TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-07?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,097,162
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,477,330

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,097,162 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,001 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdc87…7ab6backed No39c217,188$85,503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85,503.4119253.1%102 W · 90 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94f0…cd31backed Yes61c179,180$109,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69,880.19333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick72cpaid-45.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Yes61c131,530$79,917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51,612.6114544.8%65 W · 80 L-11.4wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-20.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No38c103,099$38,665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,665.136,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes60c101,558$60,622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,935.61,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07b8…8e25backed Yes61c100,000$60,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39,199.992166.7%14 W · 7 L+3.1wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+45%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed No39c72,286$28,273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,272.668146.9%38 W · 43 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb904…c255backed No39c70,000$27,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,300.13946.2%18 W · 21 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes67c68,456$45,529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,926.972,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4eae…5095backed Yes60c64,057$38,383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,674.321752.9%9 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes60c61,408$36,626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,781.751,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No39c58,480$23,093 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,093.182,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8813…47e6backed No40c56,246$22,273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,273.042040%8 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No40c56,058$22,668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,668.262,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed No39c53,601$20,904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,904.2627750.9%141 W · 136 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No40c47,787$19,207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,207.231,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaebc…fb65backed Yes75c32,098$24,093 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,005.341978.9%15 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.15per pick64cpaid+24%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xae2b…90eabacked Yes59c32,011$19,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,974.7517634.1%60 W · 116 L-13.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-15.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd776…ffebbacked No39c25,400$9,906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,905.948453.6%45 W · 39 L+9.8wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+31.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed No41c25,350$10,393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,393.497542.7%32 W · 43 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed No40c24,011$9,554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,554.3824146.9%113 W · 128 L+21.1wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+22.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No41c23,841$9,775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,774.9810236.3%37 W · 65 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd05f…8777backed No40c21,000$8,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,489.8615748.4%76 W · 81 L+13.8wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+24%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed No39c20,638$8,049 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,048.8210057%57 W · 43 L+8.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x09e0…e546backed No39c18,857$7,272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,272.261553.3%8 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+69.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x76f6…21bebacked Yes60c16,650$9,990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,6601030%3 W · 7 L-3.1wins-0.31per pick61cpaid-51.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No10c15,531$1,516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,515.8279639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc57f…e9d1backed Yes61c15,010$9,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,850.09683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.24per pick59cpaid+41.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed No35c13,283$4,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,640.4613852.2%72 W · 66 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No39c12,812$4,997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,996.6915949.1%78 W · 81 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked No39c12,500$4,875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,874.995655.4%31 W · 25 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+23.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed No39c11,748$4,582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,581.696142.6%26 W · 35 L-7.2wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-9.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0bcf…75c6backed Yes66c11,080$7,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,755.46136.1%22 W · 39 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes60c10,892$6,572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,320.4827235.7%97 W · 175 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked No41c10,619$4,355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,354.573246.9%15 W · 17 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+27.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No39c10,591$4,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,130.369856.1%55 W · 43 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xac75…1319backed Yes60c10,000$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,0003036.7%11 W · 19 L-3.2wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xacd2…29a2backed Yes61c9,931$6,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,872.94560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked No39c9,000$3,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,51050644.3%224 W · 282 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No40c8,433$3,339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,338.9621253.8%114 W · 98 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes60c8,043$4,819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,224.3730143.9%132 W · 169 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd1ab…e3a9backed No42c7,987$3,354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,354.41837.5%3 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed No38c7,555$2,871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,870.7910335%36 W · 67 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc949…fa93backed No40c7,500$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0002544%11 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked No39c7,097$2,768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,767.8111149.5%55 W · 56 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x585c…f0a7backed No40c7,000$2,780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,78015944.7%71 W · 88 L+9.7wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked No40c7,000$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8003360.6%20 W · 13 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed No39c7,000$2,730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,729.9714258.5%83 W · 59 L+11.0wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No41c6,842$2,779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,77912847.7%61 W · 67 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed No39c6,336$2,471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,471.046550.8%33 W · 32 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No40c6,329$2,532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,531.5385048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No39c6,000$2,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,37025544.7%114 W · 141 L-12.