TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xea52…ea25

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
82
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Middle East, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 55 out of 100; worst Premier League at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT4047.5%19 W · 21 L-5.2wins-0.13per pick60cpaid-21.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Premier League — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
Will Manchester United finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Chelsea finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.33
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.49
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.64
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.49
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$10.59
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.64
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$11.6
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+61.3%+$12.26
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+69.3%+$13.85
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+69.5%+$13.53
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+53.8%+$10.5
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+58.7%+$11.47
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+108.3%+$21.32
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$30.88
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+81.8%+$16.65
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$19.2
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$20.4
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$19.74
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick63cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$6.67
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$20.25
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+38.9%+$8.4
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+25%+$5
Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+53.8%+$10.85
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+61.3%+$17.1
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$20.44
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+28.2%+$5.72
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+27.7%+$8.24
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+37%+$7.4
All 12 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick42cpaid+25.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick24cpaid+18.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-62.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+51.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+32.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-23%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$139.22
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$69
All 2 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+58.7%+$35.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Sep 6, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2025 US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$9.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$85.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.