TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Chelsea finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$67,217
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$113,596

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,217 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x53ec…df91backed Yes8c11,755$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$899.723844.7%17 W · 21 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc342…4c32backed Yes46c10,307$4,726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,726.19540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-18.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc2e…2358backed No57c6,863$3,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,983.057447.3%35 W · 39 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fd2…1e85backed Yes41c6,217$2,524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,523.942623.1%6 W · 20 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick34cpaid-45.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xffd2…d7aebacked Yes48c2,799$1,339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,339.244330.2%13 W · 30 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-6.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1aee…c139backed No60c2,783$1,676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,106.782941.4%12 W · 17 L+5.3wins+0.18per pick23cpaid+9.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed No57c1,993$1,142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$850.8325329.2%74 W · 179 L+11.3wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+7.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed No57c1,974$1,115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$858.565160.8%31 W · 20 L+0.1wins0.00per pick61cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3df1…72e7backed No57c1,598$911 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$687.25850%4 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+127.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed No40c1,252$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7516540%26 W · 39 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c43…b289backed Yes1c1,111$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1112149.6%60 W · 61 L+8.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+95.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Yes53c1,023$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540.247335.6%26 W · 47 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x832b…5c91backed Yes44c900$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3942520%5 W · 20 L-4.8wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-50.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x75d1…7a5fbacked No50c800.51$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.283066.7%20 W · 10 L+4.0wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x844a…f6d7backed No64c780.87$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.11850%4 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-9.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x46b4…72e9backed Yes20c757$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.4140%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6179…6f80backed Yes50c689.45$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3487958.2%46 W · 33 L+6.3wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+24.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe860…cdaabacked No39c654.21$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.346147.5%29 W · 32 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+18.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8cfc…7f80backed No58c646.81$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.342138.1%8 W · 13 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick28cpaid+24.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes47c624$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.232941.4%12 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-25.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes35c619$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.5167042.2%283 W · 387 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2c84…2c7ebacked No79c600$471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1292853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+17.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6149…8a58backed No62c548.5$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.22147.6%10 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick39cpaid-1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Yes17c505$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.2512251.6%63 W · 59 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c08…5c69backed Yes41c500.02$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.4711449.1%56 W · 58 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x49c4…bf77backed Yes61c489.5$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.447847.4%37 W · 41 L-6.7wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-18.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No47c450$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.590751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b74…7289backed No64c396.37$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.98475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2a4…2f08backed Yes53c350$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.332222.4%72 W · 250 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick21cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x345d…4e41backed No58c310.99$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.461353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2f1…2d22backed Yes65c305.2$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.382142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-29%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7d2…11d8backed Yes12c300$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4205…128ebacked Yes49c250$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.5540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes28c232.81$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.932037.4%15 W · 188 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-57.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea52…ea25backed Yes35c231.67$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.334047.5%19 W · 21 L-5.2wins-0.13per pick60cpaid-21.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes42c228.37$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.0416232.1%52 W · 110 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+19.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5207…686bbacked No65c225$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$781546.7%7 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+14.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b0b…3f0bbacked Yes66c222$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.521926.3%5 W · 14 L-3.3wins-0.17per pick43cpaid-32.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x24dd…12afbacked Yes48c211$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.28728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-28%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d09…b88abacked Yes11c205.87$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb178…1fa0backed Yes49c202.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003756.8%21 W · 16 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No29c202.22$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.9920040.5%81 W · 119 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x684d…e35bbacked Yes5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1030%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x42a4…554abacked Yes51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1022941.4%12 W · 17 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-18%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed No32c192.41$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.9224044.2%106 W · 134 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes21c181.17$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.764712.8%6 W · 41 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick14cpaid-46.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64be…c653backed Yes20c178.76$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.2630%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x02b4…5efabacked Yes17c175.59$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.530%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes13c172.78$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.991926.3%5 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick17cpaid-17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c75…c6c7backed No59c169.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc21e…0215backed No44c164$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.231060%6 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb5bf…8e49backed Yes33c151.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-32.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bac…5e79backed Yes20c136.06$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.851346.2%6 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed No47c135$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.557139.4%28 W · 43 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid+14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x480e…a98bbacked Yes38c126.53$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.083256.3%18 W · 14 L+3.9wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+41.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc450…f2f7backed Yes56c125$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705461.1%33 W · 21 L-6.9wins-0.13per pick74cpaid-16.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5b35…12b3backed Yes41c104.98$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.558055%44 W · 36 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+20.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa82c…dd71backed Yes30c100.03$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-22.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked No54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4627846.4%129 W · 149 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f15…52f1backed Yes30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-26%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf23a…df6fbacked Yes60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.520%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x405b…755cbacked Yes43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43825%2 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.33per pick58cpaid-52.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed No56c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.512050%60 W · 60 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7577…8fb9backed Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4106…f10dbacked Yes53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-56.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc02…f89cbacked No58c99.99$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-35.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x283f…c994backed Yes55c98.57$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.4920%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0c8…e944backed No66c95.25$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.58875%6 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+28.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb046…857cbacked No67c90.46$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.947343.8%32 W · 41 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick38cpaid-0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x38e5…95e7backed Yes18c86$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.481233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-39.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x85b9…906dbacked Yes23c85.68$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.516939.1%27 W · 42 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick32cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x06d5…0417backed Yes48c83.75$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4016142.9%69 W · 92 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-1.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf779…d36fbacked Yes32c80$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.61910.5%2 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-52.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1408…b4f8backed Yes28c76$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.651936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-40.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8b9…5447backed Yes22c75.27$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.56520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-69.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c15…9667backed Yes16c75$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3712744.1%56 W · 71 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe4d2…0037backed No69c72.53$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d77…fdbebacked No55c71$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.951540%6 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid+34.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5903…f218backed Yes44c70.98$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.23425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-62.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a1f…1a9fbacked No54c70.5$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.572227.3%6 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5407…a3dabacked Yes21c70.14$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.731421.4%3 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-63.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes42c67.74$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7522834.2%78 W · 150 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb651…2089backed Yes42c67.65$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.611136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick28cpaid-16.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ec…d09cbacked Yes22c63.64$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-34.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb50…7bfcbacked No52c63$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.241070%7 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+26.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x342b…d208backed Yes41c60.98$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2530%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1985…8cbdbacked Yes40c60.36$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd681…4c5abacked Yes20c60.33$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.07633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17a3…8cb3backed Yes17c60$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0840%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f50…1fb6backed No28c60$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+145.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed No67c58.3$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.2415233.6%51 W · 101 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf21…be19backed No58c57$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.845349.1%26 W · 27 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc78b…9f59backed Yes37c53.47$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201060%6 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-15.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes26c53.06$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5466031.2%206 W · 454 L-13.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x55cd…5cccbacked Yes38c52.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x933c…a8c6backed No58c52$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.962138.1%8 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick34cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b34…ffc3backed Yes24c51.24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.415733.3%19 W · 38 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d0c…e082backed Yes47c51.12$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c48…6b72backed Yes21c50.16$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16b3…403bbacked No31c50$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.52240.9%9 W · 13 L-3.4wins-0.15per pick56cpaid-26.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.