Premier League · resolved market
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-02-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9bbce30ea7300b7764367bd646c90143bc4b07e322b3cf306170a13f38f2710b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $285,692
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $272,375
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $285,692 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xea32…8870backed Yes | 16c | 50,000$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 15c | 36,140$5,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,580.3 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb187…bbe1backed Yes | 17c | 35,459$6,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,028.03 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 16c | 17,121$2,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,779.46 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 14c | 14,558$2,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,091.53 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed Yes | 16c | 10,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,649.99 | 241 | 46.9%113 W · 128 L | +21.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x769c…5c05backed Yes | 17c | 6,277$1,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,067.09 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2809…b26abacked Yes | 17c | 6,000$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd05f…8777backed Yes | 17c | 6,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.97 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | +13.8wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe2…b34bbacked Yes | 7c | 4,995$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.68 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x585c…f0a7backed Yes | 17c | 4,880$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810.78 | 159 | 44.7%71 W · 88 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 16c | 4,400$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694 | 197 | 35.5%70 W · 127 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Yes | 16c | 4,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 142 | 58.5%83 W · 59 L | +11.0wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3934…8352backed Yes | 17c | 3,034$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.7 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +25%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 14c | 2,159$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.77 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 4c | 1,533$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.32 | 263 | 19.8%52 W · 211 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb44e…c2c6backed Yes | 17c | 1,500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Yes | 16c | 1,276$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.16 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b40…b77abacked Yes | 19c | 1,100$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Yes | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 225 | 34.2%77 W · 148 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde6c…c5d8backed Yes | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…de5abacked Yes | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 93 | 58.1%54 W · 39 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Yes | 17c | 705.88$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 18c | 700$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d3b…63b7backed Yes | 18c | 558$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.44 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -34%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Yes | 16c | 554.74$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.76 | 337 | 53.1%179 W · 158 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked Yes | 17c | 494.7$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.09 | 324 | 53.1%172 W · 152 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Yes | 20c | 439.93$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.78 | 100 | 36%36 W · 64 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Yes | 17c | 400$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 399 | 48.4%193 W · 206 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc513…ffe7backed Yes | 13c | 400$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 63 | 27%17 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…84d1backed Yes | 17c | 400$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd7e…0ac7backed Yes | 17c | 380$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1f…d9c3backed Yes | 4c | 356$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2d…40b1backed Yes | 17c | 354.91$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.33 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +7.8wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Yes | 17c | 352.94$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8675…e850backed Yes | 19c | 346.68$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.87 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd2…4c71backed Yes | 19c | 343.74$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.31 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.17per pick | 36cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…c872backed Yes | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 18c | 332.55$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.83 | 533 | 44.8%239 W · 294 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x447e…9710backed Yes | 16c | 330.74$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.92 | 113 | 46%52 W · 61 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c78…5a57backed Yes | 17c | 320$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e8…2c0ebacked Yes | 18c | 300$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 108 | 38.9%42 W · 66 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c6d…f0f0backed Yes | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 80c | 256.23$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.25 | 466 | 51.9%242 W · 224 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 4c | 250.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 611 | 43.7%267 W · 344 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 78 | 30.8%24 W · 54 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff9d…af7cbacked Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked No | 52c | 249.8$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.9 | 197 | 43.7%86 W · 111 L | +32.4wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +142.5%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…d1e7backed Yes | 17c | 232.42$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbfd…46f8backed Yes | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b49…d151backed Yes | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf032…ad8cbacked Yes | 17c | 200$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a7…90f4backed Yes | 17c | 176.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked Yes | 15c | 153.39$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x420e…6f0abacked Yes | 18c | 150$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 19c | 149.93$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.49 | 331 | 24.2%80 W · 251 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 16c | 127.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…89e2backed Yes | 20c | 125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe68e…8a50backed Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70ce…6d96backed Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Yes | 17c | 110$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 191 | 45%86 W · 105 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3940…9e72backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 155 | 34.8%54 W · 101 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cea…3147backed Yes | 16c | 101.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5edf…98a5backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e14…3e23backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbb…92efbacked Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -60%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6312…f94ebacked Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05ab…b10abacked Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.17per pick | 22cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8992…e1fdbacked Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab4…7b01backed Yes | 17c | 79.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75fd…9a86backed Yes | 19c | 78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…c932backed Yes | 17c | 75.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93b5…42e7backed Yes | 17c | 75.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 94 | 60.6%57 W · 37 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…4b3bbacked Yes | 17c | 63.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 426 | 58%247 W · 179 L | +24.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a50…ea80backed Yes | 17c | 61.76$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 122 | 36.1%44 W · 78 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Yes | 19c | 53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 410 | 40.5%166 W · 244 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-02-07?this page
- Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-07?Yes won
- Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.