TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-31?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$6,112,738
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,476,436

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,112,738 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,178 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd820…19f6backed No40c4,244,761$1,706,655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,706,654.610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb904…c255backed Yes61c860,000$520,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339,599.933946.2%18 W · 21 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Yes59c767,886$456,777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311,109.0427750.9%141 W · 136 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Yes60c619,486$369,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250,106.1819253.1%102 W · 90 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Yes60c598,286$360,399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237,887.0415344.4%68 W · 85 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked Yes59c450,000$265,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184,5005651.8%29 W · 27 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc31d…4ebebacked Yes60c326,397$195,630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130,766.791330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.7wins-0.21per pick51cpaid-44.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x07b8…8e25backed Yes61c319,884$194,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125,264.152166.7%14 W · 7 L+3.1wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+45%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Yes60c110,000$65,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44,5003548.6%17 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5da4…e203backed No75c99,989$74,493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74,493.251457.1%8 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Yes60c90,000$53,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,2002951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Yes62c88,762$55,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,729.5614544.8%65 W · 80 L-11.4wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-20.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes50c59,128$29,344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,783.12,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf195…8057backed No39c57,794$22,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,539.75250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+92.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No54c57,297$30,824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,823.726,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked No37c50,703$18,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,760.255658.9%33 W · 23 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked No38c50,000$19,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,999.9718950.3%95 W · 94 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No39c41,401$16,146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,146.2815949.1%78 W · 81 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Yes61c38,978$23,596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,381.716848.8%82 W · 86 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes59c34,404$20,299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,105.482,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes59c31,833$18,766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,067.411,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xba81…dc35backed Yes51c31,145$15,814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,330.24450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+28%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No38c25,000$9,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,50035652.8%188 W · 168 L+15.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed Yes38c25,000$9,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,399.9718948.7%92 W · 97 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes60c24,184$14,495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,689.212,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No38c24,072$9,078 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,078.091,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes63c22,832$14,423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,408.961,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed No37c21,760$8,051 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,051.0310057%57 W · 43 L+8.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x36e7…5b61backed Yes65c21,494$13,971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,522.73988.9%8 W · 1 L+3.0wins+0.33per pick56cpaid+63.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes52c19,736$10,193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,542.9411549.6%57 W · 58 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes31c18,434$5,731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,703.634,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed No38c17,316$6,653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,653.266240.3%25 W · 37 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No39c16,990$6,656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,65612847.7%61 W · 67 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4eae…5095backed Yes65c15,365$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,364.561752.9%9 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb66…2f53backed No40c15,000$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,0002268.2%15 W · 7 L+3.1wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+22.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4b9f…e125backed Yes59c15,000$8,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,150366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes65c14,395$9,356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,038.611,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1063…18e1backed No0c13,953$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No62c13,450$8,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,330.141,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed No39c13,349$5,206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,206.118146.9%38 W · 43 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No39c12,904$5,017 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,017.2521253.8%114 W · 98 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd544…4d5ebacked Yes20c12,716$2,537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,178.832920.7%6 W · 23 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick27cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Yes19c12,499$2,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,124.198153.1%43 W · 38 L+7.8wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+20.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2727…eef4backed Yes34c11,370$3,838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,531.383933.3%13 W · 26 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+19.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d75…c09fbacked No37c11,178$4,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,136540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Yes60c11,000$6,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,44014258.5%83 W · 59 L+11.0wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x498c…42bfbacked Yes59c10,000$5,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,100250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70c5…457fbacked Yes62c10,000$6,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,8004100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+49.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked No38c10,000$3,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,799.8625752.1%134 W · 123 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed No38c9,677$3,693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,693.2910335%36 W · 67 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes34c9,344$3,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,177.9725225%63 W · 189 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed Yes60c9,301$5,581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,720.495752.6%30 W · 27 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed Yes60c9,212$5,563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,649.164755.3%26 W · 21 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+18.