Premier League · resolved market
Will Newcastle finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x91c7067a6c695cdefcba2f69182ac4a9ca23d09c207fab0ad5102ea1299d013e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $257,378
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $257,378 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xae01…3b91backed Yes | 1c | 1,638$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Yes | 18c | 1,050$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.5 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb651…2089backed Yes | 2c | 769$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f15…52f1backed Yes | 21c | 554$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.56 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85b9…906dbacked Yes | 10c | 512.86$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.29 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed No | 78c | 500$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…6077backed Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 173 | 37.6%65 W · 108 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…c9b4backed Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | +57%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked No | 80c | 492$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.92 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x832b…5c91backed No | 80c | 480.07$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.2 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -4.8wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc84f…d798backed Yes | 20c | 351.5$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81fa…c4d6backed Yes | 6c | 312.02$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 85 | 42.4%36 W · 49 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…f04ebacked Yes | 5c | 301.55$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.89 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 11c | 271.84$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.59 | 203 | 7.4%15 W · 188 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf779…d36fbacked Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 78c | 195$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.25 | 200 | 40.5%81 W · 119 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61cd…541ebacked No | 80c | 143.08$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.62 | 17 | 88.2%15 W · 2 L | +3.5wins | +0.20per pick | 68cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfc03…1548backed Yes | 19c | 131$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.89 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0b…3f0bbacked Yes | 22c | 111$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.42 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.17per pick | 43cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ede…c417backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf270…6015backed Yes | 20c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Newcastle finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?this page
- Will Arsenal finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?Yes won
- Will Aston Villa finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?Yes won
- Will Bournemouth finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?No won
- Will Brentford finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?No won
- Will Brighton finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?No won
- Will Burnley finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?No won
- Will Chelsea finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?No won
- Will Everton finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?No won
- Will Liverpool finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?No won
- Will Manchester City finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?Yes won
- Will Manchester United finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?Yes won
- Will Nottingham Forest finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?No won
- Will Sunderland finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?No won
- Will Tottenham finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?No won
- Will West Ham finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.