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a4c…8138backed Yes61c5,864$3,577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,287.063450%17 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3212…634ebacked No40c5,694$2,268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,267.617252.8%38 W · 34 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+29.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x606d…1aafbacked Yes74c5,301$3,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,400.622948.3%14 W · 15 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c38…de5abacked No41c5,300$2,163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,162.989358.1%54 W · 39 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes61c5,000$3,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,95020646.1%95 W · 111 L-12.6wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed No40c5,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00016651.2%85 W · 81 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf57e…bbd6backed No40c5,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0003151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed No39c5,000$1,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,95013444.8%60 W · 74 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No39c5,000$1,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,95035652.8%188 W · 168 L+15.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed No39c5,000$1,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,949.9818433.7%62 W · 122 L+9.0wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+17.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5249…848fbacked No40c5,000$2,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,019.97333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+23.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x62a1…f032backed Yes57c4,568$2,604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,964.081266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+33.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xff81…44c9backed Yes60c4,551$2,734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,816.3611443.9%50 W · 64 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Yes60c4,288$2,573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,715.0226344.9%118 W · 145 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No41c4,121$1,678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,678.446651.9%242 W · 224 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x92d8…9762backed No19c3,753$713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$713.016240.3%25 W · 37 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+88.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x00a3…575cbacked Yes61c3,748$2,286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,461.676145.9%28 W · 33 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Yes60c3,545$2,122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,422.5525648%123 W · 133 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked No7c3,525$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.9142043.8%184 W · 236 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No41c3,509$1,427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,426.711,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x02b6…fbbbbacked No41c3,415$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,400966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+24.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d21…abc5backed Yes59c3,400$2,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3946543.1%28 W · 37 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f1a…3589backed Yes60c3,373$2,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,349.33771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.25per pick47cpaid+61.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x26f1…b5f6backed Yes60c3,333$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,333.331650%8 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+33.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked No39c3,310$1,306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,305.9118950.3%95 W · 94 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4b73…7421backed Yes61c3,270$1,995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,275.361241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-24%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No33c3,164$1,043 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,043.461,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa7af…efb7backed Yes61c3,000$1,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,170540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-22.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d01…27cbbacked Yes59c3,000$1,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,229.998343.4%36 W · 47 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+21.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked No40c3,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,199.9718362.3%114 W · 69 L+17.5wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+21.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbffe…3f31backed Yes60c3,000$1,811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,189.124344.2%19 W · 24 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa371…60c5backed Yes61c2,981$1,814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,167.028666.3%57 W · 29 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+9.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked No39c2,900$1,143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,142.9931053.2%165 W · 145 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked No41c2,873$1,178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,177.937544%33 W · 42 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fb5…7349backed Yes61c2,835$1,729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,105.482548%12 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16f2…f62cbacked Yes59c2,807$1,652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,154.73650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-22.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No11c2,759$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.291,26433.7%426 W · 838 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No40c2,737$1,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,100.841,16357.4%667 W · 496 L+40.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No40c2,596$1,038 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,038.3131944.5%142 W · 177 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No40c2,593$1,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,025.8952454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb902…8105backed Yes59c2,528$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,028.253351.5%17 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-1.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Yes61c2,500$1,525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9759646.9%45 W · 51 L-7.0wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Yes60c2,500$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00015952.2%83 W · 76 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x598e…2305backed Yes61c2,500$1,525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$975728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick53cpaid-47.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes61c2,459$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$959.0225225%63 W · 189 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68c9…b988backed Yes61c2,459$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$959.021968.4%13 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f20…96a8backed No39c2,423$945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$944.973452.9%18 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid+8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked No41c2,400$984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98413662.5%85 W · 51 L+14.3wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+24.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.