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x64e4…e4e3backed Yes44c9,106$3,962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,144.531241.7%5 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.15per pick26cpaid+33.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Yes59c9,000$5,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,69013852.2%72 W · 66 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x447e…9710backed Yes60c8,000$4,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,20011346%52 W · 61 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No35c7,383$2,584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,583.9785048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x127f…8a29backed No39c7,000$2,730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,73010924.8%27 W · 82 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9ea…380dbacked No39c6,977$2,721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,7212548%12 W · 13 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick36cpaid+23.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8738…222bbacked Yes61c6,557$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,557.382560%15 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+16.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Yes20c6,500$1,316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,18423926.4%63 W · 176 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c34…1d5bbacked Yes18c6,300$1,103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,1974318.6%8 W · 35 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-12.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes66c6,009$3,984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,024.1877336.4%281 W · 492 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes64c5,843$3,719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,123.771,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8813…47e6backed No37c5,338$1,975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,975.112040%8 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed No40c5,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00013444.8%60 W · 74 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Yes60c5,000$2,990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,010450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-25.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No38c5,000$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,90037054.9%203 W · 167 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8627…5382backed Yes61c5,000$3,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9504148.8%20 W · 21 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb44e…c2c6backed Yes63c5,000$3,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,824.994250%21 W · 21 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3212…634ebacked Yes59c5,000$2,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,049.997252.8%38 W · 34 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+29.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa42e…9a1cbacked No38c4,890$1,858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,858.181428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6238…0523backed No40c4,699$1,888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,887.724045%18 W · 22 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Yes62c4,530$2,791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,739.0426344.9%118 W · 145 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes62c4,527$2,825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,70230143.9%132 W · 169 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No35c4,357$1,525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,524.941,16357.4%667 W · 496 L+40.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc311…44fcbacked Yes62c4,355$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,654.842429.2%7 W · 17 L-3.4wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-37.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Yes56c4,320$2,405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,914.8235428.5%101 W · 253 L-20.1wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xff81…44c9backed Yes63c4,024$2,516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,508.1711443.9%50 W · 64 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x699f…d5c6backed Yes63c4,022$2,517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,505.4920246.5%94 W · 108 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x77fb…3e17backed Yes62c4,022$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,521.922544%11 W · 14 L-4.4wins-0.18per pick62cpaid-30.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Yes62c4,020$2,492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,527.616753.3%89 W · 78 L-13.3wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-14.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Yes61c4,000$2,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,560.014050%20 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e2d…a8c4backed Yes62c3,871$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,470.97250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes67c3,813$2,565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,247.7434628.6%99 W · 247 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0bc…b904backed Yes42c3,787$1,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,197.42429.2%7 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-23.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x765f…1508backed Yes28c3,573$997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,576.113321.2%7 W · 26 L-4.3wins-0.13per pick34cpaid-48.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes21c3,551$745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,805.9367042.2%283 W · 387 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked No39c3,259$1,271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2717653.9%41 W · 35 L+9.0wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+26%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Yes41c3,233$1,313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,920.044560%27 W · 18 L+5.5wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+26%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4fba…1404backed Yes62c3,226$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,225.812653.8%14 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick65cpaid-17.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa47f…dfb1backed Yes19c3,216$626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,589.715335.8%19 W · 34 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+59.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Yes60c3,182$1,901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,281.211,00646.6%469 W · 537 L-20.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x585c…f0a7backed No35c3,179$1,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,111.4915944.7%71 W · 88 L+9.7wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1402…4853backed Yes58c3,101$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,301.17616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick38cpaid-71.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked No47c3,100$1,457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,456.9322458.9%132 W · 92 L+12.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No35c3,094$1,083 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,082.9846651.9%242 W · 224 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x499f…ccafbacked Yes63c3,060$1,928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,132.322245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes38c3,000$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,86020646.1%95 W · 111 L-12.6wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked No38c3,000$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,14013662.5%85 W · 51 L+14.3wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+24.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.