TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Chelsea FC vs. West Ham United FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$162,169
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$143,834

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $162,169 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 212 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No51c17,207$8,713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,493.946,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5c8e…c91bbacked Yes52c17,000$8,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,839.92333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick64cpaid-53.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes16c14,150$2,206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2064,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae0f…f647backed Yes60c8,299$4,979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,978.991020%2 W · 8 L-2.9wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-51.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No70c7,371$5,129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,241.842,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Yes76c5,994$4,542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,541.6738649%189 W · 197 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes16c5,306$863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$862.751,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x622e…07abbacked No79c5,200$4,108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,092250%1 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick78cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No65c3,849$2,513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,336.161,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No78c3,845$3,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$839.582,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed Yes18c2,500$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45018948.7%92 W · 97 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x039b…7007backed Yes29c1,724$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500825%2 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37e6…b6a5backed Yes22c1,695$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37310626.4%28 W · 78 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes20c1,575$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31523632.2%76 W · 160 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f85…87d5backed Yes2c1,517$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8410044%44 W · 56 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1733…dc80backed Yes15c1,444$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2207326%19 W · 54 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick28cpaid+8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe648…b79abacked Yes21c1,424$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2996437.5%24 W · 40 L+7.1wins+0.11per pick26cpaid+47.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x21ca…3748backed Yes29c1,400$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4061931.6%6 W · 13 L-3.1wins-0.16per pick48cpaid-30.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes18c1,389$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25018123.2%42 W · 139 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes17c1,358$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.863630.6%11 W · 25 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc490…6507backed Yes25c1,200$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2973125.8%8 W · 23 L-5.5wins-0.18per pick44cpaid-45.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2147…a818backed Yes23c1,110$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.83141.9%13 W · 18 L+4.8wins+0.15per pick27cpaid+98.6%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Yes64c1,101$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70535428.5%101 W · 253 L-20.1wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Yes13c995.67$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.9514128.4%40 W · 101 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-30.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes21c783$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.4313939.6%55 W · 84 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x624b…6190backed Yes23c756.83$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1761533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick28cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa41…f05dbacked Yes21c742.56$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.94540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-49%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes24c721.06$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.821,26433.7%426 W · 838 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes20c656.88$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.381,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Yes25c634.89$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16045224.8%112 W · 340 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick22cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked No70c621.99$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.5361441.2%253 W · 361 L-27.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ae2…20a3backed Yes47c600$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2828655.8%48 W · 38 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fba…92e7backed Yes26c600$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1532623.1%6 W · 20 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa524…1252backed Yes22c590.91$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1302231.8%7 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc699…7961backed Yes30c590$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17712532.8%41 W · 84 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+28.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5508…5a70backed Yes65c580$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+155.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3f9…9622backed Yes3c568.91$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x032b…603dbacked Yes17c550$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.530%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked No29c540$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.5623325.8%60 W · 173 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes18c525.15$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.741,16357.4%667 W · 496 L+40.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d7e…3248backed Yes28c525$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Yes29c516.98$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.877048.6%34 W · 36 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x15b7…89eabacked Yes71c500.49$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Yes45c500$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.063360.6%20 W · 13 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed No25c488.68$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.0316634.9%58 W · 108 L-12.3wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-20.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf438…de5dbacked Yes21c470.19$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.742941.4%12 W · 17 L+3.0wins+0.10per pick31cpaid+34.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes22c454.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019426.3%51 W · 143 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick24cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a1e…e547backed Yes62c405$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes21c403.61$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.7622229.3%65 W · 157 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes31c400$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12428633.9%97 W · 189 L+19.7wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+22%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbe02…80f9backed Yes9c399.99$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3490%0 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x219e…14d9backed No80c375$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7513565.2%88 W · 47 L-0.3wins0.00per pick65cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b97…3f54backed Yes28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003435.3%12 W · 22 L+3.1wins+0.09per pick26cpaid+41%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes20c351$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.219735.5%70 W · 127 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57cd…a0fbbacked Yes74c349.08$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.7510455.8%58 W · 46 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+17.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed No68c347.28$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.6525530.2%77 W · 178 L-22.1wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-46.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6936…be97backed Yes29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0401…2f0ebacked Yes27c342.02$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.981723.5%4 W · 13 L-3.5wins-0.21per pick44cpaid-48.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked No48c339.85$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.0714975.8%113 W · 36 L+26.0wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+38.6%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Yes6c338.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3618139.2%71 W · 110 L-7.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No24c333.44$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.4626319.8%52 W · 211 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb98e…8823backed Yes30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003240.6%13 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes21c300$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639134.1%31 W · 60 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76da…30a2backed Yes18c277.78$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013842%58 W · 80 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x582f…ab47backed Yes18c277.78$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508342.2%35 W · 48 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-20.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No75c273.16$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.2951847.3%245 W · 273 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x004e…90f8backed Yes28c267.86$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754535.6%16 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed No71c254.99$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.7531747.6%151 W · 166 L-14.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x24d1…58a1backed Yes8c250$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3747…41bebacked Yes20c249.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.92638.5%10 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes47c238.64$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.792,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75ff…9aaabacked Yes21c238.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504654.3%25 W · 21 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+16.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c9e…bba8backed Yes27c228$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.891957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf6e4…5e4ebacked No47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.77850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20e5…082abacked No79c205.86$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.232373.9%17 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick72cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb53…c50bbacked Yes24c205.26$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506749.3%33 W · 34 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No77c204.96$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.651750.1%259 W · 258 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked No45c204.04$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.5822458.9%132 W · 92 L+12.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No56c204$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8967042.2%283 W · 387 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9d48…eca0backed Yes74c201.37$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-58.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d55…1e94backed Yes30c200$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6011923.5%28 W · 91 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8549…41f8backed Yes22c191.09$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.0427227.9%76 W · 196 L-1.2wins0.00per pick28cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee67…e6febacked Yes26c189.46$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505335.8%19 W · 34 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+21.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6aa…3746backed Yes18c180$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.48836.4%32 W · 56 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Yes79c177.22$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14015757.3%90 W · 67 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2a4…2f08backed Yes21c174.99$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.532222.4%72 W · 250 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick21cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed No43c173$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.0925052%130 W · 120 L+8.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa072…9e34backed No33c159.99$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.999541.1%39 W · 56 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+16.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Yes21c157.51$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.081,00646.6%469 W · 537 L-20.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ffc…1787backed Yes28c152.57$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.72616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick21cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59a6…6987backed Yes30c150$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4520%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab08…37fabacked Yes28c144.26$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404143.9%18 W · 23 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-0.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe649…4e37backed Yes21c142.86$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-18.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Yes39c133.46$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.661143.7%267 W · 344 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8544…3d33backed Yes77c129.87$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003450%17 W · 17 L-4.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-23.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5eac…525ebacked Yes21c128.57$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27850%4 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2e4…bc51backed Yes47c127$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.695324.5%13 W · 40 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa5f…e61dbacked Yes74c123$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6cf4…e221backed No78c122.77$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.01683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.34per pick50cpaid+111%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8e3b…f1c5backed Yes22c113.64$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252429.2%7 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+18.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.