.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d77…fdbebacked Yes9c969.69$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$879.641540%6 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid+34.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4efb…f5fbbacked Yes24c935.99$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$709.07425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid+3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d54…d454backed Yes14c880.21$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$756.98333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+138.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed Yes13c850.01$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.590751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No17c806.03$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.3710850%54 W · 54 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked No5c801.08$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.08348.8%3 W · 31 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick8cpaid-14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07e7…a343backed Yes13c785$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$679.952040%8 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc363…9fd8backed Yes17c777$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$644.911947.4%9 W · 10 L+2.4wins+0.12per pick35cpaid+56.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7577…8fb9backed No25c770.99$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.75633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed No22c749.96$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.4920819.2%40 W · 168 L-7.7wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-29.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc03…1548backed Yes14c722.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622.36825%2 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick17cpaid+28.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5407…a3dabacked No14c714.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001421.4%3 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-63.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa4dd…3c12backed Yes14c714.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$614.292128.6%6 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick32cpaid+4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes15c700$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59420040.5%81 W · 119 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x977b…10d9backed Yes32c697.03$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb766…1d83backed No27c689.61$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.81216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.23per pick40cpaid-58.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x9c7f…5060backed No2c666.66$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.33250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick15cpaid+78.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa82c…dd71backed Yes69c644.32$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.32850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-22.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4d3…c5afbacked Yes57c620$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.64235.7%15 W · 27 L-8.3wins-0.20per pick55cpaid-33.4%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed No26c564.46$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.8622834.2%78 W · 150 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8048…f48dbacked Yes25c545$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.2333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid+31.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes76c505$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.051233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-51.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c84…2c7ebacked Yes61c500$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1952853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+17.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2a4…2f08backed Yes9c499.99$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.9932222.4%72 W · 250 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick21cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6149…8a58backed Yes28c487.84$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.162147.6%10 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick39cpaid-1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f8f…40cfbacked No26c473.21$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.03333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick19cpaid+36.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507c…4166backed No20c470.63$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.99728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-52.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes43c445$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.712941.4%12 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-25.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes72c442.91$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.4757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.22per pick35cpaid+59.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7fa9…5c8ebacked No13c441.13$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.451827.8%5 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-18.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18b3…1209backed No15c434.77$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74e0…e01cbacked No40c421.87$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.4710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a17…edb1backed Yes27c420.86$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.83250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+84.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb178…1fa0backed Yes60c414.64$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.643756.8%21 W · 16 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82e3…2151backed Yes24c409.03$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.032556%14 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick60cpaid+3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa26e…d280backed Yes27c397.35$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.3510031%31 W · 69 L-8.4wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-12%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe5a8…65cdbacked Yes20c377.51$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.71366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.46per pick21cpaid+287.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a99…c413backed Yes57c371.2$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.962147.6%10 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+31.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x38e5…95e7backed Yes79c330$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.31233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-39.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a8a…0acdbacked Yes31c327.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.254926.5%13 W · 36 L-7.8wins-0.16per pick42cpaid-44.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x24b6…b3cabacked Yes37c320.96$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+172%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No27c319.27$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.9766031.2%206 W · 454 L-13.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf779…d36fbacked Yes19c306.23$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.371910.5%2 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-52.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dec…a572backed No22c300$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf65d…90f4backed Yes68c295.05$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09b6…d33ebacked Yes54c290.19$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.192846.4%13 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+5.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf3ff…ef89backed Yes51c290$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.2333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-34.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd681…4c5abacked No21c289$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.25633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46ce…c842backed Yes47c259.59$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.78922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick15cpaid-57.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31fa…20c5backed Yes53c258.14$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.81855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+24.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x64e4…2089backed Yes27c243.89$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.892339.1%9 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcf2…7279backed Yes41c242.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.1333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.